Clippers vs Kings Player Props to Bet on Feb 6 – Who Shines in DeRozan-Leonard Showdown?
By Chris Wright in NBA Basketball
Published:
- Sacramento forward DeMar DeRozan presents significant value on his 15.5-point line
- Why bettors should fade Kawhi Leonard’s 28.5-point total
- Our analysis identifies the best player props for Clippers vs Kings
Western Conference heavyweights collide tonight as the LA Clippers visit the Sacramento Kings. Tip-off is set for 10 pm, ET (Amazon Prime).
The Clippers, navigating a reshaped roster following the recent departure of James Harden, lean heavily on the two-way brilliance of Kawhi Leonard and the playmaking of newly acquired Darius Garland. They face a Kings squad anchored by the interior force of Domantas Sabonis and the veteran leadership of DeMar DeRozan and Russell Westbrook, though Sacramento’s defense remains a concern.
The Clippers are a 3.5-point road favorite, but our breakdown analyzes the statistical trends and roster dynamics to identify the best value in the prop betting markets.
Kings vs Clippers Player Prop Bets & Odds
Note: Odds listed are consensus figures. “N/A” denotes markets not currently available.
Kings vs Clippers Prop Market Analysis
Line shopping is essential for Russell Westbrook’s assists in this spot. While DraftKings sets the line at 6.5 with heavy juice on the Over (-150), William Hill New Jersey opened at 5.5 (Over -148). This full-assist discrepancy offers massive value for bettors expecting Westbrook to orchestrate the offense in the absence of other primary ball-handlers.
A similar fracture exists in the market for DeMar DeRozan’s points. Most books, including FanDuel, list him at 15.5 (Over -102), but DraftKings and William Hill have hung a higher 16.5. Bettors backing the Over should target the 15.5 line to gain a crucial point of leverage, while Under bettors will find better equity at the books offering 16.5.
Elsewhere, oddsmakers are bullish on Zach LaVine from beyond the arc. His 3-point line sits at 2.5, but the Over is priced at a steep -190 consensus. This implies a high probability of LaVine capitalizing on a Clippers perimeter defense that has shown vulnerability to high-volume shooters.
Kings vs Clippers Top Player Prop Bets
Best Bet (Kings): DeMar DeRozan Over 15.5 Points (-102 at FanDuel)
The market continues to undervalue DeMar DeRozan, pricing his line at a modest 15.5 despite clear indicators that his role is expanding in Sacramento’s offense.
- Home-Court Comfort: DeRozan has been excellent at the Golden 1 Center, averaging 19.3 points per game across 26 home contests this season. He clears this 15.5 line with ease when playing in front of the Sacramento crowd.
- Recent Volume: Over his last 10 games, DeRozan is averaging 19.9 points per game. In the last five, that number jumps to 23.4 PPG, showing he is aggressively hunting his shot.
- Trend: DeRozan has exceeded 15.5 points in 70% of his home games this season, making the near-even money price at FanDuel a strong value play.

Best Bet (Clippers): Kawhi Leonard Under 28.5 Points (-112 at DraftKings)
Kawhi Leonard remains an elite scorer, but his production sees a statistically significant drop when the Clippers hit the road. The 28.5 line appears inflated based on reputation rather than current travel splits.
- The Road Split: While Leonard dominates in Los Angeles (31.7 PPG), his implied average in road games drops to roughly 22.8 points per game—nearly six points below tonight’s prop total.
- Recent Form: In his last seven active games, Leonard is averaging 24.7 points. Despite shooting efficiently, he hasn’t demanded the volume necessary to threaten a 29-point performance consistently.
- Situational Trend: Leonard has gone Under 28.5 points in 4 of his last 5 road starts. With the Clippers integrating new pieces, the offense may be disjointed enough to keep his total in the mid-20s.
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Kings vs Clippers Injury Report & Roster Updates
Recent trade deadline moves and injuries have drastically altered the landscape for this game. The Clippers are adjusting to life without James Harden and Ivica Zubac, while the Kings monitor key health updates in their frontcourt.
Injury Report Summary
Impact on the Betting Market
The Sabonis Question: The status of Domantas Sabonis (Questionable, Back) is the most critical variable. If he sits, his 10.5 rebounds prop voids, and the Kings’ interior defense — already weak — collapses further. This would force wings like DeMar DeRozan and De’Andre Hunter to crash the glass, potentially offering value on their rebounding overs. If Sabonis plays, mobility issues could still limit his defensive effectiveness.
Clippers’ New Era Backcourt: With James Harden traded to Cleveland and Darius Garland (Toe) listed as Day-to-Day, the playmaking burden falls squarely on Kris Dunn. If Garland remains out, Dunn’s usage rate will skyrocket, solidifying the value on his assists and points props. The absence of Bradley Beal further consolidates shot attempts for the remaining guards.
Kings’ Wing Rotation: The absence of Keegan Murray (Ankle) creates significant minutes on the wing. This consolidates offensive opportunities for DeMar DeRozan and newcomer De’Andre Hunter. Bettors should expect inflated volume for both players, making their scoring props more attractive than usual.
Kings vs Clippers Odds
The betting market has stabilized ahead of tip-off, with the road team favored in this Pacific Division clash.
- Spread: LA Clippers -3.5 (-113) | Sacramento Kings +3.5 (-107)
- Moneyline: LA Clippers (-167) | Sacramento Kings (+140)
- Total: Over/Under 222.5 (-110)
The Clippers open as -3.5 favorites, with money moving slightly in their direction from an opener of -3. Sacramento offers +140 value on the moneyline as home underdogs.
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A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.