Denver Nuggets vs Indiana Pacers Picks, Player Props, Best Bets & Closing Odds (Dec. 3)

• The Nuggets are 9-5 ATS in their last 14 games
• Nikola Jokic’s assists prop is the top player target
• See the Nuggets vs Pacers picks, player props to bet, and closing odds for Dec. 3rd

A Western Conference powerhouse clashes with an Eastern Conference basement-dweller on Wednesday as the Denver Nuggets (14-6, 8-2 away, 12-8 ATS, 13-7 O/U) visit the injury-riddled Indiana Pacers (4-17, 4-7 home, 11-10 ATS, 8-13 O/U) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse at 7:00 pm ET, with FDSIN and ALT carrying the local broadcasts.

The Nuggets, fresh off a dominant 130-112 road win against Phoenix, enter this contest as sizable road favorites, laying as many as 8.5 against a Pacers squad looking to bounce after an ugly 135-119 loss to Cleveland (which was on the second night of a back-to-back).

This article will dive into the stats and betting trends to find the best Nuggets vs Pacers picks and props to target. First, the latest DEN/IND odds.

DEN Nuggets vs IND Pacers Closing Odds

The Nuggets/Packers point spread ranges from DEN -7.5 to -8.5. Denver ATS bettors should take -7.5 (-115) at BetMGM. Indiana ATS bettors should take +8.5 (-115) at DraftKings.

On the moneyline, the Pacers are a market-best +285 at FanDuel, while the Nuggets are -325 at BetMGM.

The game total only shows a half-point range from 236.0 to 236.5. Over betors should take 236.0 (-110) at bet365. Under bettors should take 236.5 (-106) at FanDuel.

Odds commentary as of 2:23 pm ET. The lines in the interactive table above will update automatically with the best-available price for each market over the course of the day.

DEN vs IND Player Props

NBA player props represent consensus lines across sportsbooks at 1:35 pm ET.

Nuggets vs Pacers Picks, Predictions & Best Bets

DEN vs IND ATS Pick: DEN -7.5 (115) at BetMGM

When the dust settles at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, expect the Nuggets to not only win but to do so decisively. While the trends present a mixed picture, the underlying matchup heavily favors the visitors. The Pacers have shown a troubling habit of failing to compete against elite competition on their home floor, as evidenced by their trend of having lost their last four games at home against opponents with a winning record.

While Indiana has been scrappy against the spread in these spots, going 3-1 ATS in their last four games against winning teams, the Nuggets’ talent advantage is too significant to ignore, and this spread isn’t that big. Denver enters this contest with a strong 9-5 ATS record over their last 14 games, and I am backing that momentum to continue against a depleted Indiana squad.

DEN vs IND Game-Total Pick: Under 236.5 (-106) at FanDuel

The best value in this game might be on the total. The O/U is as high 236.5 at FanDuel, but history between these two teams suggests a lower-scoring affair. The over has hit in just one of Indiana’s last five games against the Nuggets. Taking the under on a total that has already been bet up from its opening line of 233.5 is the sharp play.

DEN vs IND Player Prop to Target: Jokic Over 10.5 Assists (-125) at FanDuel

The top player prop is Denver’s master facilitator, Nikola Jokic, to hit the over on his assist prop of 10.5. The Pacers’ defensive struggles are a key factor here, and Jokic is the perfect player to exploit them.

Statistical Analysis: Nuggets vs Pacers

This matchup presents a classic case of an elite, efficient offense against a struggling defense. A deep dive into the season’s statistics reveals significant mismatches across the board, particularly in offensive execution and rebounding, all of which heavily favor the Nuggets. For the Pacers to keep this game competitive, they’ll need to defy their statistical profile in nearly every key category.

Here’s how the two teams stack up against each other this season: