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Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons: NBA Thursday Betting Preview

Evan Fournier of the Orlando Magic
Evan Fournier drives the lane against the Wizards. Photo by Keith Allison (flickr).

Is that Christmas money from your grandma burning a hole in your pocket? We can help you spend it wisely with our expert NBA wagering advice. Today (Dec. 28) we focus on the best moneyline, ATS, and over/under bets for Magic vs Pistons from the Amway Center in Orlando (7:00 PM ET).

In the NBA, there are game you want to watch and there are games you want to bet on. Magic vs Pistons falls squarely into that second category. Tonight’s tip off in Orlando figures to be a dog of a game as the sputtering Magic tangle with the maddeningly mediocre Pistons. If you have children at home, you may want to cover their eyes if you insist on watching this one from start to finish.

Few teams have been hit harder by injuries this season than the Magic, whose roster is littered with the walking wounded. Orlando is currently without leading rebounder Nikola Vucevic, who broke his hand last week in a game against the Wizards, and three-and-D specialist Terrence Ross, who has been sidelined since November 30th after spraining his MCL and fracturing his tibia in a game against the Thunder. Leading scorer Aaron Gordon will be a game-time decision, and will likely play limited minutes if he laces ‘em up.

Detroit has had to deal with injury woes of its own lately, and is without its starting backcourt of Avery Bradley and Reggie Jackson. Key reserve Jon Leuer is also on the shelf with a sprained right ankle and will be unavailable for tonight’s game.

The good news (yes, there is some) is that the Pistons have enough weapons remaining to make them a reasonably safe bet. Tobias Harris is averaging a career-high 18.1 points per game, Reggie Bullock has emerged as a valuable contributor, and Andre Drummond is hitting a career-high 62-percent of his free throws. It may not sound like much, but Drummond’s ability to hit the occasional freebie has completely changed Detroit’s end-of-game strategy. Head coach Stan Van Gundy finally has the luxury of keeping his best defender on the court during crunch time, thereby limiting second-chance points and preventing opposing guards from driving into the lane with impunity. The Pistons don’t always capitalize on Drummond’s defensive gifts, but they should be able to make the most of his presence tonight against the lowly Magic.

Ryan Murphy 2017-18 ATS Season Stats:

  • ATS record: 17-8
  • SU record: 122-58

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons Team Stats

OFFENSE

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons offensive stats

DEFENSE

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons defensive stats

Head-to-Head Results

The Pistons defeated the Magic 114-110 during their first meeting of the season on December 17th. Reggie Bullock led the way with a career-high 20 points and Detroit set a franchise record with 17 three-pointers, including five from reserve forward Anthony Tolliver.

The game appeared to be out of reach until late in the fourth quarter, when Orlando scored 19 unanswered points and came close to erasing a 24-point deficit. The run was keyed by Croatian combo guard Mario Hezonja, who was 8-12 from behind the arc and finished with a season-high 28 points.

Detroit head coach Stan Van Gundy was furious afterwards with his team’s lack of energy and effort during the second half. “We played a very good first half, Reggie Bullock and Anthony Tolliver played very well, and we didn’t try at all in the second half,” he vented to reporters. “We didn’t bring anything to the second half.”

Recent Results

MAGIC: The Magic fell to Miami on Tuesday night, 107-89, thanks to a 39-point fourth quarter from the Heat. Elfrid Payton led the way for Orlando with 19 points and Evan Fournier added 14 in his first game back from an eight-game absence with an ankle injury. Orlando led by six at half, but had no answer for Wayne Ellington, who was 6-10 from behind the arc and finished with 18 points.

PISTONS: The Pistons shut down Victor Oladipo and slowed the Pacers en route to a 107-83 win on Tuesday night. Tobias Harris led the way with 30 points on 10-11 shooting, and Andre Drummond recorded his 23rd double-double of the season with 21 points and 18 boards.

Notable Injuries and Absences

MAGIC: Aaron Gordon, Terrence Ross, Nikola Vucevic

Aaron Gordon is nursing a strained right calf and will be a game-time decision. Terrence Ross is out indefinitely with a sprained right MCL and a fractured tibia. Nikola Vucevic is out indefinitely after breaking a bone in his left index finger on Saturday in a game against the Wizards.

