Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Player Props & Picks: Back Naz Reid’s Hot Streak, Fade Aldama’s Rebounds

• My top player prop to target in Grizzlies vs Timberwolves is Naz Reid over 2.5 made threes at plus-money
• The under on Santi Aldama’s rebound total is another plus-money prop I’m targeting tonight
• See my Grizzlies vs Timberwolves player props to bet on Dec. 17th

The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-9, 9-4 home) host the Memphis Grizzlies (12-14, 6-7 away) on Wednesday at 8:00 pm ET in a Western Conference clash that presents compelling betting angles despite both teams’ injury concerns. The Timberwolves enter as substantial 8.5-point home favorites in Wednesday’s NBA odds, with the O/U plummeting to 228.5 after opening at 234.5.

Memphis arrives as a dangerous road underdog, with Ja Morant’s dynamic playmaking serving as their primary catalyst when healthy. Both Morant and Anthony Edwards carry “questionable” injury designations, and their presence/absence will transform the entire betting landscape for this matchup one way or the other.

Memphis vs Minnesota will air nationally on NBA TV, with local broadcasts available on Fox Sports North and Fox Sports Southeast. Below, I will set out the main Grizzlies vs Timberwolves player props, followed by my favorite prop picks to target tonight.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves Player Props Market

Odds and lines in the table represent the consensus across sportsbooks circa 12:01 pm ET. For up-to-the-minute odds, bookmark SBD’s NBA player props page.

Notable Line Movement

Julius Randle Points (22.5 to 23.5)
Randle’s scoring total demonstrates clear market disagreement, with BetMGM and BetRivers maintaining their opening line of 22.5 while DraftKings and FanDuel moved to 23.5. The one-point differential creates arbitrage opportunities for sharp bettors who can access multiple books.

Anthony Edwards Points (27.5 to 28.5)
Similar to his teammate, Edwards’ line shows upward movement from its opening number. BetMGM remains at 27.5 with attractive -118 odds on the over, while most markets settled at 28.5.

Grizzlies vs Timberwolves: Player-Prop Picks & Predictions

After analyzing team trends, defensive matchups, and recent form, two props offer significant value based on statistical edges and favorable situational spots.

Best Bet: Naz Reid Over 2.5 Made Threes (+122) at FanDuel

Reid enters this matchup in scorching form from three-point range, perfectly positioned to exploit Memphis’s defensive struggles on the perimeter. The Grizzlies allow opponents to make 14.5 three-pointers per game on 36.8% shooting (22nd in the NBA), with road games seeing that number climb to 15.4 made threes per contest.

Statistical Support:

• Reid is averaging 3.6 made threes over his last five games on 8.2 attempts (43.9% accuracy)
• Reid is averaging 3.0 made threes over his last ten
• At Target Center this season, Reid connects on 2.7 threes per game, last 10 games show sustained excellence at 3.0 made threes per contest.

Best Bet: Santi Aldama Under 6.5 Rebounds (+110) at FanDuel

Aldama faces a brutal rebounding matchup against Minnesota’s imposing frontcourt while showing declining production in recent games. His numbers have trended consistently below this generous line.

Statistical Support:

• Aldama averages 6.3 rebounds per game this season, below the 6.5 line
• Over his last 10 games, production drops to 5.7 rebounds per game
• His last five games show further decline to just 5.0 rebounds per game

Matchup Analysis: Minnesota’s rebounding trio of Rudy Gobert (10.3 RPG), Julius Randle (7.3 RPG), and Naz Reid (6.1 RPG) creates overwhelming competition on the glass. The Timberwolves rank a solid 11th in REB% and 12th in DREB%, limiting second-chance opportunities for opposing forwards.

Don’t bother pairing these two picks in a same-game parlay at FanDuel. A fair price for a two-leg parlay with +122 and +110 odds would be +366. FanDuel will only grant bettors +304 odds on this particular parlay, even though there is no meaningful correlation between the two legs.

Game Odds & Betting Information

The Timberwolves enter as substantial home favorites, with the betting market reflecting Minnesota’s superior depth and Memphis’s injury concerns.

DraftKings Betting Lines:

• Spread: Timberwolves -7.5 (-110) / Grizzlies +7.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Timberwolves -290 / Grizzlies +235
• Total: Over/Under 230.5 (-110 both sides)

The -290 moneyline odds indicate approximately 74% implied probability for a Minnesota victory, while the 7.5-point spread suggests oddsmakers expect a comfortable home win. The total has dropped significantly from its 236.5 opener to 230.5, reflecting concerns about offensive production given the injury uncertainty surrounding both teams’ primary scorers.

Game Information:

• Date: Wednesday, December 18, 2024
• Tip-Off: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Television: NBA TV (National), Fox Sports North (Home), Fox Sports Southeast (Away)- Date: Wednesday, December 18, 2025