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Lakers vs Warriors Odds, Spread and Prediction

Jack Magruder

by Jack Magruder in NBA Basketball

Feb 11, 2022 · 8:33 PM PST

Lebron James driving to the basket against Giannis Antetokounmpo during an NBA basketball game.
Feb 8, 2022; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (6) moves to the basket against Milwaukee Bucks forward Giannis Antetokounmpo (34) during the first half at Crypto.com Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Warriors are a 7-point favorite over the Lakers on Saturday
  • The Lakers have lost six of their last eight games, 4-4 ATS
  •  Read below for analysis and a betting prediction

The Golden State Warriors (41-15) are a 7-point home favorite over the Los Angeles Lakers at 8:30 pm ET Saturday on ABC. The teams have not met since the Warriors’ 121-114 victory on opening day Oct. 19 in Los Angeles.

The Lakers (26-30) have won three straight and four of the last five at Golden State. They swept the three-game season series  in 2019-20, when the Warriors were without injured Stephen Curry.

Lakers vs Warriors Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Los Angeles Lakers +245 +7 (-110) TBD
Golden State Warriors -300 -7 (-110) TBD

Odds as of February 11th at FanDuel.

The Golden State Warriors are a 7-point favorite against the Lakers. The Warriors are -300 on the moneyline, meaning they have a 75% implied win probability. The Lakers are +245 on the money, putting them at a 28.99% implied win probability.

Lakers, Warriors Stand Pat

The trade deadline passed Thursday without Golden State or the Lakers making a move. The Warriors decided their healthy 15 best are good enough.

The Lakers were unable to reach a deal with Houston when they opted not to package a 2027 first-round draft choice with  Westbrook in a package that would have landed John Wall.  Both Westbrook and Wall have one more year and $47 million left on their contracts.

Magic Johnson weighed in.

Warriors’ Recent Rebounding Woes

Golden State is tied for fifth in the NBA with 46.0 rebounds per game, but the Warriors have been out-rebounded 153-113 in their lasts three, a 110-98 victory at Oklahoma City and losses to Utah and the New York Knicks in back-to-back games Wednesday and Thursday. They were our-rebounded 45-14 on the offensive glass.

The Knicks had a 51-38 rebounding advantage in their 116-114 victory Thursday and Utah had a 52-35 edge the night before in a 111-85 victory that stopped the Warriors’ nine-game winning streak.

Kevin Looney, the only center on the Warriors’ roster, suffered a left quad contusion at Oklahoma City but has started the two games since. He played only 19 minutes against the Knicks, foul trouble also playing a role.

The Warriors have played the last 19 games without triple-seven handyman Draymond Green — 7.9 points, 7.6 rebounds, 7.4 assists — but they managed the glass without him until recently. Green (back, calf) is not expected to return until early March, and they are 12-7 without him.

Looney is averaging 7.5 rebounds a game, Steph Curry is third on the team at 5.4.

The Warriors closed the Knicks’ game with a small group — Curry, Klay Thompson, Jordan Poole, Andrew Wiggins and Jonathan Kuminga, with 6’8 rookie Kuminga playing the “five.” Kuminga, who matched up against Julius Randle, had 17 points and five rebounds. Randle had 28 points and 16 rebounds.

Nemanja Bjelica played 19 minutes in his return after missing six games due to back spasms. Potential paint helper 7’1 James Wiseman, who has not played  this season after suffering a torn meniscus in April, participated in a three-on-three scrimmage in Utah. After several false starts, the Warriors have not set a timetable for his return.

Lakers in Free Fall

The Lakers are a bit of a hot mess. Since capping a four-game winning streak with a 134-118 victory over Atlanta on Jan. 7, they are 5-11 and have not won more than one game in a row while posting two three-game losing streaks.

LeBron James had 30 points in perhaps its most dispiriting loss of the season, 107-105 in Portland on Thursday against a team that cleaned house at the trade deadline and has not had Damian Lillard for a month because of an abdominal surgery.

The Lakers were without Russell Westbrook (back tightness) for the first time this season, and because of off-and-on injuries to James and Anthony Davis have used 28 different starting lineups. They enter the Portland game on a two-game losing streak.

James missed five games recently before returning for the last three, and Davis has played in only 35 games. James (knee) and Westbrook are questionable for the game. Davis (wrist) and Dwight Howard (back) are expected to play.

James has averaged 28.7 points, 8.3 rebounds, 8.3 assists and 37.3 minutes in his last three.

Lakers vs Warriors Head-to-Head Results

The Lakers are 5-2 straight up and 4-3 ATS in the last seven games of the season series. They have won three in a row and four of the last five in the Bay Area, 4-1 ATS. Steph Curry did not play in the first two games of that run while missing 2019-20 season with an injury.

The Lakers are 12-14 ATS on the this season. The Warriors are 17-11-2 ATS at home, all as a favorite.

Lakers vs Warriors Prediction

The Warriors’ recent trouble on the glass is nothing compared to the Lakers’ swoon in several areas, and the fact that general manager Rob Pelinka was unable to trade Westbrook — a player James lobbied in the offseason before the relationship seemed to devolve — may leave a sour taste. The Warriors will reverse the recent series trend.

The pick: Warriors -7 (-110)

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