NBA Player Props to Bet Today – Top A.I. Picks on Nov. 12

• Wednesday, Nov. 12th, brings a huge 12-game NBA slate
• I have generated our A.I.’s top NBA player-prop pick for each game today
• See the A.I. NBA props to bet from a model that’s 45-41 this season

The NBA season rolls on with another 12 games on Wednesday, November 12th. All season, I have been asking our internal A.I. for its top player prop to bet in a slew of games. I have generated its top NBA prop pick for each of the dozen games on today’s schedule.

The table below sets out the A.I.’s NBA picks on November 12th along with the sportsbook currently offering the best price on that prop. The games/props are listed in chronological order. Under the table, I have provided one-click options to tail each bet plus the A.I.’s reasoning for each pick.

A.I. NBA Prop Picks Today (Nov. 12)

For the first time since November 6th, the A.I. has picked an under bet as its favorite prop in one of today’s games: Jimmy Butler under 17.5 points in Warriors vs Spurs. It’s 2-0 on under bets so far this season, and 45-41 overall (+0.26 units on one-unit wagers).

Best odds as of 10:40 am ET. Bookmark SBD’s Caesars Sportsbook Missouri page to see the latest information on pre-reg and sign-up promos.

ORL Magic vs NY Knicks Prop Pick: Banchero Over 22.5 Points

A.I. reasoning: “While the Knicks’ defense is formidable, Paolo Banchero has a high-floor scoring path that makes his points total an attractive over. The Magic’s entire offensive philosophy centers on attacking the rim and generating free throws, with Banchero as the primary driver. He averages an elite 9.9 free-throw attempts per game, ensuring he can accumulate points even on inefficient shooting nights. Banchero enters with momentum, elevating his scoring from a season average of 23.3 PPG to 24.2 PPG over his last five contests. He’s playing with extreme confidence and maintains a 27.6% usage rate, confirming his status as the undisputed offensive alpha.”

CHI Bulls vs DET Pistons Prop Pick: Giddey Over 7.5 Assists

A.I. reasoning: “If Giddey suits up, he is in a prime position to continue his remarkable playmaking. He has been on an absolute tear, averaging an incredible 11.0 assists over his last four games, a significant jump from his already elite season average of 9.3. He is the maestro of a Bulls offense built on ball movement, and his numbers reflect that dominance. The most compelling trend supporting this pick is his sheer consistency in filling the stat sheet. Giddey has been a lock for high-end production all season, recording either a double-double or a triple-double in all nine games played. His assist totals are almost always the catalyst for hitting these marks. While the Pistons are among the lowest in assists allowed (23.1 per game), Giddey’s volume and the Bulls’ offensive system create a high floor for his passing numbers, making the over a strong play if he’s healthy.”

MIL Bucks vs CHA Hornets Prop Pick: Bridges Over 7.5 Rebounds

A.I. reasoning: “The Hornets excel at rebounding (54.9% Total Rebound Percentage, 2nd in NBA) while the Bucks struggle terribly (46.9%, 3rd-worst). With LaMelo Ball sidelined, Bridges’ usage and responsibility maximize while facing an opponent that creates favorable rebounding scenarios through their glass struggles. Bridges has elevated his glass work to 8.0 rebounds per game over his last five contests, well above his season average of 7.3. He’s averaging 6.6 defensive rebounds per game in his recent surge, a number easily attainable against Milwaukee’s poor offensive rebounding.”

MEM Grizzlies vs BOS Celtics Prop Pick: Brown Over 26.5 Points

A.I. reasoning: “This represents the clearest value on the board based on multiple converging factors. With Tatum sidelined, Brown becomes Boston’s undisputed primary scoring option, inheriting a massive usage increase against one of the league’s most-vulnerable defenses. Brown enters this contest averaging 30.8 points over his last five games while shooting an efficient 49.6% from the field. His usage rate has already climbed to 37.6% during this stretch, and that number projects to increase further without Tatum drawing defensive attention. The matchup couldn’t be more favorable. Memphis allows 123.5 points per game in road contests while permitting opponents to shoot 49.7% from the field away from home. Only one team in the league has been more generous to opposing scorers on the road this season.”

CLE Cavaliers vs MIA Heat Prop Pick: Jaquez Jr Over 27.5 Points + Assists + Rebounds

A.I. reasoning: “This represents a classic “next man up” scenario for Miami’s versatile second-year forward. With both Adebayo and Herro sidelined, Jaquez Jr becomes the Heat’s primary offensive initiator, and his home/road splits reveal dramatic improvement in familiar surroundings. The compelling trend is his explosive home performance: Jaquez Jr. averages 34.8 combined points, assists, and rebounds in home games this season. Against a Cavaliers team missing its top perimeter defenders and interior presence, expect increased touches and rebounding opportunities. His recent overtime performance against these same Cavaliers provides a blueprint for success.”