PISTONS: Avery Bradley, Reggie Jackson, Jon Leuer

Avery Bradley is recovering from a strained right abductor and is expected to be sidelined until January 3rd. Jackson sprained his ankle on Tuesday evening against the Pacers and is expected to miss six-to-eight weeks. Jon Leuer is recovering from a sprained right ankle and is likely to miss the next three weeks.

Betting the Moneyline

BEST MAGIC MONEYLINE: +170

BEST PISTONS MONEYLINE: -190

MAGIC STRAIGHT UP TRENDS

  • Orlando is 6-9 SU at home this season
  • Orlando is 1-9 SU in their last ten games
  • Orlando is 6-20 SU as an underdog this season
  • Orlando is 6-14 SU in conference games
  • Orlando is 6-17 SU after a loss this season
  • Orlando is 5-15 SU on one day of rest this season

 

PISTONS STRAIGHT UP TRENDS

  • Detroit is 8-9 SU on the road this season
  • Detroit is 5-5 SU in their last ten games
  • Detroit is 13-4 SU as a favorite this season
  • Detroit is 12-9 SU in conference games
  • Detroit is 11-7 SU after a win this season
  • Detroit is 8-10 SU on one day of rest this season

 

EXPERT MONEYLINE ADVICE: PISTONS -190

The Pistons aren’t exactly world beaters, but they are in considerably better shape than the Magic, who have lost nine straight and are without three of their top scorers. Detroit proved on Tuesday night that they’re capable of controlling tempo, closing out on shooters, and neutralizing the other team’s top perimeter threat. And they did so against the Pacers, a bona fide playoff-bound team that’s currently sixth in the rapidly improving Eastern Conference. The Pistons have won five of their last six games and should have little difficulty continuing their streak against a far lesser opponent tonight.

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Betting Against the Spread

BEST MAGIC SPREAD: +4.5 (-110)

BEST PISTONS SPREAD: -4.5 (-110)

MAGIC AGAINST-THE-SPREAD TRENDS 

  • Orlando is 12-22-1 ATS this season (35.3-percent)
  • Orlando is 4-11 ATS at home this season
  • Orlando is riding a four-game ATS losing streak

PISTONS AGAINST-THE-SPREAD TRENDS 

  • Detroit is 19-12-2 ATS this season (61.3-percent)
  • Detroit is 11-5-1 ATS on the road this season
  • Detroit is on a one-game ATS winning streak

EXPERT AGAINST THE SPREAD ADVICE: PISTONS -4.5 (-110)

Detroit has been one of the best teams against the spread all season long thanks to a healthy dose of low expectations from sportsbooks, and a good-but-not-great defense adept at keeping things close against more talented teams. They won’t blow out Orlando this evening, but they’re a safe bet to cover the spread thanks to the absence of Nikola Vucevic, who has been Orlando’s best all-around player and the only one Frank Vogel could count on to score in the paint or get fouled trying. His replacement, Bismack Biyombo, is more than capable of doing the yeoman’s work on the boards, but his 1-7 shooting against Miami proved that his offensive skills are still more raw than a plate of chicken sashimi.

Game Total Betting

BEST OVER ODDS: 202.5 (-110)

BEST UNDER ODDS: 203 (-110)

MAGIC TOTAL TRENDS

  • Orlando is 15-20 O/U this season
  • Orlando is 5-10 O/U at home this season

 

PISTONS TOTAL TRENDS

  • Detroit is 14-19 O/U this season
  • Detroit is 6-11 O/U on the road this season

EXPERT TOTAL ADVICE: OVER 202.2 (-110)

If you’re looking for offensive fireworks, you may want to steer clear of tonight’s game in Orlando, where the Magic and Pistons will just barely surpass 203 points. Orlando has averaged 97 points during its nine-game losing streak and failed to crack 90 points in three of those losses. The Magic suffer from many deficiencies, but their most glaring weakness is a lack of quality options at the one. Elfrid Payton is a world class hair model masquerading as a starting point guard, and Shelvin Mack is already on his fifth team in seven seasons.

Detroit has averaged a slightly more robust 104.4 points over its last five games, but will miss Jackson, who had 17 points and six assists in the team’s last game against the Magic. Career backup Ish Smith should be able to do just enough to keep the ship afloat in his absence.

This is going to be an ugly, grind-it-out game where both teams will struggle to surpass the century mark. Take the over but brace yourself for more bricks than a construction site.

Additional SU Picks

Magic vs Pistons is just one of five games on tap on Thursday night. Here are our other four straight up picks.

 

NBA Straight Up Picks

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