Warriors vs Timberwolves Odds, Injury Reports, Picks & Player Props (Game 2)

• The Golden State Warriors try to take a 2-0 lead on the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday night
• Golden State will be missing Steph Curry, who left Tuesday’s game with a hamstring injury and did not return
• Below, see the Warriors vs Timberwolves odds, picks, player props, and injury reports for both teams

The Golden State Warriors (53-37, 27-19 away, 45-43-3 ATS) and Minnesota Timberwolves (53-35, 27-17 home, 43-44-1 ATS) meet in Game 2 of their best-of-seven Western Conference semifinal on Thursday night at the Target Center in Minneapolis (7:40 pm CT/8:40 pm ET).

Golden State was borderline dominant during a 99-88 victory on Tuesday despite Steph Curry (22.6 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 5.1 APG postseason) playing just 12 minutes before exiting with a hamstring injury. Sportsbooks don’t give much credence to the notion that the Warriors will pull off a second straight road upset without their leading scorer.

Jump to: GSW vs MIN Odds | GSW vs MIN Injuries | GSW vs MIN Props | GSW vs MIN Picks

GSW Warriors vs MIN Timberwolves Game 2 Odds

Minnesota is a massive 10.5-point home favorite in Thursday’s NBA odds. On the moneyline, the T-wolves are -500 to even the series at one game apiece tonight (83.33% implied win probability). The Warriors come back as +375 road underdogs (21.05% implied win probability).

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The total is sitting at 201.5, which is nine points lower than the Game 1 total of 210.5. The teams combined for just 187 points in Golden State’s 99-88 win on Tuesday. Golden State is now 3-5 O/U in the playoffs while Minnesota is 2-4.

The Golden State/Minnesota series odds, which favored the T-wolves at -195 heading into Game 1, continue to favor the Timberwolves despite the Game 1 loss. Largely due to the Curry injury, Minnesota remains a -190 favorite to advance to the Western Conference final.

Minnesota’s NBA championship odds sit at +1000. The Warriors are +2500, the longest odds of the eight remaining teams.

Buddy Hield, the Game 7 hero against Houston in round one, showed up in a huge way for the second straight game on Tuesday, scoring a team-high 24 points while going 5-of-8 from three. The Warriors managed to dominated the glass, finishing +10 in rebounding (51 to 41), despite Anthony Edwards and Rudy Gobert finishing with 14 and 11 rebounds each.

Minnesota shot just 39.5% from the floor in Game 1 (34-of-86) and an abhorrent 17.2% from three (5-of-29). The Warriors only connected at 39.1% from the field but their 42.9% clip from beyond the arc (18-of-42) proved the difference.

Golden State vs Minnesota Injury Reports for Game 2

The good injury news for the Warriors on Thursday is that Curry is the only player on the team’s injury report. Curry missed 11 games during the regular season. Golden State managed a 6-5 SU record in those 11 games and a 7-4 record against the spread.

The only injury on the Minnesota side is Rob Dillingham (4.5 PPG, 2.0 APG in 49 regular-season games), who hasn’t played since April 11.

GSW vs MIN Game 2 Player Props

NBA player props as of May 8 at DraftKings.

Anthony Edwards (26.2 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 5.5 APG), who had a team high 23 points on 9-of-22 shooting in the Game 1 loss, has a point total of 27.5 points in Game 2, the same line he failed to hit in Game 1.

Jimmy Butler (18.6 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.3 APG) has the highest total on the Golden State side at 24.5, which is up two points from Game 1. Butler finished with 20 points on 7-of-20 shooting on Tuesday, but added 11 rebounds and eight assists, both team-highs.

Rudy Gobert (8.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG) has the highest rebound total again at 10.5, a number he squeaked over in Game 1 despite playing just 26 minutes.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Picks & Prediction

• Buddy Hield over 25+ points (+475) at DraftKings
• Gobert under 10.5 rebounds (-100) at BetMGM
• Warriors +10.5 (-106) at FanDuel

Sascha Paruk‘s NBA playoff betting record: 23-31 (-3.73 units)

Even when Curry was in the lineup against Houston in Game 7, we saw an aggressive Buddy Hield come out and torch a very good Houston defense for 33 points on 12-of-15 shooting (9-of-11 from beyond the arc). After going 5-of-7 from three in Game 1 against Minnesota, it’s safe to say the 32-year-old Oklahoma product is hot.

Obviously, no Curry means a higher usage for Hield. Always a bit of a streaky scorer, now is a great time to bet Hield at plus-money to have another big game.

I’m also betting Gobert to stay under 10.5 rebounds, which I did in Game 1 to my detriment. But the same reasoning still applies. He’s just not seeing enough floor time to warrant a rebound total this high. Gobert had gone 17 straight games staying under 11 rebounds when he didn’t play at least 30 minutes. He played 26 minutes in Game 1 – the fifth time in six playoff games he failed to log 30 minutes – yet still managed to hit 11 boards thanks to a bundle of early boards in the first quarter.

My third and final pick today is the Warriors to cover as 10.5-point underdogs. No one is going to argue that Golden State is a better team without Curry. I’m not anyway. But the drop-off isn’t as big as it would have been five years ago. From 2014 to 2023, Steph had an elite Player Efficiency Rating of 25.9. The last two seasons, combined, it’s down to 21.1. Still good, but considerably lower.

The line, which was Minnesota -6.5 in Game 1, has moved too far based on the fact that Curry is out.