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NCAAB Odds – Conference Tourneys & March Madness

Dave Friedman

by Dave Friedman in News

Updated Jan 17, 2018 · 9:40 AM PST

Selection Sunday is almost here! But, in our view, March Madness really begins this week with the Power Conference tournaments. (Here’s a link to all the conference tourney schedules, by the by.)

Below, we take a look at what will happen leading up to the Big Dance, how we see the Madness playing out in a couple weeks’ time, and what you can expect in the immediate aftermath of your bracket imploding. (If you keep your expectations low, you’ll never be disappointed.)

Given the season Kentucky is having, we pay a little extra attention to the Wildcats and their coach/recruiting cavant, John Calipari (pictured).

Let’s get to it…

2015 NCAA Basketball Odds:

Kentucky Props:

  • Odds of Kentucky finishing the season as undefeated National Champions: 3-2
  • Odds of Kentucky losing in:
    • an SEC Tournament game: 4-1
    • the SEC championship game: 6-1
    • the following rounds of the NCAA tourney:
      • 2nd (i.e. their first game): 200-1
      • 3rd:  25-1
      • 4th: 5-1
      • 5th:  5-1
      • semi-final: 4-1
      • final: 4-1
  • Odds John Calipari leaves for the NBA after this season (regardless of outcome): 10-1
  • Odds John Calipari leaves for the NBA:
    • if Kentucky wins the NCAA Title: 8-1
    • if Kentucky does not win the NCAA Title: 12-1
  • Odds on which team John Calipari will coach in 2015-16:
    • L.A. Lakers: 25-1
    • Washington Wizards: 50-1
    • L.A. Clippers: 75-1
    • Chicago Bulls: 100-1
    • Orlando Magic 100-1
    • Denver Nuggets: 200-1
    • New Orleans Pelicans: 200-1
    • Philadelphia 76ers 200-1
    • Another NBA team: 50-1
    • No NBA team: 1-9
  • O/U on the number of Kentucky underclassmen who declare for the 2015 NBA Draft: 6

Coaching Props:

  • Odds the following coaches do not return to their schools in 2015-16:
    • Jim Boeheim (Syracuse): 2-1
    • Steve Lavin (St. John’s): 3-1
    • Tom Crean (Indiana): 7-2
    • Fred Hoiberg (Iowa State): 4-1
    • Gregg Marshall (Wichita State): 4-1
    • Roy Williams (UNC): 4-1
    • Shaka Smart (VCU): 5-1
    • Travis Ford (Oklahoma State): 8-1
    • John Calipari (Kentucky): 10-1
    • Kevin Ollie (Uconn): 15-1
    • Billy Donovan (Florida): 20-1
    • Tom Izzo (Michigan State): 35-1
    • Mike Krzyzewski (Duke): 35-1

March Madness Props:

  • Odds of being a #1 seed:
    • Kentucky: 1-1000
    • Duke: 4-5
    • Virginia: 3-2
    • Wisconsin: 3-2
    • Villanova: 2-1
    • Arizona: 2-1
    • Gonzaga: 5-1
    • Maryland: 6-1
    • Kansas: 12-1
    • Wichita State: 1000-1
  • Odds of winning the National Championship:
    • Kentucky: 1-1
    • Wisconsin: 13-2
    • Duke: 8-1
    • Arizona: 10-1
    • Virginia: 10-1
    • Villanova: 14-1
    • Gonzaga: 18-1
    • Kansas: 25-1
    • UNC: 28-1
    • Utah: 40-1
    • Wichita State: 55-1
    • Maryland: 85-1
    • FIELD: 15-1
  • Odds of the following seeds making the NCAA Championship Game:
    • two #1 seeds: 7-2
    • a #4 (or higher): 5-2
    • a #5 (or higher): 13-4
    • a #6 (or higher): 4-1
    • a #7 (or higher): 6-1
    • a #8 (or higher): 7-1

Player Props:

  • Odds to win the Wooden Award (for player of the year):
    • Frank Kaminsky (Wisconsin): 6-5
    • Jahlil Okafor (Duke): 6-5
    • Willie Cauley-Stein (Kentucky): 25-1
    • Delon Wright (Utah): 25-1
    • Jerian Grant (Notre Dame): 30-1
  • Odds of being the #1 pick in the NBA Draft:
    • Jahlil Okafor (Duke): 1-1
    • Emmanuel Mudiay (China): 2-1
    • D’Angelo Russell (Ohio State): 10-1
    • Karl-Anthony Towns (Kentucky): 10-1
  • Odds of the following teams winning their conference tournaments:
    • SEC:
      • Kentucky: 1-4
      • Arkansas: 10-1
    • ACC:
      • Duke: 1-1
      • Virginia: 2-1
      • UNC: 5-1
      • Louisville: 13-2
      • Notre Dame: 7-1
    • Big 12:
      • Kansas: 5-2
      • Iowa State: 4-1
      • Oklahoma: 9-2
      • Baylor: 11-2
      • West Virginia: 15-2
    • Big Ten:
      • Wisconsin: 1-1
      • Maryland: 3-1
      • Ohio State: 9-2
      • Purdue: 15-1
      • Iowa: 11-1
    • PAC-12:
      • Arizona: 1-2
      • Utah: 3-1
      • Oregon: 10-1
      • UCLA: 11-1
  • Odds of certain underdogs winning their conference tournaments:
    • Michigan State (Big Ten): 8-1
    • Stanford (Pac 12): 18-1
    • Florida (SEC): 22-1
    • NC State (ACC): 30-1
    • Kansas State (Big 12): 33-1

See anything you disagree with? Think Wichita State can still be a #1 after their loss to Illinois State? Let us know in the comments!

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