POR Trail Blazers vs NO Pelicans Prop Pick: Avdija Over 24.5 Points

A.I. reasoning: “Avdija enters this matchup riding a scorching five-game stretch where he’s averaged 28.4 points on 46.1% shooting and a True-Shooting Percentage of 63.2%. His elevated role in Portland’s offense has produced consistent volume, with 17.8 field-goal attempts per game during this span, supported by an aggressive approach that’s generated 10.6 free throw attempts nightly. The Pelicans’ third-worst defensive rating (119.5) and third-highest opponent field goal percentage (.498) create an environment where his efficient scoring should continue. Their lack of rim protection without Williamson allows Avdija to attack the basket freely, while their poor closeout discipline provides open three-point opportunities.”

WSH Wizards vs HOU Rockets Prop Pick: Sengun Over 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

A.I. reasoning: “Everything aligns for a monster stat-sheet performance from Alperen Sengun against the league’s most-generous defense. Washington ranks dead last in opponent points allowed (129.2 PPG), opponent assists (29.2 APG), and surrenders a league-worst 14.5 offensive rebounds per game – directly feeding into Sengun’s diverse skill set. His recent form solidifies this selection. Sengun has recorded a double-double in four of his last five games, demonstrating consistent ability to fill multiple statistical categories. Against the NBA’s most accommodating defense, expect him to comfortably exceed his Points + Rebounds + Assists total with room to spare.”

GS Warriors vs SA Spurs Prop Pick: Butler Under 17.5 Points

A.I. reasoning: “Butler’s recent scoring drought creates exceptional value on the under. After averaging 18.3 points per game through the season’s first portion, he has managed just 12.8 points per game over his last four contests. His three-point shooting has completely vanished, going 0-for-approximately 5 from beyond the arc during this four-game stretch. Situational Trend: Butler has failed to reach 18 points in four consecutive games, well below his current prop line. His shooting struggles from all areas of the floor suggest this cold streak may continue against San Antonio’s length and athleticism.”

PHX Suns vs DAL Mavericks Prop Pick: Allen Over 3.5 Made Threes

A.I. reasoning: “Allen’s recent shooting surge creates undeniable value despite Dallas’s elite perimeter defense. His statistical profile over the past five games shows remarkable consistency and volume that supports this over. Allen is averaging 5.4 made threes over his last five games while shooting an elite 55.1% from deep. This isn’t a small sample anomaly – his season average of 4.2 made threes per game on 44.7% shooting demonstrates sustained excellence. The Suns’ offensive system is specifically designed to generate open three-point looks, with Allen serving as the primary beneficiary.”

LA Lakers vs OKC Thunder Prop Pick: Reaves Over 22.5 Points

A.I. reasoning: “This selection directly targets a significant mismatch between OKC’s defensive style and Reaves’ offensive skill set. The Thunder’s 23.5 fouls per game create abundant free-throw opportunities, and Reaves is uniquely positioned to capitalize. He draws an exceptional 10.4 free-throw attempts per game while converting at an elite 88% rate, meaning a substantial portion of his scoring comes from the charity stripe regardless of field goal defense. Reaves has demonstrated consistent scoring regardless of matchup. His 30.25 points per game average reflects genuine offensive impact rather than unsustainable hot shooting. With LeBron James sidelined, Reaves’ usage rate and shot attempts should remain elevated as he serves as a primary offensive catalyst alongside Dončić.”

ATL Hawks vs SAC Kings Prop Pick: Sabonis Over 12.5 Rebounds

A.I. reasoning: “This represents the evening’s strongest analytical play, combining an elite rebounder against the league’s most exploitable glass weakness. Sabonis averages 13.2 total rebounds per game, including 3.8 offensive boards, demonstrating his relentless motor on both ends.
Atlanta’s defensive rebounding represents their most glaring vulnerability, ranking near the bottom with a 47.4% total rebound percentage while surrendering 13.5 offensive rebounds per contest. This fundamental breakdown creates numerous second-chance opportunities that Sabonis is perfectly positioned to capitalize on through his positioning and effort level.”

DEN Nuggets vs LA Clippers Prop Pick: Murray Over 2.5 Threes

A.I. reasoning: “This selection directly attacks the Clippers’ most exploitable weakness while leveraging Murray’s volume and the Nuggets’ elite offensive structure. The statistical case is overwhelming: LA allows 39.4% three-point shooting while surrendering 15.7 makes per game – both bottom-five marks league-wide. Murray averages 6.9 three-point attempts per contest while shooting 37.1% on the season. Against the Clippers’ porous perimeter coverage, his attempts should remain consistent while his efficiency gets a boost from open looks. The Nuggets’ ball movement (30.2 assists per game) consistently finds the open man, and against LA’s poor rotations, Murray will be that beneficiary. Murray has connected on 3+ threes in four of his last six games, including a 5-for-10 performance in his most recent outing.”