UFC Vegas 49 Odds, Picks & Predictions – Makhachev vs Green

By Cole Shelton in Mixed Martial Arts News
Published:

- Bobby Green steps up on 10 days’ notice to face Islam Makhachev after Beneil Dariush broke his fibula
- Does Makhachev still get a title shot with a win?
- See the UFC Vegas 49 odds below, along with our best bet predictions for the main card
The UFC remains at the UFC Apex on Saturday, February 26 for UFC Vegas 49, which was supposed to see a number one contender bout at lightweight. The main event was supposed to be Islam Makhachev vs. Beneil Dariush, but an injury to Dariush forced him out, and Bobby Green stepped up on short notice. To no surprise, Makhachev is a massive favorite in the UFC Vegas 49 odds.
UFC Vegas 48 airs live on ESPN+ at 7 PM EST. The table below shows UFC Vegas 49 odds for the main card at Barstool Sportsbook followed by best bets. If you’re looking to learn how to bet UFC, this is a great, undervalued card to try a few different strategies out.
UFC Vegas 49 Odds
Fighter | Odds |
---|---|
Islam Makhachev | -770 |
Bobby Green | +500 |
Fighter | Odds |
Misha Cirkunov | -125 |
Wellington Turman | +101 |
Fighter | Odds |
Priscila Cachoeira | +150 |
Ji Yeon Kim | -190 |
Fighter | Odds |
Arman Tsarukyan | -275 |
Joel Alvarez | +200 |
Fighter | Odds |
Gregory Rodrigues | -177 |
Armen Petrosyan | +140 |
All odds as of Feb. 21 at Barstool Sportsbook App
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Makhachev vs Green Odds, Prediction & Best Bet
Islam Makhachev is Khabib Nurmagomedov’s protege, and he’s looked phenomenal other than his one loss when he got caught and knocked out. Bobby Green, meanwhile, fought back at UFC 271 on February 12, and now after fighting in the UFC since 2013, gets his first main event. The fight also takes place at a 160 lbs catchweight due to the short notice.
Makhachev vs Green Recent Fights
Dan Hooker, win by submission | Fight 1 | Nasrat Haqparast, win by decision |
Thiago Moises, win by submission | Fight 2 | Al Iaquinta, win by TKO |
Drew Dober, win by submission | Fight 3 | Rafael Fiziev, loss by decision |
Davi Ramos, win by decision | Fight 4 | Thiago Moises, loss by decision |
Green is as durable as they come and a savvy veteran, but this is a tough task for him to come in and beat Islam Makhachev on short notice. The Dagestani fighter will look to shoot for takedowns early and look to control Green. The American to have any shot in this fight will likely have to clip Makhachev with a knee or uppercut when he shoots and KO him, however, “King” isn’t known for his power.
Makhachev vs Green Stats
30 | Age | 35 |
5’10” | Height | 5’10” |
70.5″ | Reach | 71″ |
6 | UFCÂ Finishes | 3 |
The first takedown will be huge in this fight. If Makhachev gets Green down on the first shot he takes, that may be all he needs, but if Green can get back up to his feet, it will be a long night for the American. Yet, if he stuffs it, it has to give him a bit more confidence even though Makhachev won’t get discouraged by one stuffed takedown.
Ultimately, I expect Makhachev to be able to get Green down and will look to get him out of there early as he did to Dan Hooker, who also stepped in on short notice as he looks to make a statement. Once Makhachev gets him down early, he will be able to control Green and will end up finding the submission in the first or second round.
At -770 in the UFC Vegas 49 odds, it’s too chalky to play straight but he’s a parlay piece for this weekend. Also, look for Makhachev inside the distance and even take a small stab at Makhachev in round 1 or 2. If you’re looking for a better price, Makhachev to win is listed at -720 at DraftKings.
Pick: Islam Makhachev (-770)
Cirkunov vs Turman UFC Vegas 49 Pick
UFC Vegas 49 has a rather interesting co-main event as Misha Cirkunov has his second fight at middleweight as he takes on Wellington Turman as both men look to start to find some consistency.
Cirkunov & Turman Recent Fights
Krzysztof Jotko, loss by split decision | Fight 1 | Sam Alvey, win by split decision |
Ryan Spann, loss by TKO | Fight 2 | Bruno Silva, loss by KO |
Jimmy Crute, win by submission | Fight 3 | Andrew Sanchez, loss by KO |
Johnny Walker, loss by KO | Fight 4 | Markus Perez, win by decision |
Both Cirkunov and Turman have not been the most consistent fighters in their careers which makes this fight a tough one to break down. They both struggle on the feet and have questionable chins as they both have been knocked out and rocked several times. Ultimately, I expect Cirkunov to be the stronger fighter and will be able to push Turman against the fence and grind out a decision win.
As the odds suggest, this is a close fight, but Cirkunov fought at light heavyweight, and is a massive middleweight, so he will use his size here as Turman even struggled with Sam Alvey who has bigger than him. FanDuel Sportsbook lists Cirkunov at -122 in the UFC Vegas 49 odds.
Pick: Misha Cirkunov (-125)
Other UFC Vegas 49 Picks:
- Ji Yeon Kim (-190): Kim is the better striker and will keep the fight standing and outland Cachoeira to win a decision.
- Arman Tsarukyan (-275): Tsarukyan will be able to take Alvarez down and control him on the ground. However, the odds are too high for me to lay -275, so either parlay him or look for Tsarukyan by decision.
- Armen Petrosyan (+140): Petrosyan looked phenomenal on the Contender Series and now drops to middleweight where he will be stronger than Rodrigues and eventually find the KO shot.
- BET365 SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365
- BETMGM SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
- CAESARS SPORTSBOOK
USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!
- DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
- FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK
BET $5 & GET $150 IF YOUR BET WINS
- FANATICS SPORTSBOOK
BET & GET UP TO $1,000 NO SWEAT BETS!
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Sports Writer
Cole graduated from Sheridan College in April of 2019 with a diploma in journalism. He now is a full-time freelance writer, focusing on MMA for sites like BJPENN, while also covering the Toronto Blue Jays as a credentialed media member. At SBD, Cole covers the four major sports and MMA.