UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos Odds, Picks & Predictions
- A title shot is likely on the line as Marina Rodriguez faces fellow women’s strawweight contender Amanda Lemos in the UFC Vegas 64 main event
- The co-main event features a welterweight clash between UFC veteran Neil Magny and Daniel Rodriguez
- Read on for all the UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs Lemos odds and predictions for Saturday’s card
A shot at the UFC women’s strawweight title will likely be on the line on Saturday, when Marina Rodriguez tangles with Amanda Lemos in the main event at UFC Fight Night 214.
Perched as the No.3 contender in the UFC women’s strawweight rankings, Rodriguez rides a four-fight win streak into Saturday’s hostilities, capped by a three-round split decision victory over Yan Xiaoyan last time out at UFC 272. Lemos tallied a second-round finish of Michelle Waterson at UFC Long Island, cement her grasp on the No. 7 spot in the rankings.
Prelim action at UFC Vegas 64 gets underway at 4:00pm ET on Saturday afternoon at UFC APEX in Las Vegas. The main card follows at 7:00pm ET, with all the action available on ESPN+.
UFC Fight Night 214 Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Amanda Lemos | +175 |
| Marina Rodriguez | -225 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Daniel Rodriguez | -105 |
| Neil Magny | -115 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Nate Maness | +175 |
| Tagir Ulanbekov | -225 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Shanna Young | +450 |
| Miranda Maverick | -650 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Benito Lopez | +240 |
| Mario Bautista | -300 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Darrick Minner | +165 |
| Shayilan Nuerdanbieke | -210 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Jinh Yu Frey | +105 |
| Polyana Viana | -125 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Liudvik Sholinian | +180 |
| Johnny Munoz Jr. | -225 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Chase Sherman | -125 |
| Josh Parisian | +105 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Carlos Candelaria | +210 |
| Jake Hadley | -275 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Ramona Pascual | +115 |
| Tamires Vidal | -140 |
| Fighter | Odds |
| Mark Madsen | +185 |
| Grant Dawson | -225 |
Odds at BetMGM as of November 1, 2022.
Marina Rodriguez heads into the main event as a -225 favorite. The underdog Lemos comes back at +175. The co-main is nearly a pick’em with Magny a slight -115 betting favorite and Daniel Rodriguez at -105.
Get Up To $1,500 Paid Back in Bonus Bets if You Don't Win!
21+ Only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US). New customers only, subject to eligibility requirements. Not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
Rodriguez vs. Lemos Odds and Prediction
Marina Rodriguez earned just two wins in her first five fights after joining the UFC, but has since tallied four straight victories including five-round unanimous decision victories over Michelle Waterson and Mackenzie Dern in 2021.
Saturday night’s clash will mark Amanda Lemos’ fourth octagon appearance since mid-December. She has gone 2-1-0 in her past three fights, with her lone defeat coming by decision just 3:13 into her date with former champion Jessica Andrade at UFC Vegas 52.
Rodriguez vs Lemos Stats
| 35 | Age | 35 |
| 5′ 6″ | Height | 5′ 4″ |
| 65 inches | Reach | 65 inches |
| 16-1-2, (10) | Pro MMA Record (finishes) | 12-2-1, (10) |
| #3 | UFC Women’s Strawweight Ranking | #7 |
Rodriguez quickly establishing her credentials as a knockout specialist, with four of her first six pro wins coming by TKO. She has since proved she can also go the distance by earning the decision in eight of her past 10 wins. Rodriguez also ranks third all-time among UFC women’s strawweights in average fight time, trailing only Joanna Jędrzejczyk and Yan Xiaonan.
Marina Rodriguez puts on striking clinic against Mackenzie Dern to win decision in UFC Vegas 39 main event (@DamonMartin) https://t.co/wLYbiTY0QF pic.twitter.com/PzASHaHupA
— MMAFighting.com (@MMAFighting) October 10, 2021
The 35-year-old Brazilian is not much of a threat on the mat. Rodriguez has not successfully executed a takedown in six fights, and has been dominated when the action does go to the mat, with opponents racking up an average of over five minutes over control over her past six fights.
