NBA Best Bets Today – Top A.I. Prop Picks for Nov 19

• Our A.I. model, which is 9-5 over the last two days, has made its NBA best bets for Wednesday
• The A.I. is +6.46 on plus-money prop bets and has one plus-money wager today
• See today’s NBA best bets, including A.I. player-prop picks for each of the nine games

Another nine games are on the NBA slate on Wednesday, November 19th. I have used our internal A.I. program to generate NBA player props to target today.

In the table below, you can find the A.I.’s top player prop to bet from each of Wednesday’s nine games in chronological order. I have also set out the sportsbooks with the best price on said props. Under the table, I have copied over the A.I.’s explanation for each bet

NBA Best Bets Today (Nov 19)

The A.I. has one under bet on its prop card today, which is a rarity. That under bet (DeRozan under 2.5 assists at +120) is also the only plus-money wager on Wednesday’s slate. The A.I. missed on its only plus-money wager yesterday, but is still +6.46 units on plus-money NBA prop bets this season.

Best odds as of 11:03 am ET. Claim the pre-registration offers from Fanatics Sportsbook Missouri before launch in December.

CHA Hornets vs IND Pacers Prop Pick: Siakam Over 25.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Siakam enters this matchup as the Pacers’ undisputed offensive engine, posting a staggering 29.2% usage rate while facing a Charlotte defense that allows 49.8% field goal shooting. The situational edge becomes even more pronounced at home, where Siakam averages 27.0 points per game across six contests, compared to his 24.9 season average.

The Hornets’ road defense has been particularly generous, surrendering 125.9 points per game away from home. Siakam’s versatility as both an interior scorer (10.9 points in the paint per game) and capable three-point shooter (36.2%) creates multiple avenues for success against Charlotte’s permeable defense. With Indiana’s supporting cast decimated by injuries, expect Siakam to shoulder a massive offensive load and exceed his points total.”

TOR Raptors vs PHI 76ers Prop Pick: Quickley Over 15.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Quickley’s recent scoring surge positions him perfectly to exploit Philadelphia’s defensive vulnerabilities. His season average sits at 15.7 points per game and he’s exploded for 19.6 points per game over his last five contests on scorching 58.2% field goal shooting and 47.4% three-point accuracy.

The matchup strongly favors Quickley’s offensive skill set. Philadelphia surrenders a league-worst 20.8 fast-break points per game, and Quickley’s speed allows him to capitalize on transition opportunities. His ability to score efficiently from multiple levels (56.4% on two-pointers, 39.2% from three this season) gives him various paths to exceed this modest 15.5-point total against a depleted 76ers defense missing key perimeter stoppers.”

HOU Rockets vs CLE Cavaliers Prop Pick: Sengun Over 9.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “Sengun has been a rebounding machine all season, with his recent form showing significant improvement at 11.0 boards over his last five contests. The young center has recorded double-digit rebounds in eight of his 12 games this season, a 67% success rate that provides strong historical backing.

Facing Cleveland’s solid frontcourt might appear daunting, but Sengun has proven matchup-proof throughout his career. Houston’s system generates abundant rebounding opportunities through their league-leading offensive rebounding rate. With Jabari Smith Jr potentially sidelined, even more glass responsibility falls to Sengun, elevating this prop’s ceiling considerably. The over 9.5 rebounds aligns perfectly with Houston’s systematic advantage and Sengun’s consistent production, making this the strongest analytical play on the board”

GS Warriors vs MIA Heat Prop Pick: Powell Over 22.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “With Tyler Herro out and Bam Adebayo’s status uncertain, Norman Powell has become the engine of the Heat offense. He’s been on an incredible scoring run, and a favorable matchup against a suspect road defense sets him up for another big night.

Powell has been red-hot, pouring in 27.8 points per game over his last five contests on a high volume of 19.0 shots per game. He has been particularly effective on his home floor, averaging 25.8 points in six home games this season. This production lines up perfectly against a Golden State defense that struggles away from home, allowing a concerning 119.4 points per game to opponents on the road. Powell’s ability to score from all three levels, combined with his usage rate and the Warriors’ defensive road woes, makes this a compelling over.”

