Kings vs Raptors Picks, Predictions & Odds – NBA Summer League Semifinal (July 19)

• The Raptors are 3.5-point favorites over the Kings in Saturday’s Summer League semifinal at 4:00 PM ET
• Both teams enter undefeated at 4-0 with Toronto earning the No. 1 seed
• See below for my Kings vs Raptors picks and predictions, plus odds for the semifinal showdown

Saturday’s NBA Summer League semifinals tip off at Thomas & Mack Center with two undefeated teams battling for a championship berth. The top-seeded Raptors face the fourth-seeded Kings at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN.

Toronto secured the top seed with a plus-15.8 point differential through four games. Sacramento snuck into the playoffs as the fourth seed despite their 4-0 record, edging out Minnesota on tiebreakers.

The winner advances to Sunday night’s championship game at 10:00 PM ET against either Charlotte or Oklahoma City.

Kings vs Raptors Picks and Predictions

• Raptors -3.5 (-110 at bet365)
• Under 185.5 (-110 at bet365)

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Toronto’s defense has been the story of Summer League. They’ve forced an absurd 117 turnovers through four games, turning them into easy transition buckets. The Raptors allow just 38% shooting while creating havoc with their full-court pressure.

Collin Murray-Boyles embodies everything Toronto wants to be. The ninth overall pick dropped 20 points against Golden State while adding four steals. His defensive intensity sets the tone for a team that treats Summer League like it matters.

Contrasting Styles

Sacramento presents a completely different challenge. The Kings lead all Summer League teams shooting 38.8% from three while posting a 50.4% field goal percentage. They play with pace and space, exactly what Toronto wants to prevent.

Nique Clifford has been sensational for Sacramento. The 24th pick averages 18.5 points, 6.5 rebounds and 5.0 assists while showing legitimate two-way potential. His versatility gives the Kings multiple ways to attack Toronto’s pressure.

The problem for Sacramento? Toronto has already proven they can win ugly. The Raptors shoot just 29.5% from three but compensate with relentless effort. They’ve won the possession battle in every game through turnovers and offensive rebounds.

AJ Lawson provides veteran leadership for Toronto with 18.5 points per game on 50% shooting. The hometown kid has embraced his role after bouncing around the league. His 45.5% three-point shooting gives Toronto the spacing they desperately need.

Devin Carter’s redemption tour continues for Sacramento. After missing most of his rookie year, he’s averaging 16.5 points while shooting 40.9% from deep. But can he handle Toronto’s physical pressure for 40 minutes?

The total feels high considering Toronto’s defensive dominance. They’ve held opponents under 70 points twice in four games. Sacramento’s efficient offense faces its toughest test against a team that simply doesn’t stop coming.

Toronto’s depth advantage shows up late in games. They’ve outscored opponents by 28 points in fourth quarters. Sacramento’s thinner rotation could struggle when legs get heavy and Toronto keeps pressing.

Kings vs Raptors Odds

Toronto is a 3.5-point favorite on the spread and -160 on the moneyline, translating to 61.5% implied win probability. At +135 on the moneyline, Sacramento has 42.6% implied win probability.

The line reflects Toronto’s status as the tournament’s best team. Their perfect record, combined with dominant defensive metrics, makes them rightful favorites. Sharp money pushed this from Toronto -2.5 to -3.5 overnight.

The total opened at 188 before dropping to 185.5. Both teams have championship aspirations, which typically leads to tighter defense in elimination games. The stakes change everything in Summer League semifinals.

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Odds as of July 19 at bet365. Get the bet365 promo code before signing up.