Volkanovski vs Lopes Start Time & Last-Minute Parlay Prediction for UFC 325
By Brady Trettenero in Mixed Martial Arts News
Published:
- Alexander Volkanovski defends his featherweight title against Diego Lopes at UFC 325 tonight
- The Volkanovski vs Lopes start time is projected for approximately 11:15 pm ET
- Check out the full start time breakdown and our last-minute parlay prediction below
UFC 325 is here. Alexander Volkanovski puts his featherweight title on the line against Diego Lopes in a rematch at Qudos Bank Arena in Sydney, Australia.
Here’s everything you need to know about the Volkanovski vs Lopes start time, plus a high-risk UFC 325 parlay I like for tonight’s main event.
Volkanovski vs Lopes Start Time
The UFC 325 main card is underway on Paramount+ with the Volkanovski vs Lopes main event expected around 11:15 pm ET. Here’s the start time breakdown by timezone.
UFC 325 streams exclusively on Paramount+ with no traditional pay-per-view option.
Volkanovski vs Lopes Last-Minute Parlay
Let me be upfront. If this fight goes late, Volkanovski likely wins. He dominated the first meeting with 158 significant strikes to Lopes’ 63 over five rounds. His footwork, fight IQ, and championship experience are still elite.
But there’s a window. Volkanovski got knocked out by Islam Makhachev and Ilia Topuria in his previous two fights before beating Lopes. Those were his first stoppage losses since 2013. If you think his chin is cracked, this parlay targets that.
The Parlay: Diego Lopes by KO/TKO + Under 2.5 Rounds (+450 at Bet365)
SPORTSBOOK
Here’s why these two outcomes go together. Lopes is a fast starter. He has 15 first-round finishes across his career and an 85% finish rate overall. He’s not going to outpoint Volkanovski over 25 minutes. If Lopes wins, it’s almost certainly early via knockout.
Diego Lopes Finishing Stats
In the first Lopes fight, Volk got dropped in Round 2 and hurt badly in Round 4. He won, but admitted afterward he had stitches everywhere and couldn’t see out of one eye. At 37 with 10 straight title fights and a lot of miles on the body, the nine months of rest since April should help with recovery. But the damage from wars with Max Holloway, Islam Makhachev, and Ilia Topuria adds up over time.
Volk has also said he wants to be more aggressive this time around. He used the word “bulldoze” when describing his approach for the rematch. That mindset could backfire against a guy with Lopes’ power. More time trading in the pocket means more chances for Lopes to land the same overhand right that dropped him in the first fight.
The betting market sees the vulnerability. Lopes by KO/TKO at +330 is the most-bet prop at UFC 325, with 66% of tickets backing it despite Lopes being the underdog. The public clearly believes in his knockout power, and for good reason. He just flatlined Jean Silva with a spinning elbow in September.
The Under 2.5 rounds sits around +200 at most books, which offers value because their first fight went the full 25 minutes. Oddsmakers are pricing in a similar distance fight, but if a finish happens, it’s likely coming early when Lopes is freshest and before Volk can settle into his rhythm and start accumulating rounds.
This parlay is high risk. Lopes has technical issues and struggled with basic cage-cutting in the first fight. Volkanovski’s footwork and fight IQ are still world-class, and he knows how to manage distance against aggressive opponents. But the upside is real if Volkanovski’s chin doesn’t hold up against a younger, bigger fighter who already proved he can hurt him.
At Bet365, this parlay pays +450. A $10 bet returns $55.
Odds as of January 31st at Bet365. Grab a Bet365 bonus code for UFC 325 or check out our guide on how to bet on the UFC.
- Parlay Pick: Diego Lopes by KO/TKO + Under 2.5 Rounds (+450)
SPORTSBOOK
Size this one small. High risk, high reward. Good luck with UFC 325 tonight.
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Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.