Heat vs Mavericks Odds, Predictions and Best Bet
- The Dallas Mavericks are 1.5-point home favorites over the Miami Heat on Tuesday (Nov. 2nd, 7:30 pm ET)
- Miami enters play on a four-game winning streak, while Dallas has won four of five
- Read below for odds, analysis and a betting prediction
Two teams off to solid starts square off on Tuesday (Nov. 2nd) in Dallas, as the Mavericks host the Miami Heat. Miami enters play riding a four-game winning streak, while Dallas has won four of five themselves.
Statistically, the Heat are arguably the best team in the league so far, which explains their torrid start. The Mavs on the other hand, don’t rate out especially strong on offense or defense, yet are still finding ways to rack up victories.
Heat vs Mavericks Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Heat | +102 | +1.5 (-110) | OFF |
| Dallas Mavericks | -120 | -1.5 (-110) | OFF |
Odds as of Nov. 1st at FanDuel.
Dallas opened up as a 1.5-point favorite for this contest, while the total is currently off the board. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 pm ET at American Airlines Center, while the game will be broadcast nationwide on TNT.
Mavs Bounce Back Versus Kings
The Mavericks were dealt at 31-point loss in Denver last Friday, but rebounded two nights later back on home court. Dallas took down Sacramento 105-99, behind a 23-point effort from superstar Luka Doncic.
Luka. that works. pic.twitter.com/uJjYysnv20
— Rob Perez (@WorldWideWob) October 31, 2021
The two-time All-Star added 8 rebounds and 10 assists, but is actually off to a slow start by his standards. Doncic has put up just three double-doubles in six outings, and ranks 70th in PER.
Tim Hardaway Jr. poured in 16 points versus the Kings, while Dorian Finney-Smith added 13 points and 6 boards. The Mavs were without their third leading scorer Kristaps Porzingis for a third straight game due to lower back tightness, and lost his replacement Maxi Kleber after just a single quarter with a back injury of his own. Kleber has already been ruled out for Tuesday’s matchup, while Porzingis is currently questionable.
NBA INJURY ALERT: Mavericks PF Kristaps Porzingis (back) is questionable Tuesday vs. the Heat.
C Maxi Kleber (back) has been ruled out. pic.twitter.com/0J7FMLsM9Z
— DK Nation (@dklive) November 1, 2021
Dallas shot just 44% from the field, and 32% from beyond the arc, but made up for the poor shooting performance by clamping down on Sacramento. The Mavs held the Kings to 39.6% shooting from the field and a season low point total, while forcing 20 turnovers.
Dallas may be 4-2, but the Mavs are going to need to improve their shooting if they want keep pace with the stronger teams in the league. They enter play on Tuesday ranked last in field goal percentage, 28th in points per game, and 26th in three-point efficiency.
Heat Are Scorching Hot
Miami meanwhile, is fresh off a 129-103 rout of Memphis, the team’s fifth win this season by 13 points or more. Jimmy Butler led the way with 27, while Tyler Herro splashed 22, and Kyle Lowry added 15 points and 8 assists.
How many times have you watched this? pic.twitter.com/rnXEiT1QsL
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) October 31, 2021
The Heat racked up a season-best 21 three’s, one short of the franchise record. They won the rebounding and points in the paint battle versus the Kings, despite missing starting center Bam Adebayo. The 24-year-old sat out the contest with a knee injury and is listed as questionable for Tuesday night.
Count them. All 21 3's from last night's win. pic.twitter.com/XEbTNVQPuT
— Miami HEAT (@MiamiHEAT) October 31, 2021
Miami shot 52.3% from the field, and 56.8% from three versus Sacramento, but red-hot shooting is nothing new to the Heat. Eric Spoelstra’s squad ranks sixth in field goal percentage, ninth from three-point land, and third in points per game.
Defensively, they feature the league’s number one scoring defense, and rank first in opponent field goal percentage. They just held the Grizzlies to 38.6% from the field, and have yielded 103 points or less in all six of their games.
Heat vs Mavericks Pick
Not surprisingly, Miami has dominated against the spread so far, posting a 5-1 mark. They’re covering by an average of 13.7 points per game, and have beaten the number in both instances as an underdog.
The Miami Heat just went into Memphis on the second night of a back to back and put up a cool 129 points without Bam Adebayo. Never trailed. That’s not the best team in the East. It is the best team in basketball. And it’s not particularly close. Lead your shows with that.
— ParakHEAT Cortes (@Ryan_Cortes) October 31, 2021
The same can’t be said for Dallas. The Mavs are 2-4 ATS, and have covered in just one of three home games. Dating back to last season, they’re 16-26 ATS at American Airlines Center, and given the uncertainty of Porzingis’ playing status, plus Miami’s incredible form, it makes sense to roll with the Heat.
Pick: Miami Heat +1.5 (-110)
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
