Skip to content

Best NBA Picks Today – ATS & O/U Picks for All 11 Games from A.I. Model

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball

Published:


New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson gestures after hitting a three
Dec 27, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; New York Knicks guard Jalen Brunson (11) reacts after a basket against the Atlanta Hawks in the fourth quarter at State Farm Arena. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • Monday brings a packed 11-game NBA slate
  • I have generated ATS and O/U picks for all 11 games from our internal A.I. model
  • See today’s top NBA picks against the spread and over/unders

The NBA has a packed 11-game schedule on Monday, starting with a pair of 7:00 pm ET tips and ending with Mavericks/Trail Blazers at 10:30 pm ET.

I have asked Sportradar’s internal A.I. to generate its top ATS and O/U NBA picks for each of today’s 11 games. The table below sets out the picks for each game in chronological order.

NBA Picks Today (Monday, Dec. 29)

GameATS PickO/U Pick
Suns vs WizardsPHX -10.5Over 232.5
Bucks vs HornetsMIL -3.5Over 227.5
Nuggets vs HeatDEN -2.5Over 245.5
Warriors vs NetsBKN +5.5Over 224.5
Magic vs RaptorsORL -1.5Over 219.5
Pacers vs RocketsHOU -15.5Over 220.5
Hawks vs ThunderNoneOver 235.5
Cavaliers vs SpursSAS -3.0Over 243.5
Timberwolves vs HeatMIN -6.5Over 241.5
Knicks vs PelicansNYK -8.0Over 246.5
Mavericks vs Trail BlazersPOR -2.5Over 232.5

The A.I. has specified its four best bets for Monday night: (1) Knicks -8.5, (2) Pacers/Rockets Over 220.5, (3) Warriors/Nets Over 224.4, (4) Suns -10.5. Bettors can find one-click links to tail each bet at the best-available price in the ensuing sections.

Odds and picks as of 1:30 pm ET. Bookmark SBD’s NBA odds page to see up-to-the-minute lines for every game this season.

A.I. NBA Best Bet #1: Knicks -8.0 vs Pelicans (-105 at Fanatics)

A.I. reasoning: “The Knicks face a decimated Pelicans squad and are expected to dominate due to massive talent disparity and Jalen Brunson’s exceptional play.”

A.I. NBA Best Bet #2: Pacers vs Rockets Over 220.5 (-110 at BetMGM)

A.I. reasoning: “The Pacers have hit the over in two straight and four of the last six, while Houston has the fourth-best over record in the NBA at 17-11-1. These two offenses combine to average 230.1 PPG while the defenses surrender 230.9 PPG. Both the betting trends and the team stats strongly point to the over.”

A.I. NBA Best Bet #3: Warriors vs Nets Over 225.5 (-110 at Fanatics)

A.I. reasoning: “Though the Nets rank 28th in Offensive Rating, it’s the Warriors that should dictate the tempo tonight. Golden State has hit the over in two straight and five of seven, exceeding at least 226.5 points in all five of those overs. Brooklyn’s offense has been in a better rhythm of late, hitting two straight overs and averaging 111.0 PPG in that five-game stretch, up from 109.6 in the first 24 games of the season.”

A.I. NBA Best Bet #4: Suns -10.5 vs Wizards (-110 at Caesars)

A.I. reasoning: “The Phoenix Suns boast a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games as road favorites and are an NBA-best 21-10 ATS on the season. They should secure a comfortable victory against a Wizards team that’s lost 60% of its games against the spread, including 53% of games when they are double-digit underdogs.”

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET & GET UP TO $2,000 IN FANCASH

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD250BM & GET A BET MATCH ON YOUR FIRST BET UP TO $250!

  • THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 1/11/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/4/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

NFL NBA MLB NHL NCAAF NCAAB Politics Tennis MMA Sportsbooks Gambling

Recommended Reading