Spurs vs Lakers Picks & Predictions for Feb 10

• San Antonio is an 8.5-point road favorite at Los Angeles
• The Lakers are again without Luka Doncic
• Our analysis reveals the best bets for Spurs at Lakers

Back-to-backs don’t get much tougher than this.

After losing to reigning NBA champion Oklahoma City on Monday night, the Los Angeles Lakers will try to rebound tonight against the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs (36-16) have the second-best record in the West, trailing only OKC. Tip-off is set for 10:30 pm, ET (NBA TV).

The Spurs are coming off a dominant 138-125 victory over the Dallas Mavericks, during which Stephon Castle recorded a 40-point triple-double.

With Lakers All-Star Luka Doncic again ruled out due to a hamstring injury, LeBron James faces a tall task steering the offense against a confident Spurs unit.

Oddsmakers have installed the Spurs as a heavy road favorite.

We’ll analyze the key aspects of tonight’s value and recommend the best bets for Spurs at Lakers.

Spurs vs Lakers Prediction & Best Bets

Best Bet: San Antonio Spurs -8.5 (-108) at Bet365

The data points toward a difficult night for Los Angeles. The Lakers are 2-7 (.222) ATS against top 10 scoring defenses over their last 9 games, highlighting a critical weakness when facing disciplined defensive units. Without Doncic to manipulate coverage, the Lakers’ half-court offense is likely to stagnate against a Spurs defense boasting a 109.1 defensive rating.

Conversely, San Antonio has thrived away from home recently, going 3-1 (.750) ATS on the road over their last 4 games. Furthermore, the Spurs have proven they can handle quality competition, boasting a 3-1 ATS record against opponents with a winning record in that same span. With their offense fresh off a 138-point outing against Dallas, they have the firepower to cover this number against a depleted Lakers roster.

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Total Prediction: Over 229.5 (-110) at BetMGM

The trends strongly support a high-scoring affair. When the Spurs are positioned as favorites, they push the pace significantly; the Over has hit in 3 of the Spurs’ last 4 games as a favorite. San Antonio operates at a pace of 100.1 possessions per 48 minutes, one of the fastest marks in the league. The Lakers’ defense recently surrendered 119 points to Oklahoma City, and with San Antonio arriving with immense offensive momentum, this game scripts toward a transition-heavy shootout rather than a defensive grind.

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Top Player Prop: Victor Wembanyama Over 22.5 Points (-105) at DraftKings

Victor Wembanyama enters this matchup with a point total set at a manageable 22.5. The Lakers’ interior defense allows a high volume of points in the paint (51.6 per game), and they lack the length to bother Wembanyama’s release. The Spurs’ center is averaging 24.2 points per game in away contests this season. Given the defensive matchup and his recent form, the consensus odds of -106 offer solid value for the centerpiece of San Antonio’s attack to clear this number.

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Spurs vs Lakers Betting Trends

• Road Resilience: The Spurs are 3-1 (.750) ATS on the road over their last 4 games.
• Stepping Up to Competition: San Antonio is 3-1 (.750) ATS against opponents with a winning record in their last 4 attempts.
• Scoring Pace: When the books expect San Antonio to win, points tend to follow; the Over has hit in 3 of the Spurs’ last 4 games as a favorite.
• Defensive Struggles: The Lakers have struggled to cover against disciplined teams, going just 2-7 (.222) ATS against top 10 scoring defenses over their last 9 games.
• Winning Difficulties: In addition to failing to cover, Los Angeles is 2-7 (.222) straight up against top 10 scoring defenses over that same 9-game span.

Public Betting Splits

The NBA public betting action for Tuesday night’s clash at Crypto.com Arena reveals distinct differences between general ticket volume and the actual money being wagered, particularly on the moneyline.

Moneyline Market

A potential “sharp vs. public” divergence is appearing on the moneyline. The visiting Spurs are the overwhelming public choice, drawing 71.0% of the ticket count. However, despite the high volume of bets on San Antonio, the Lakers have attracted 57.8% of the total money wagered. This suggests that while casual bettors are chasing the Spurs’ recent hot streak, larger, contrarian wagers are finding value on the home underdog at +250 odds.

Spread Market

The spread market is far more balanced compared to the moneyline. The Lakers are receiving 54.4% of the betting tickets and 51.5% of the handle, suggesting the public is somewhat divided on whether San Antonio can cover the -8.5 number. This split aligns with the typical uncertainty of a home underdog scenario.

Total Market

There is massive consensus regarding the total, which aligns with the prediction of a high-scoring affair. The betting market is aggressively pounding the OVER, which has drawn a staggering 88.9% of the tickets. Even more telling is the conviction behind these bets; the OVER accounts for 90.1% of the total money. Both the betting public and big-money bettors are expecting a shootout.

Spurs vs Lakers Stats Comparison

The table below compares key performance indicators for both teams, utilizing San Antonio’s season-long statistics and Los Angeles’ specific home-court data where applicable.

Spurs vs Lakers Head-to-Head Analysis

The Spurs are 2-1 vs. the Lakers this season.

• Series Context: San Antonio is looking to clinch the season series victory. Stephon Castle is averaging 20.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 6.0 assists against the Lakers this season.
• Recent Form: The dynamic has shifted since their last meeting due to the confirmed absence of Luka Doncic for Los Angeles. In previous matchups where the Lakers found success, playmaking depth was a key factor — something they now lack.
• Betting History: The trends from this season’s meetings suggest offensive outputs have been high, consistent with the current total of 229.5.

Spurs vs Lakers Injury Report & Impact

Spurs vs Lakers Odds

The betting markets heavily favor the road team, reflecting the divergent trajectories of these franchises. Below are the current consensus odds for the game at Crypto.com Arena.

Odds as of February 10, 2026 at 12:50 PM UTC from consensus.

The oddsmakers have positioned the Spurs as clear road favorites. The total is set at a robust 229.5 points, suggesting expectations for a fast-paced contest.

Implied Probabilities & Payouts

Removing the vigorish provides a clear picture of the market’s view. Based on the moneyline odds, the Spurs hold an approximate 72.6% probability of winning, while the Lakers have a 27.4% chance of defending their home court.

For bettors looking at a $20 wager on the moneyline:

• Betting the Favorite: A $20 bet on the Spurs (-312) would yield a profit of roughly $6.41.
• Betting the Underdog: A $20 bet on the Lakers (+250) would return a profit of $50.00.

Line Movement Analysis

The market has moved decisively toward San Antonio. The Spurs opened as -280 favorites but have been bid up to -312. Conversely, the Lakers opened at +230 and have drifted to +250. The total also ticked up from an opening of 228.5 to 229.5, indicating bettors are anticipating points.