Nuggets vs Thunder Odds, Predictions & Player-Prop Picks for Game 2

• The OKC Thunder aim to even their second-round series with the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night
• The Nuggets overcame a 14-point deficit to win Game 1 but are double-digit underdogs in Game 2
• See the Game 2 Nuggets vs Thunder odds, predictions, and player-prop picks for May 7

The OKC Thunder (74-15, 37-7 home, 55-29-4 ATS) and Denver Nuggets (55-35, 26-19 away, 42-46-2 ATS) meet in Game 2 of their Western Conference semifinal on Wednesday night at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City at 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET.

Denver took Game 1 in stunning fashion, coming back from 14 points down and hitting the game-winning three with under three seconds to play. But the Nuggets vs Thunder Game 2 odds heavily favor OKC evening the best-of-seven affair on Wednesday night.

Denver Nuggets vs OKC Thunder Game 2 Odds

The Thunder, who closed as 10.5-point favorites in Game 1, are laying 10.5 points again in Game 2 on Wednesday night. On the moneyline, OKC is a -500 favorite, which equals an 83.33% implied win probability. The Nuggets come back as +375 road underdogs, a 21.05% implied win probability. The game total has soared to 229.5 O/U, which is three points higher than on Monday, when the teams combined for 240 points.

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Denver’s odds to win the series improved from +500 to +260 after taking Game 1. OKC remains a heavy -320 favorite to advance to the Western Conference final. The Thunder are also +170 favorites in the NBA championship odds.

Three-time NBA MVP and 2023 NBA Finals MVP Nikola Jokic (26.3 PPG, 12.9 RPG, 9.6 APG postseason) dazzled in Game 1 with 42 points, 22 rebounds, and six assists, while Aaron Gordon (19.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.0 APG) added 22 points and 14 rebounds. Jamal Murray (22/6 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 5.9 APG), the Game 7 hero of round one against the Clippers, added 22-6-6.

The Nuggets absolutely murdered OKC on the glass in Game 1, finishing +20 in rebound differential (63-43), which helped overcome a relatively poor shooting performance (44% from the floor and 31% from three). OKC shot 42% from the field by 35% from beyond the arc.

DEN vs OKC Player Props

NBA player props from DraftKings on May 7.

SGA (28.8 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 6.4 APG postseason) has the highest point total again at 33.5 O/U, up one point from Game 1 when he finished with exactly 33 points on 12-of-26 shooting from the field and 7-of-9 from the free-throw line.

Jokic’s point total has also gone up one point from Monday, now sitting at 28.5 O/U. Jokic, of course, led all scorers in Game 1 with his 42-point outburst on 15-of-29 shooting from the floor, plus 10-of-13 from the stripe.

Jokic has the highest rebound total by a wide margin at 13.5, which is up one from Game 1, when he put in a monstrous 22-rebound performance. His assist total, however, has dropped from 9.5 to 8.5 O/U. Jokic had just six dimes on Monday.

Nuggets vs Thunder Picks & Prediction

• Jokic under 28.5 (-120) at DraftKings
• Jokic over 13.5 rebounds (-100) at FanDuel
• OKC -10.5 (-102) at BetMGM

These are basically the exact two bets I got burned with in Game 1 but I’m going right back to the well in Game 2, and the same rationale still applies. The Thunder are downright dominant at home, going an NBA-best 29-13-2 against the spread at the Paycom Center, despite staring down huge spreads night after night.

In addition, most of the Nugget starters will be feeling the effects of heavy minutes in Game 1. Four of five played at least 39 minutes and Jokic, Murray, and Christian Braun were over 40. By comparison, only SGA logged 40 minutes for OKC, which had four bench players contribute at least 13 minutes. Denver had two (Russell Westbrook and Peyton Watson) and head coach David Adelman is basically running a six-man rotation.

The Nuggets’ ludicrous +20 edge on the glass is highly unlikely to repeat. Yes, rebounding is the area where OKC is the weakest but that was a preposterous margin. As long as OKC, which finished the regular season seventh in FG% and sixth in 3P%, is shooting at least a little better, Jokic won’t have the chance to grab another 17 defensive rebounds.Though I am going to back him to go over 13.5 again, in light of his domination of the post against OKC’s frontcourt.