Cooper Flagg Rookie of the Year Odds – Is Mavericks First-Overall Pick the Betting Favorite?
By Sascha Paruk in NBA Basketball
Published:
- The 2026 NBA Rookie of the Year odds have opened after the draft
- Dallas Mavericks first-overall pick Cooper Flagg is the chalk
- See the opening NBA Rookie of the Year odds for all the early contenders
The 2025 NBA Draft is in the books and sportsbooks have now posted odds for the 2025-26 NBA Rookie of the Year odds. It’s not terribly surprising that Duke product and #1 overall pick Cooper Flagg is the favorite. But it may be a shock to some just how short he is.
The table below lists the NBA Rookie of the Year odds for every player currently on the board.
2026 NBA Rookie of the Year Odds
At 200, Flagg has an implied win probability of 66.66%. The next-best odds belong to #2 pick Dylan Harper of the Spurs at +900, which is just a 10% implied win probability. Odds as of June 25 at DraftKings. Check out SBD’s list of the best online sportsbooks.
How Often Does the #1 Pick Win NBA Rookie of the Year?
As the #1 overall pick, Flagg is in fairly good company when it comes to past NBA ROY winners. In the __ year history of the award, 24 first-overall picks have won NBA ROY, which is eight more than second-overall picks, which have won the second-most (16).
First-overall picks have won two of the last three – Paolo Banchero in 2023 and Victor Wembenyama in 2024 – and four in the last decade.
Last 10 NBA ROY Winners & Draft Position
Before you go betting on a second-round longshot, or even anyone outside of the top-ten picks, take a crash-course in NBA ROY history. Only one second-round pick has won Rookie of the Year since Woody Sauldsberry in 1957 (Malcolm Brogdon in 2017).
Since 18th-overall Mark Jackson won in 1988, only two players outside the top-ten picks have won the award: Brogdon and 11th-overall pick Michael Carter-Williams in 2014.
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Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
