Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds, Player Props & Predictions (Game 1)
- Game 1 between the Phoenix Suns and Minnesota Timberwolves tips off at 3:40 pm ET on Saturday
- The Suns are slim one-point road underdogs to steal home-court advantage in Game 1
- Below, see the Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves odds, predictions, and player props for April 20
The Phoenix Suns (49-33, 24-17 away, 35-45-2 ATS) and Minnesota Timberwolves (56-26, 30-11 away, 40-40-2 ATS) start their best-of-seven series this afternoon at the Target Center in Minneapolis, MN (3:40 pm ET).
The T-Wolves had a significantly better regular-season record but the Suns won all three regular-season meetings between the teams, which has led oddsmakers to list Game 1 as a near-pick’em.
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phoenix Suns | +1.5 (-110) | -100 | Over 214.5 (-110) |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | -1.5 (-110) | -120 | Under 214.5 (-110) |
Minnesota is slightly favored at -120 on the moneyline and -1 against the spread. The Suns come back as even-money road underdogs in Sunday’s NBA odds, while the total is at 214.5.
Odds as of April 29 at BetMGM. Lock in a BetMGM promo code to wager on Suns vs Timberwolves on Sunday.
The winner of the Suns/T-Wolves series will move onto face the winner of the #2 Nuggets vs #7 Lakers in the NBA playoff bracket.
Suns Dominated T-Wolves in Regular Season
Minnesota was among the class of the West all season, while Phoenix needed a win and a New Orleans loss on the final day of the regular season to finally escape the Play-In Tournament for good. But the head-to-head results paint a much different picture.
The Suns went 3-0 against the Timberwolves, winning all three by double-digits. That includes a 125-106 rout in Minnesota on the final day of the season (when Minnesota needed a win to maintain a top-two seed). Bradley Beal led the way with 36 points – his third-highest output in a Suns uniform – on 14-of-21 shooting, while Phoenix shot 54.7% from the field as a team.
Minnesota also shot over 50% from the field and finished +5 on the glass, but did itself in with 24 turnovers.
The other two matchups this year were a 133-115 Suns win in Phoenix on Nov. 15, and a 97-87 Suns win in Phoenix on Apr. 5.
Suns vs T-Wolves Injury Reports
Both teams enter the postseason healthy. Damion Lee (8.2 PPG, 3.0 RPG in 2022-23), who’s missed the entire season with a knee injury, is the only player listed on the Suns’ side.
Minnesota also has just one player on its injury report for Game 1: 2023 second-round pick Jaylen Clark (Achilles), who hasn’t played an NBA minute yet.
PHX vs MIN Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards (MIN) | 25.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | 5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -142) | 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Bradley Beal (PHX) | 17.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) | 4.5 (Ov -102 | Un -118) | 4.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 1.5 (Ov -182 | Un+160) |
| Devin Booker (PHX) | 24.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -155) | 6.5 (Ov -118 | Un -102) | 2.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) |
| Grayson Allen (PHX) | 12.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 3.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | OFF | 2.5 (Ov -112 | Un -108) |
| Jaden McDaniels (MIN) | 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 3.5 (Ov +136 | Un -162) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +160 | Un -192) |
| Jusuf Nurkic (PHX) | 7.5 (Ov -135 | Un +114) | 10.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 4.5 (Ov +130 | Un -155) | OFF |
| Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN) | 17.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) | 6.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) | 3.5 (Ov -142 | Un +120) | 1.5 (Ov -155 | Un +130) |
| Kevin Durant (PHX) | 24.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 6.5 (Ov +120| Un -142) | 3.5 (Ov +124 | Un -148) | 2.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) |
| Mike Conley (MIN) | 12.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | 2.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 5.5 (Ov -130 | Un +110) | 2.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) |
| Naz Reid (MIN) | 11.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) | 4.5 (Ov -108 | Un -112) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov -155| Un +130) |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker (MIN) | 6.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) | 3.5 (Ov -148 | Un +120) | OFF | 1.5 (Ov +145 | Un -175) |
| Rudy Gobert (MIN) | 13.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | 12.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) | OFF | OFF |
Anthony Edwards has the highest point total on the board tonight at 25.5 O/U, despite being held to 17 points or fewer in each of the three games against the Suns during the regular season. while Phoenix teammates Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are both one point lower at 24.5 O/U.
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
Playoffs are a different beast than the regular season, but the way the Suns dominated the T-Wolves – including two wins in the last two weeks – coupled with the fact that they have more meaningful postseason experience, has me strongly leaning to Phoenix in Game 1.
PHX vs MIN picks:
- Suns moneyline (-100) – two units
- Edwards under 25.5 points (-102)
Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:
- 20-28 moneyline (+0.26 units)
- 25-20-2 ATS (+4.61 units)
- 1-1 over/under (-0.09 units)
- 10-16 player props (-7.32 units)
- 0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)
Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been with SBD since 2014. He specializes in football, basketball, politics, baseball, and hockey.
