Updated UFC Seattle Odds & Final Fight Night Predictions | Adesanya vs Pyfer

• Tonight’s UFC Seattle is headlined by the Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer middleweight bout
• This will be Adesanya’s 14th consecutive five round fight, while Pyfer has just one such bout on his resume
• See the updated UFC Seattle odds, and final Fight Night predictions for Adesanya vs Pyfer, below

The UFC is back in Seattle tonight with a card headlined by an Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer middleweight clash. Online sportsbooks are siding with the former middleweight champ Adesanya, despite his recent struggles, and I’m inclined to back him as well for the reasons l’ll lay out below.

The UFC Seattle prelims are already underway on Paramount+, with the main card fights scheduled to start at 5:15 pm PT, 8:15 pm ET, also on Paramount+.

Here are the updated UFC Seattle odds and final Fight Night predictions for Adesanya vs Pyfer and more.

Updated UFC Seattle Odds

Odds as of March 28 at DraftKings. Check out the best UFC betting apps for UFC Seattle on Saturday.

DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Sign Up Today & Receive Up to
$1,050 in Bonuses!

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $300 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 2/1/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/25/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

SIGN UP
& GET $1,050

BONUS BETS + DEPOSIT BONUS

GET PROMO

UFC Seattle Final Predictions: Adesanya Moneyline

Adesanya is arguably the second best middleweight to ever step in the Octagon, so I’m little surprised his price hasn’t moved since early UFC Seattle odds were released. Perhaps it’s his recent form that’s making bettors nervous, as he has dropped three of his past four fights. He did manage to avenge one of those losses by knocking out Alex Pereira, and I’m willing to overlook the other two defeats and trust his pedigree for this fight.

There’s a lot to like about Adesanya in this matchup, so let’s break down what’s working in his favor. We’ll start with his experience. This will be a five round bout, which is exactly what the former champ is used to. This will be his 14th consecutive five round fight, while his opponent has just one such bout on his resume, and he gassed out early.

Conditioning has never been Adesanya’s problem, and he brings a big reach advantage (5 inches) and much more precise set of striking skills to the Octagon. His power is undeniable, with 16 career knockouts, while his long limbs will allow him to strike efficiently from distance, just like he has versus more talented fighters.

Israel Adesanya vs Joe Pyfer Tale of the Tape

That’s not to say Pyfer can’t find success, however I just don’t think it’s likely. The 29-year-old is a fast starter, with plenty of power of his own, and his best chance for success is to either catch Adesanya early, or beat him on the ground.

The problem is that Adesanya has seen this type of aggression countless times before and should be able to keep his distance to thwart any advances. As for a grappling strategy, Pyfer isn’t much of a wrestler, while Adesanya boasts an impressive 76% takedown defense rate.

Ultimately, I think Adesanya will simply wear Pyfer down over the course of five rounds. Pyfer won the first two rounds of his only five round bout, but proceeded to lose the final three rounds and the fight. Perhaps he’s learned from his previous mistakes, but I’m not willing to fade Adesanya versus an inferior talent over the course of a headline bout.

• UFC Seattle Final Predictions: Israel Adesanya Moneyline (-135 at DraftKings)

UFC Seattle Final Predictions: Grasso Moneyline

In addition to betting Adesanya tonight, I’m also looking to back Alexa Grasso in a rematch versus Maycee Barber. Grasso took the initial meeting between these two in 2021, and Barber was reportedly struggling badly just to make weight for this fight.

Grasso is the cleaner striker of the two, and thrives on her opponents mistakes. Her lightning quick hands can neutralize Barber’s aggressive, forward charging strategy, just they did in their first matchup.

Barber will want to turn this into an ugly, clinch heavy fight, that grinds her opponent down. That might work against the bulk of flyweight fighters, but not Grasso. Expect another technically sound performance from her, that leads to a victory on the judge’s cards.

• UFC Seattle Final Predictions: Alexa Grasso Moneyline (+160 at DraftKings)