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Suns vs Pistons Player Props to Target (Jan 15)

Chris Wright

By Chris Wright in NBA Basketball

Published:


Phoenix star Devin Booker.
Jan 11, 2026; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Phoenix Suns guard Devin Booker (1) reacts against the Washington Wizards in the first half at Mortgage Matchup Center. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
  • Jalen Duren is positioned for a dominant rebounding performance
  • Royce O’Neale’s recent surge in made threes makes him a prime target to exceed his prop line
  • See expert Suns vs Pistons player props to bet, plus the latest betting splits and injuries

Two of the NBA’s better teams collide tonight when the Phoenix Suns visit the the Detroit Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7 pm, ET.

Phoenix is solidly in the playoff mix in the West; Detroit has the best record in the Eastern Conference. Oddsmakers have installed the Pistons as a 6.5-point favorite at home.

We’re focusing on the players, including stars Cade Cunningham (26.7 points per game) and Devin Booker (25.2), and looking for value with other player props.

Below, I have set out my Suns vs Pistons expert picks and predictions, a massive list of player props, the latest betting splits, and the key injuries.

Suns vs Pistons Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssistsMade Threes
Devin Booker24.5 (-116 / -113)3.5 (-104 / -126)6.5 (-104 / -127)1.5 (-125 / -106)
Grayson Allen13.5 (-129 / -102)2.5 (-118 / -111)2.5 (-108 / -122)2.5 (-118 / -112)
Royce O’Neale9.5 (-119 / -110)4.5 (-156 / +117)2.5 (-147 / +112)2.5 (-116 / -114)
Dillon Brooks20.5 (-109 / -120)3.5 (+111 / -147)1.5 (-175 / +132)2.5 (-105 / -127)
Ryan Dunn6.5 (-110 / -119)3.5 (-120 / -109)1.5 (-140 / +105)1.5 (-105 / -125)
Cade Cunningham26.5 (-121 / -109)5.5 (-128 / -104)9.5 (-117 / -113)2.5 (+154 / -210)
Jalen Duren12.5 (-114 / -115)9.5 (-132 / -101)1.5 (-101 / -131)N/A
Jaden Ivey8.5 (-128 / -104)N/AN/A1.5 (+126 / -168)
Isaiah Stewart7.5 (-110 / -119)4.5 (+104 / -137)N/AN/A
Ausar Thompson10.5 (-126 / -104)5.5 (-110 / -121)2.5 (+111 / -148)N/A

Prop Market Analysis

Devin Booker’s point total has experienced notable downward movement, with some books like MGM opening the line at 25.5 before settling at a consensus of 24.5. This adjustment suggests bookmakers are factoring in either a tough defensive matchup or potential limitations from his ankle injury designation. His assist line is set, but the juice favors the under, indicating expectations for a more scoring-focused approach rather than distributing.

For Cade Cunningham, the market is preparing for a statistical explosion. A 27-point, 10-assist performance falls well within market expectations. The most significant discrepancy appears on his three-pointer prop, where FanDuel offers odds on the over, while other books favor the under with heavy juice.

In the frontcourt, Jalen Duren’s props have shifted meaningfully. His point total opened at 14.5 across several books but has been bet down to a consensus of 12.5, a notable two-point drop signaling early money on the under. His rebounding total remains steady, with oddsmakers heavily favoring the over, reflecting confidence in his ability to control the glass.

Best Player Props Picks & Predictions

Booker’s point total is always an intriguing option, but two other player props stand out as offering significant value based on statistical advantages and situational factors.

Best Suns Pick: Royce O’Neale Over 2.5 Made Threes at DraftKings (-116)

This selection capitalizes on O’Neale’s hot shooting and the Suns’ system that generates quality looks for role players. O’Neale has become one of Phoenix’s most reliable perimeter threats, making him an excellent target in a game where three-point volume should be high.

Recent Performance Analysis: Over his past 5 games, O’Neale is averaging four made three-pointers per game. This recent surge gives him significant cushion over his 2.5 prop line.

Situational Edge: O’Neale has exceeded this line in six of his past 10 games. With Detroit’s defense likely focused on limiting Devin Booker’s drives and Dillon Brooks’ scoring, O’Neale should continue receiving high-quality looks as part of Phoenix’s league-leading three-point attack.

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Best Pistons Pick: Jalen Duren Over 9.5 Rebounds at FanDuel (-132)

This represents the strongest statistical mismatch on the board, exploiting Phoenix’s most significant weakness against Detroit’s primary strength. The numbers align perfectly for Duren to dominate the glass in this favorable home matchup.

The Statistical Edge: Phoenix ranks 28th in defensive rebounds per game (30.3), while Detroit ranks third in offensive rebounds per game (13.7). Duren serves as the engine of that rebounding effort, averaging 4.1 offensive rebounds per contest. This creates a perfect storm for rebounding production.

Duren is positioned to control the paint and easily clear this total while providing excellent value at -132 odds.

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Suns vs Pistons Injury Report Analysis

Phoenix Suns Injury Updates

  • Devin Booker (G): Questionable (Ankle)
  • Royce O’Neale (F): Probable (Biceps)
  • Jalen Green (G): Out (Hamstring)
  • Jamaree Bouyea (G): Out (Concussion Protocol)
  • Nigel Hayes-Davis (F): Questionable (Ankle)

Market Impact: Booker’s “Questionable” designation represents the most critical variable affecting betting markets. His potential absence or limitation due to the ankle injury likely explains the downward movement in his points prop from opening lines. If ruled out, the offensive burden shifts dramatically, increasing usage rates and prop value for Dillon Brooks and Grayson Allen. Even if he suits up, effectiveness could be compromised, making unders on his point (24.5) and assist (6.5) totals worth consideration.

Detroit Pistons Injury Updates

Detroit’s injury report appears less concerning, with key frontcourt players listed as probable and expected to contribute their normal minutes.

  • Jalen Duren (C): Probable (Ankle)
  • Isaiah Stewart (F-C): Probable (Illness)
  • Tobias Harris (F): Probable (Hip)

Market Impact: With Duren and Stewart both expected to play, their prop lines are set assuming full workloads. However, Duren’s ankle issue deserves attention, as it could potentially impact his explosiveness around the rim and ability to attack the glass aggressively. Stewart’s illness, while unlikely to sideline him, can sap energy levels and affect performance quality throughout the game.

Game Odds & Betting Information

Current Betting Lines:

  • Spread: Pistons -6.5 (-115) / Suns +6.5 (-105)
  • Spread: Pistons -6.5 (-115) / Suns +6.5 (-105)
  • Moneyline: Pistons -275 / Suns +222

The Detroit Pistons have emerged as solid betting favorites, with the NBA public betting market moving in their direction. This shift indicates increased confidence in a Pistons victory, likely driven by their strong home performance and Cade Cunningham’s recent dominance. The point total has climbed, suggesting bettors anticipate more offensive production than initially projected.

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Chris Wright

A 30-time APSE award-winning editor with previous stints at the Miami Herald, The Indianapolis Star and News & Observer, Chris Wright is an Evergreen and AI editor for Saturday Down South, Saturday Tradition, Crossing Broad, Sports Betting Dime and ESNY.

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