DEN Nuggets vs NO Pelicans Prop Pick: Murphy III Over 16.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Murphy’s expanded role in New Orleans’ injury-depleted offense positions him as the primary scoring threat in a game requiring offensive firepower. With Dejounte Murray and Jordan Poole definitively out, Murphy shoulders the heaviest offensive burden for a team desperate to keep pace with Denver’s league-leading attack.

His recent production validates the increased responsibility, averaging 23.2 points over his last five games while shooting efficiently from multiple levels. The game flow heavily favors his scoring opportunities, as the Pelicans will likely trail early and need aggressive shot-taking to remain competitive. Murphy’s versatility allows him to score through multiple methods – three-point shooting, transition opportunities, and second-chance points from offensive rebounds.”

SAC Kings vs OKC Thunder Prop Pick: DeRozan Under 2.5 Assists

A.I. rationale: “While the Kings will rely heavily on DeRozan’s scoring, his playmaking faces the NBA’s most disruptive defensive system in a role that emphasizes shot creation over facilitation. Oklahoma City allows just 23.6 assists per game to opponents, the lowest mark in the league. When DeRozan has high usage, his role emphasizes shot creation over facilitation. Against top-tier defenses this season, his assist average tends to be lower. The combination of his scorer-first mentality, recent assist trends, and facing the league’s best assist-prevention defense creates substantial value on the under.”

WSH Wizards vs MIN Timberwolves Prop Pick: Randle Over 6.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “This selection directly targets Washington’s most exploitable weakness while leveraging Randle’s consistent glass work. The Wizards surrender 14.3 offensive rebounds per game, which is among the highest in the league, and possess the NBA’s worst defensive rebounding percentage at 70.0%. These numbers create a perfect storm for an aggressive rebounder like Randle.

Randle enters averaging 7.3 rebounds per game, with his recent form showing even stronger production at 7.5 rebounds over his last 10 contests. In games where Minnesota faces poor rebounding teams this season, Randle has shown a strong tendency to exceed his rebound total. Against teams ranked in the bottom five for defensive rebounding, he typically performs well in rebounding.

The matchup advantage extends beyond basic statistics. Washington’s frontcourt lacks the physicality to box out effectively, creating second-chance opportunities on both ends. With Gobert commanding attention in the paint, Randle should find numerous uncontested rebounding chances, particularly on the offensive glass where the Wizards have been historically vulnerable.”

NY Knicks vs DAL Mavericks Prop Pick: Towns Over 12.5 Rebounds

A.I. rationale: “Towns enters positioned for a dominant rebounding performance against Dallas’s depleted frontcourt. He’s averaging 12.7 rebounds per game this season, maintaining consistency with 12.6 boards per game over his last five contests.

The statistical case builds from multiple angles. Anthony Davis’s absence removes Dallas’s leading rebounder (10.2 per game), while the Mavericks’ 28th-ranked effective field-goal percentage (50.8%) generates abundant missed shots. Towns serves as New York’s primary defensive rebounder, collecting 9.5 defensive boards per game.”

CHI Bulls vs POR Trail Blazers Prop Pick: Sharpe Over 25.5 Points

A.I. rationale: “Sharpe has exploded for 30.0 PPG over his last five games while carrying a massive 33.9% usage rate during that stretch. He has averaged 30.0 PPG over his last five games. Chicago’s defense allows 125.9 points per game on the road and surrenders 94.2 opponent field goal attempts per game. With Portland’s injury concerns potentially sidelining Grant and Holiday, Sharpe becomes the undisputed focal point of the offense. Chicago has allowed 3 of their last 4 opponents’ leading scorers to exceed 25 points. The combination of volume opportunity and defensive vulnerability creates an ideal environment for Sharpe to soar past his point total.”