Warriors vs Timberwolves Odds, Player Props, Picks & Predictions (Game 1)

• The rested Timberwolves host the Warriors in Game 1 of their best-of-seven series on Tuesday
• Golden State is coming off a hard-fought seven-game series with Houston, while Minnesota took care of the Lakers in five
• See the Game 1 Warriors vs Timberwolves odds, predictions, and player-prop picks on May 6

The Minnesota Timberwolves (53-34, 27-16 home, 43-43-1 ATS) and Golden State Warriors (52-37, 26-19 away, 44-43-3 ATS) start their best-of-seven second-round series on Tuesday night with a berth in the Western Conference final on the line. Game 1 is scheduled for 8:40 pm ET at the Target Center in Minneapolis and the well-rested T-wolves are heavy favorites to take a 1-0 lead.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

After opening as a 5.5-point favorite last Sunday, Minnesota is now laying 6.5 points in Tuesday’s NBA odds. On the moneyline, the Timberwolves are -250 betting favorites, which amounts to a 71.43% implied win probability. The Warriors come back as +205 road underdogs (32.79% implied win probability). The game total is sitting at 210.5, which is up two points from the opening line.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

Bet $1 & Double Your Winnings On Your First 10 Bets!

LOCK IN PROMO

CODE: SBD2DYW

CODE: SBD2DYW

SIGNUP PROMO

DOUBLE YOUR
WINNINGS

ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

CLAIM OFFER

The odds to win the series now favor Minnesota at -180 with Golden State at +155. The opening series price had the Timberwolves at just -130 and the Warriors at +110.

The latest NBA championship odds see Minnesota fourth out of the eight remaining teams at +1100. Steph Curry and the Warriors are +2500 longshots, sixth out of the eight conference semifinalists.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Player Props (Game 1)

NBA player props from DraftKings on May 6.

Anthony Edwards (26.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 6.2 APG) leads the point totals on Tuesday night at 27.5 O/U with -125 odds to hit the over. Steph Curry (24.0 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 5.7 APG) is right behind him at 26.5 O/U with -115 odds each way. Jimmy Butler (18.3 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 4.8 APG) is the only other player over the 20-point plateau, sitting at 22.5 with -120 odds to stay under.

Rudy Gobert (8.2 PPG, 9.8 RPG) has the highest rebound total at 10.5 O/U. He had six or fewer rebounds in the first three games against the Lakers in round one, but then hit 10 in Game 4 and erupted for 24 in the decisive Game 5.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction & Picks for Game 1

• Gobert under 10.5 rebounds (-110) at DrafttKings
• Warriors first-quarter moneyline (+150) at Caesars

The Warriors might be short on rest, especially relative to the T-wolves, but they won’t be short on confidence. Not only have they beaten Minnesota in three straight games dating back to Dec 8, 2024, the Dubs also took Games 1 and 7 on the road in Houston in the first round.

In their last two meetings with Minnesota, the Warriors outscored the Wolves in the first quarter by scores of 26-15 (on Dec. 21) and 34-12 (on Jan 15). The outcome of the first 12 minutes is much more of a toss-up than Golden State’s +150 1Q moneyline suggests.

In addition to backing the Warriors to win the first quarter, I’m also going to fade Rudy Gobert’s rebound total. Gobert had a huge Game 5 against the Lakers (27 points and 24 rebounds in 39 minutes) but that bucked a downward trend for the three-time NBA DPOY, who didn’t play more than 29 minutes in any of the first four games against Los Angeles. Like the Lakers, the Warriors’ roster is on the smaller/quicker side. They don’t really play a true center and opt for a floor-spacing approach, that can leave the immobile Gobert vulnerable on the defensive end. Minnesota’s offense is also considerably better (generally) with Naz Reid and Jaden McDaniel at the five and the four.

I don’t expect Gobert to be over 30 minutes in Game 1, which will make it exceedingly difficult for him to hit 11 rebounds. He’s had 10 or fewer rebounds in the last 16 games when he failed to hit 30 minutes.