Giannis Antetokounmpo Season Props: Greek Freak Expected to Average 27.5 PPG, Record Over 5 Triple-Doubles

Giannis Antetokounmpo celebrating
Oddsmakers see Giannis Antetokounmpo's PPG, RPG, and APG all going down a little compared to his 2018-19 MVP season. Photo by Keith Allison (Flickr) [CCLicense]
  • Odds have been released for over/under prop wagers for reigning MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo
  • His PPG, APG, and RPG totals are all lower than last year
  • How should you wager on Giannis’ 2019-20 season totals?

NBA general managers have spoken and the consensus is clear: Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo is the overwhelming favorite to repeat as NBA MVP. In a league-wide poll of GMs conducted by, Milwaukee’s “Greek Freak” was the MVP choice of 52 percent of GMs.

Numbers-wise, however, Giannis is projected to see slight dips in scoring, assists, and rebounds this season.

Last year, he set career-highs with 27.7 points per game, 5.9 assists per game and 12.5 rebounds per game. The NBA player props have the over/unders for Antetokounmpo set at 27.5 points per game, 5.5 assists per game, and 11.5 rebounds per game, to go along with 5.5 triple doubles.

Giannis Antetokounmpo 2019-20 Season Props

Prop Over Odds Under Odds
Points Per Game 27.5 (-120) 27.5 (-120)
Assists Per Game 5.5 (-120) 5.5 (-120)
Rebounds Per Game 11.5 (-120) 11.5 (-120)
Triple Doubles 5.5 (-120) 5.5 (-120)

*Odds taken on 10/18/19

The Bucks Supporting Cast Has Changed

The Bucks aren’t returning intact after winning an NBA-best 60 games last year. Their biggest losses are guard Malcolm Brogdon and forward Nikola Mirotic. The reliable Brogdon, a former NBA Rookie of the Year, was also one of just eight members of the league’s exclusive 50-40-90 club.

Milwaukee hopes it can overcome Brogdon’s departure with free agents Wesley Matthews and Kyle Korver. A 3-point specialist who boasts a career 42.9% average from behind the arc, Korver’s move to Milwaukee reunites him with Mike Budenholzer, his former head coach in Atlanta. Korver made his only All-Star appearance playing for Coach Bud and the Hawks in 2015.

Keeping Khris Middleton in Milwaukee was a key task for the Bucks this summer, and they succeeded, signing the All-Star forward to a five-year deal. He and Giannis, along with center Brook Lopez and first-team all-defensive guard Eric Bledsoe, give the Bucks a strong core of returning talent.

The Bucks aren’t going to reinvent the wheel with their offense after last season’s success. Their incoming personnel, including big man Robin Lopez, who joins brother Brook on the Bucks, all fit Budholzer’s system.

Milwaukee will still play an up-tempo game and take a high volume of outside shots , meaning there will be lots of chances for Giannis to clean up rebounds and score on putbacks, or dish out assists to Korver and open teammates on the perimeter.

The Competition in the East Could Be Stiffer

For the second straight summer, Bucks fans watched with pleasure as a star player on a pesky conference rival packed his bags and headed West. One year ago, it was LeBron James ditching Cleveland for the Lakers. This summer, defending-champion Toronto couldn’t convince Kawhi Leonard to run it back with the Raptors, losing their Fun Guy to the LA Clippers.

The Bucks may project as the best team in the East, but there’s a growing middle class in the conference that could bring more consistent challenges.

Even the biggest incoming star from the West, Brooklyn’s Kevin Durant, is on the shelf as he rehabs his torn Achilles’ heel injury.

Advantage Milwaukee, right?

The Bucks may project as the best team in the East, but there’s a growing middle class in the conference that could bring more consistent challenges to those at the top. The contenders are led by the Philadelphia 76ers, who replaced Jimmy Butler and JJ Redick with Al Horford and Josh Richardson.

Then there’s Boston, who lost Kyrie Irving to the Nets but landed Kemba Walker to play alongside Jayson Tatum and Gordon Hayward.

In Toronto, the Raptors still boast five-time All-Star Kyle Lowry, a Giannis-lite player in Pascal Siakam, and the imposing front-line duo of Marc Gasol and Serge Ibaka.

Meanwhile, Butler’s move to Miami makes the Heat harder to handle while the Nets are better with Irving in the fold, and a force in waiting once Durant gets healthy.

The Lowdown

Antetokounmpo suffered through sleepless nights after the Toronto Raptors rallied from an 0-2 deficit to beat the Bucks in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

Once he’d put that difficult defeat behind him, Antetokounmpo focussed on becoming more of a leader. He’s made it clear that he intends to put it all on the line for a shot at a title, and expects those around him to do the same.

He doesn’t sound like a great candidate for regression.

PICKS: OVER 27.5 points per game (-120); OVER 5.5 assists per game (-120), OVER 11.5 rebounds per game, UNDER 5.5 triple doubles.

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