Top Player Props to Target in Cavaliers vs Pistons (Feb 27) – Can Cavs Contain Cunningham?

• Cavaliers All-Star Donovan Mitchell is out, impacting player props
• Pistons guard Cade Cunningham is averaging 11.6 assists over his past five games.
• Our deep-dive analysis finds the best player-prop bets to target for Cavaliers vs. Pistons tonight

The Detroit Pistons, owners of the best record in the NBA, welcome the slumping Cleveland Cavaliers to town tonight. Tip-off is set for 7 pm, ET (ESPN).

Detroit (43-14) is a 6.5-point home favorite against the Cavaliers, who again are without injured star Donovan Mitchell.

There no doubt is betting interest in the spread and total, but our focus is on strictly the player prop market and finding the best value for Pistons vs. Cavaliers tonight.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Player Props

Note: Lines are subject to change.

Mitchell’s absence changes the math for Cleveland. His usage has to go somewhere, and the market is adjusting. However, the situation is fluid due to the Questionable tags on fellow ball-handlers Harden and Dennis Schröder. If neither can suit up, the assist and scoring distribution for the Cavaliers becomes volatile, potentially creating value on lower-tier rotation players. Conversely, Detroit’s rotation offers stability, making their projected minutes and usage rates much more reliable for bettors targeting over/under selections.

Pistons vs Cavaliers Predictions & Best Player Prop Bets

Based on the statistical edges and injury context, three player props stand out as having significant value.

Cade Cunningham: Over 9.5 Assists (+100 at DraftKings)

Cunningham is the undisputed engine of Detroit’s offense. His season average is a respectable 9.8 assists per game, but he is averaging 11.6 assists over his last five contests, showcasing elite vision.

He faces a Cleveland defense that is already porous against distributors (allowing 26.7 APG) and is now missing its best point-of-attack defenders. Additionally, Cunningham loves playing at Little Caesars Arena, where he maintains a 9.7 assists average this season. With an Assist-to-Turnover ratio of 2.90 in his last five games, the volume is there, and the decision-making is sharp.

Trend: Cunningham has exceeded his season average of 9.8 assists, averaging 11.6 assists over his past 5 games.

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Jarrett Allen: Over 25.5 Points + Rebounds (-111 at BetMGM)

With Mitchell out and other handlers questionable, the Cavaliers will likely simplify their offense, leaning heavily on Jarrett Allen in the pick-and-roll and on the offensive glass. Allen has been a statistical monster recently, averaging 22.0 points and 11.8 rebounds (33.8 combined) over his last 10 games.

He is shooting 73.1% from the field in that span and faces a Pistons defense giving up 44.0 paint points nightly. The volume of touches combined with Detroit’s soft interior defense makes this a prime spot for Allen to feast.

Trend: Allen has recorded a double-double in 9 of his last 10 games ( > 60% success rate).

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Tobias Harris: Under 12.5 Points (-110 at DraftKings)

While the Pistons are rolling offensively, Tobias Harris has seen his scoring output dip. The veteran forward is averaging just 10.8 points over his last 10 games and 9.8 points over his last five, falling well short of this 12.5-point line.

With Cade Cunningham dominating the ball and other scoring options like Jalen Duren stepping up, Harris has shifted into more of a complementary role. Given the current usage rates and his recent trends, the under provides solid value.

Trend: Tobias Harris is averaging just 9.8 points per game over his last 5 games, significantly below his 12.5 prop line.

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Pistons vs Cavaliers Injury Report & Impact

• Donovan Mitchell (Groin): Out. The All-Star guard’s absence removes the team’s primary scoring engine.
• Max Strus (Foot): Out. Remains week-to-week.
• James Harden (Thumb): Questionable.
• Dennis Schröder (Ankle): Questionable.
• Dean Wade (Ankle): Questionable.
• Keon Ellis (Finger): Questionable.

This disparity heavily favors Detroit’s player props for consistency, while Cleveland’s props carry higher variance but potentially higher rewards if replacements see extended minutes.

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers Odds & Game Info

The oddsmakers have installed the Pistons as clear home favorites. The moneyline reflects Detroit’s health advantage at -249, while the Cavaliers are road underdogs at +203. The total has seen upward movement, opening at 225.5 and climbing to 226.5, suggesting bettors expect offense despite—or perhaps because of—the defensive absences.

• Spread: Pistons -6.5 (-104) | Cavaliers +6.5 (-116)
• Total: Over/Under 226.5
• Moneyline: Pistons -249 | Cavaliers +203

Game Details:

• Date: Friday, February 27, 2026
• Time: 7 pm, ET
• Venue: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)
• Broadcast: ESPN (National), FDSDET (Detroit), FDSOH (Cleveland)