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UFC Fight Night: London Odds, Picks & Predictions – Blaydes vs Aspinall

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in Mixed Martial Arts News

Jul 19, 2022 · 6:46 PM PDT

Tom Aspinall celebrating a win
Mar 19, 2022; London, UK; Tom Aspinall (blue gloves) defeats Alexander Volkov (red gloves) during UFC Fight Night at O2 Arena. Mandatory Credit: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports
  • The UFC returns to London for the second time this year for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall
  • Aspinall is set to enter the octagon in front of hometown fans as a betting favorite, while Chris Curtis takes on Jack Hermansson as slim chalk in the co-main event
  • Read on for all the UFC London odds, along with our best bets

For the second time this year, the UFC travels to London, where UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Aspinall is scheduled to take place on Saturday July 23. Heavyweight contenders clash in the main event, as Curtis Blaydes takes on Tom Aspinall, while the co-main event features a middleweight clash between Jack Hermansson and Chris Curtis.

Once again, fight fans should prepare for an early start at O2 Arena in London, England. UFC Fight Night: London prelim action gets underway on Saturday morning at 11am ET, followed by the main card at 2:00 pm ET, with the action exclusively available on UFC Fight Pass.

UFC London Odds

Fighter Odds
Curtis Blaydes +112
Tom Aspinall -137
Fighter Odds
Jack Hermansson -105
Chris Curtis -120
Fighter Odds
Paddy Pimblett -265
Josh Leavitt +205
Fighter Odds
Alexander Gustafsson +150
Nikita Krylov -190
Fighter Odds
Molly McCann -435
Hannah Goldy +330
Fighter Odds
Paul Craig +138
Volkan Oezdemir -175
Fighter Odds
Marc Diakiese -375
Damir Hadzovic +275
Fighter Odds
Nathaniel Wood -590
Charles Rosa +425
Fighter Odds
Makwan Amirkhani +180
Jonathan Pearce +108
Fighter Odds
Muhammad Mokaev -500
Charles Johnson +370
Fighter Odds
Jai Herbert -295
Kyle Nelson +225
Fighter Odds
Mandy Bohm -139
Victoria Leonardo +112
Fighter Odds
Nicolas Dalby -250
Claudio Silva +195

Odds at Barstool Sportsbook as of July 19, 2022.


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Blaydes vs Aspinall Odds, Prediction & Best Bet

Curtis Blaydes has rebounded from a stunning knockout loss to Derrick Lewis by posting a pair of wins to cement his position as the No. 4 contender in the UFC heavyweight rankings.

Tom Aspinall has posted dominating wins in his first five UFC fights to claim the No. 6 spot in the UFC heavyweight rankings, with four of his victories coming inside five minutes.

Blaydes vs Aspinall Stats

31 Age 29
6′ 4″ Height 6′ 5″
80 inches Reach 78 inches
16-3-0, 1 no contest (11) Pro MMA Record (finishes) 12-2-0, (12)
#4 UFC Heavyweight Ranking #6

“Razor” vies for a third straight victory when he steps into the octagon to face Tom Aspinall. The 31-year-old sports a pro MMA record of 16-3-0, with his only career losses coming against Derrick Lewis and current champion Francis Ngannou twice.

A wrestler from an early age, Blaydes is equally comfortable fighting standing up or on the mat. “Razor” is the all-time leader among UFC heavyweights in takedowns executed and total control time. He is also adept at defence, successfully defending against all but one takedown attempt in his past 13 fights.

But despite his prowess on the mat, Blaydes is not a submission threat. Instead, his focus is on wearing down opponents on the mat while following a ground and pound strategy. Accordingly, 11 of his 16 career wins have come by knockout, along with five decisions.

Blaydes vs Aspinall Recent Fights

Chris Daukaus (win – TKO) Fight 1 Alexander Volkov (win – submission)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik (win – unanimous decision) Fight 2 Sergey Spivak (win – TKO)
Derrick Lewis (loss – KO) Fight 3 Andrei Arlovski (win – submission)
Alexander Volkov (win – unanimous decision) Fight 4 Alan Baudot (win – TKO)
Junior dos Santos (win – TKO) Fight 5 Jake Collier (win – TKO)

Aspinall has taken the UFC heavyweight division by storm since making his promotional debut two years ago. Nine of his 12 victories have in the first round, and four of his first five UFC wins earned him Performance of the Night bonuses.

Like Blaydes, Aspinall discovered wrestling at an early age. And in addition to holding a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, the 29-year-old Englishman has also competed as a boxer. However, unlike Blaydes, Aspinall can finish opponents with punching power or by tap out.

Aspinall is a ferocious puncher, averaging 7.33 significant strikes landed per minute. That ferocity has provided little opportunity for opponents to respond, with Aspinall absorbing just 39 total strikes through his first five UFC fights. However, his lack of experience in championship rounds leaves a huge question mark about his stamina.

Pick: Aspinall (-136); Inside the distance (-278)

Hermansson vs Curtis Odds, Prediction & Best Bet

Jack Hermansson looks to get back on track after losing three of his past five fights. Each of his past three fights have been decided by the judges, capped by a disappointing five-round split decision loss to Sean Strickland last time out at UFC Fight Night 200. “The Joker” is an accomplished Greco-Roman wrestler, and has submitted opponents in three of his past five wins.

Hermansson vs Curtis Recent Fights

Sean Strickland (loss – split decision) Fight 1 Rodolfo Vieira (win – unanimous decision)
Edmen Shahbazyan (win – unanimous decision) Fight 2 Brendan Allen (win – TKO)
Marvin Vettori (loss – unanimous decision) Fight 3 Phil Hawes (win – KO)
Kelvin Gastelum (win – submission) Fight 4 Kenny Robertson (win – unanimous decision)
Jared Cannonier (loss – TKO) Fight 5 Jarome Hatch (win – TKO)

A relative newcomer to the UFC, Chris Curtis agreed to accept this fight on short notice after Darren Till was forced to back out due to an injury. Curtis is somewhat new to the UFC, but is far from green. A three-time champion before making his promotional debut last year, “The Action Man” has lived up to his nickname by fighting seven times since January 2021, and has knocked out opponents six times during an eight-fight win streak.

Pick: Curtis (-120)

Other UFC Fight Night: London Picks

  • Paddy Pimblett (-265): colorful Liverpool native needed just 3:50 to submit Rodrigo Vargas at the last edition of UFC London, and has now tallied four straight first-round finishes.
  • Paul Craig (+138): Craig has finished opponents inside five minutes four times during a six-fight unbeaten streak, and is well positioned to extend that run against a badly slumping Volkan Oezdemir.
  • Alexander Gustafsson (+150): A return to light heavyweight against a slumping opponent could be just what “The Mauler” needs to snap out of a career-worst three-fight losing streak.


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