Rodriguez vs Lemos Recent Fights
| Yan Xiaonan (win – split decision) | Fight 1 | Michelle Waterson (win – submission) |
| Mackenzie Dern (win – unanimous decision) | Fight 2 | Jessica Andrade (loss – submission) |
| Michelle Waterson (win – unanimous decision) | Fight 3 | Angela Hill (win – split decision) |
| Amanda Ribas (win – TKO) | Fight 4 | Montserrat Ruiz (win – TKO) |
| Carla Esparza (loss – split decision) | Fight 5 | Lívia Renata Souza (win – TKO) |
Lemos rebounded nicely from her loss to Jessica Andrade last spring by disposing of Michelle Waterson in her last outing in July. That win marked just the second time the 35-year-old has submitted an opponent since her early days fighting in her native Brazil.
Amanda Lemos (-225) earns the R1 TKO with a wicked left jab! 💪#UFC259 pic.twitter.com/kPr3VJRFD4
— SportsBettingDime (@SBD) March 6, 2021
Indeed, Lemos is far better known for her punching power, with seven of her 12 career wins coming by knockout, including six victories inside five minutes. Her five knockdowns are an all-time high among UFC women’s strawweights, as is her average of 1.56 knockdowns per 15 minutes. She also ranks third all-time with a significant strike accuracy of 55.7%, and has proven she can take a punch while absorbing an average of over three significant strikes per minute.
Pick: Lemos (+175)
Magny vs Rodriguez Odds and Prediction
Neil Magny will try to avoid falling out of the UFC welterweight rankings when he battles Daniel Rodriguez in Saturday’s co-main event. Magny has tumbled to No. 13 in the rankings in the wake of his second-round submission loss to Shavkat Rakhmonov in his last outing at UFC Vegas 57.
Shavkat Rakhmonov by r2 sub against Neil Magny!!
16-0 all by finish!! #UFCVegas57 pic.twitter.com/6UPgQ2B3Te— Pure Finishes (@PureKnockouts) June 26, 2022
A winner in just two of four outings, “The Haitian Sensation” has seen six of his past seven contests getting decided by the judges. And while he has 10 career finishes to his credit, he has not ended an opponent’s night since tallying a first-round KO win over Craig White over four years ago.
Magny vs Rodriguez Recent Fights
| Shavkat Rakhmonov (loss – submission) | Fight 1 | Li Jingliang (win – split decision) |
| Max Griffin (win – split decision) | Fight 2 | Kevin Lee (win – unanimous decision) |
| Geoff Neal (win – unanimous decision) | Fight 3 | Preston Parsons (win – TKO) |
| Michael Chiesa (loss – unanimous decision) | Fight 4 | Mike Perry (win – unanimous decision) |
| Robbie Lawler (win – unanimous decision) | Fight 5 | Nicholas Dalby (loss – unanimous decision) |
Daniel Rodriguez rides a five-fight win streak into Saturday’s action, capped by a split decision win in a 180-pound catchweight matchup with Li Jingliang eight weeks ago at UFC 279.
Daniel Rodriguez reveals Li Jingliang rocked him almost every time he touched him.
🎥: Thrill and the Agony pic.twitter.com/VShjUwKKck
— MMA mania (@mmamania) September 21, 2022
Rodriguez’ lone defeat since joining the UFC came against Nicholas Dalby, a three-round unanimous decision loss almost two years ago at UFC 255. A submission specialist early in his career, Rodriguez also sports impressive punching power, and has finished opponents inside five minutes in two of his past five victories.
Pick: Rodriguez (-105)
Other UFC Vegas 64 Picks
- Mario Bautista (-300): Fresh off a dominating first-round submission win over Brian Kelleher at UFC Vegas 57, Bautista faces an opponent who hasn’t fought for 40 months
- Jinh Yu Frey (+105): The key to victory for Jinh will be surviving the first round against Polyana Viana, who has never won a fight that has lasted more than five minutes.
- Nate Maness (+175): Maness went the distance against undefeated submission specialist Umar Nurmagomedov last time out, which should prepare him well for the one-dimensional Tagir Ulanbekov
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 INSTANTLY & A NO SWEAT NBA SGP EVERY DAY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 GUARANTEED!
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS!
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
GET UP TO $1,000 BACK - ON CAESARS!
Daniel has been writing about sports and sports betting for over 23 years. The seasoned pro has contributed to the likes of Sports Illustrated, Sportsnet, NESN, Bleacher Report, OddsShark, the Globe and Mail, and The Nation magazine.
