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Grizzlies vs Warriors Picks and Odds

Sam Cox

by Sam Cox in NBA Basketball

Oct 27, 2021 · 7:00 PM PDT

Steph Curry launches a jumper
Oct 26, 2021; Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA; Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) shoots a three point shot against the Oklahoma City Thunder during the second quarter at Paycom Center. Mandatory Credit: Alonzo Adams-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Grizzlies and Warriors clash at Chase Center on Thursday, October, 27th
  • Golden State is off to a flying start, going 4-0 in the opening week of the season
  • Read below for the latest Grizzlies vs Warriors odds and a betting preview

The Golden State Warriors are favored for their matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies on Thursday, October, 27th. Memphis is heading to San Francisco on the second night of a back-to-back after playing Portland on Wednesday night.

These teams share a fledgling rivalry following their feisty duel in the play-in tournament last season. Their ambitions for 2021-22 are a long way apart, though this is poised to be another epic encounter between two teams who have impressed early on in the Western Conference.

Grizzlies vs Warriors Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total Points
Memphis Grizzlies +5.5 (-110) +198 O 233 (-110)
Golden State Warriors -5.5 (-110) -240 U 233 (-110)

Odds as of Oct 27 at FanDuel.

Memphis has covered the spread in its first three games of the campaign, while the Warriors are 2-2 ATS. The Grizz are also 3-0 on the over, with Golden State hitting the under in three of its first four.

Depth Pays For Golden State

Steph Curry is the joint-favorite for 2022 NBA MVP, but the Warriors’ 4-0 start has been just as much about their depth as it has been the generational brilliance of Curry. Damion Lee stepped up with 20 in the win over the Thunder. It was Jordan Poole with 22 and Gary Payton II with 10 against the Kings. Nemanja Bjelica, Poole, Andre Iguodala and Lee combined for 62 points on 42 shots against the Lakers.

This has been supported by a reliable 17 points per game from Andrew Wiggins, Draymond Green being more aggressive on offense, and solid front court play from Kevon Looney, Otto Porter and Juan Toscano-Anderson.

Steve Kerr has lineup options both with and without Curry. This is a different Warrior team to the one which lost in the play-in tournament. It’s a roster with a higher IQ, and which looks more comfortable in Kerr’s offense. They are even looking competitive when Curry is on the bench, which is a worrying sign for their opponents.

Golden State ranks seventh in three-point shooting percentage, and it’s no fluke. This roster is now loaded with shooters, and they have been in a good flow in the half court to find open men.

How will the Grizzlies cope with the Warriors’ ball movement? They have given up the second-worst opponent three-point percentage so far this season.

Missing Brooks

Memphis is dead last in defensive rating through three games. It’s a tiny sample size, of course, and they have already faced both Los Angeles teams, but it doesn’t bode well for taking on this Warriors offense. Golden State is sixth in offense so far this season.

Taylor Jenkins is also without Dillon Brooks (hand/thigh). Brooks was their star man on defense through much of last season, and he relished the Curry assignment. While there was some foul trouble sprinkled in, Brooks’ absence clearly hurts their defense in Thursday’s game.

His impact goes beyond defense, too. There are holes in his offensive game, but Brooks averaged over 17 per night last season and the Grizz are 7.2 points per 100 possessions better off with him on the floor.

A lot of responsibility falls to De’Anthony Melton, who is another plus-defender, when it comes to guarding Curry. It was always going to be a team effort, but Brooks’ absence makes matching up that much more difficult.

Take The Warriors

Memphis put in an almighty performance on the second night of a back-to-back in Los Angeles. Early in the season and with a young roster, playing consecutive nights might not be too much of a problem for them.

Shooting over 40% from three as a team and with Ja Morant playing like an MVP candidate, their offense should be able to compete with the Warriors, but the concern is at the other end of the floor. They are a better defensive team than they have shown so far this season, yet the Warriors’ offense provides a unique challenge for an inexperienced group.

The Grizz will fight hard as they do every night. This could be another close game, but we think the Warriors will take the win.

Pick: Golden State Warriors Moneyline (-240)

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