Raptors vs Knicks Picks, Predictions & Player Props to Bet (Nov 30)

• The Toronto Raptors visit the New York Knicks in a heavyweight Eastern Conference tilt on Sunday night
• Key scorers RJ Barrett (Toronto) and OG Anunoby (New York) are sidelined
• See the Knicks vs Raptors picks, predictions, top player props to bet, and latest odds for Nov. 30

The second and third-place teams in the Eastern Conference meet on Sunday afternoon as the Toronto Raptors (14-6, 7-4 away, 10-10 ATS, 8-12 O/U) visit the New York Knicks (12-6, 9-1 home, 11-7 ATS, 10-8 O/U) at Madison Square Garden at 6:00 pm ET.

From a betting perspective, this matchup is complicated by significant injuries on both sides. The Raptors will be without a key offensive weapon in RJ Barrett, who is out with a knee injury. Similarly, the Knicks will be missing the versatile OG Anunoby due to a hamstring issue, a critical absence that could impact them on both ends of the floor.

This TOR/NYK preview will dive into the stats and betting trends in order to find the best Raptors vs Knicks picks and props to target.

Knicks vs Raptors Picks & Predictions

ATS Pick: Knicks -7.5 (-115) at ESPN

The betting trends for this matchup point heavily in favor of the home team. The Knicks have turned Madison Square Garden into a fortress this season, compiling an impressive 9-1 record at home, both straight-up and against the spread. In contrast, the Raptors arrive under strenuous circumstances, playing the second half of a back-to-back on the road – a situation where they have historically struggled, going an abysmal 1-13 record in their last 14, highlighting a significant issue with fatigue and travel. Toronto is also just 1-3 against the spread in its last four overall, compared to the Knicks’ 3-1 ATS record over their last four.

Given the overwhelming situational trends, the value lies with backing the well-rested and dominant home team against a struggling, tired opponent.

Game-Total Pick: Under 230.5 (-112) at FanDuel

Another compelling trend supports an under bet: the over has hit in just one of the Raptors’ last six games when playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Fatigue often leads to tired legs and sloppy offense, which should suppress scoring. With both teams missing key offensive players, points may be harder to come by than the total suggests.

Best TOR vs NYK Player Prop to Bet: Barnes Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Aligning with the team-wide under trend, fading the Raptors’ primary playmaker is a logical play. While Barnes will have the ball in his hands, he faces a tough Knicks defense on tired legs.

In three previous games this season on no rest, Barnes is averaging just 25.0 P+R+A, a massive 7.5 fewer than his line of 32.5.

Updated TOR Raptors vs NY Knicks Odds

The latest NBA odds show the Knicks ranging from 7.5 to 8.5-point favorites. BetRivers has the best ATS line for NYK bettors; DraftKings has the best ATS line for TOR bettors.

On the moneyline, the best price on a Raptor victory is +265 at FanDuel, while bet365 has the best price on a Knick victory at -310.

The total ranges from 229.5 (with a -110 over price at Caesars) to 230.5 (with a -112 under price at FanDuel).

Odds commentary as of 1:43 pm ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price for each market if the odds move before tip-off.

TOR vs NYK Public Betting Splits

While the public is heavily invested in certain outcomes, the money distribution suggests a more nuanced and, in some cases, contradictory expectation.

• Moneyline: The public is overwhelmingly confident in a straight-up Knicks victory. New York is attracting a massive 82.5% of all moneyline wagers. The money is also heavily skewed towards the Knicks, who hold 66.5% of the handle. However, the Raptors are drawing 33.5% of the money from just 17.5% of the tickets, indicating that the wagers placed on the underdog, while fewer, are significantly larger on average.

• Spread: The most telling split is in the spread market. The majority of bettors (58.9%) are taking the points and backing the Raptors. In contrast, the money is leaning the other way, with 51.0% of the handle on the Knicks to cover the spread. While this doesn’t meet the classic threshold for a “sharp-vs-public” disagreement, the directional lean is clear: the higher volume of small bets is on Toronto, while the larger wagers slightly favor New York. This aligns with our prediction to lay the points with the Knicks at home.

• Total: In the game-total market, the public is rooting for points, with 74.0% of bets and 73.2% of the money backing the Over. This is a direct contradiction to our pick of the Under. However, a significant trend has emerged that supports a lower-scoring game: recent betting action has seen a 6.5% shift in bets toward the Under, suggesting that sharper, later money is anticipating a defensive battle fueled by fatigue and key injuries.

Statistical Comparison: Raptors vs Knicks

The most glaring mismatch lies in rebounding. The Knicks are one of the league’s most dominant teams on the boards, ranking 4th in total rebound percentage (52.8%) and tied for 4th in offensive rebounds per game (13.6). This relentless effort translates directly into points, as they generate 17.6 second-chance points per game, the 6th-best mark in the NBA. This will be a major problem for a Raptors team that ranks just 26th in offensive rebounding and is mediocre on the defensive glass. With a force like Karl-Anthony Towns (averaging 12.0 rebounds per game at home) controlling the paint, the Knicks are poised to dominate the possession battle through extra opportunities.

Offensively, New York boasts a top-five unit with a 118.3 rating, spearheaded by the dynamic Jalen Brunson. They face a formidable challenge in Toronto’s defense, which owns a top-four defensive rating (109.2) and locks down the perimeter better than any team in the league, holding opponents to a staggeringly low 31.8% from three-point range.

However, the Raptors’ offense, which relies on generating the second-most assists in the league (29.9 per game), is in a precarious position. Playing on the second night of a back-to-back often leads to fatigue, which disrupts passing precision and shooting rhythm. This supports the Under pick, as Toronto may struggle to execute against a physical Knicks team. Scottie Barnes will have to carry a heavy load, but tired legs make his Points + Rebounds + Assists prop a risky bet for the over. For the Raptors to have a chance, Brandon Ingram will need a hyper-efficient scoring night to offset the Knicks’ advantage on the glass and their overall offensive depth.

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