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Boise State vs Nevada Odds, Lines, and Spread

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Feb 6, 2021 · 5:22 PM PST

RayJ Dennis Boise State Broncos
Boise State guard RayJ Dennis (10) is fouled as he drives to the basket by Houston guard Caleb Mills (2) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game Friday, Nov. 27, 2020, in Houston. (AP Photo/Michael Wyke)
  • Boise State is a 4.5-point favorite over Nevada on Sunday (Feb. 7th, 4 pm EST)
  • The Wolf Pack defeated the Broncos 74-72 in a thrilling game on Friday
  • See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction

Looking for a Sunday afternoon sweat leading into the Super Bowl? Well, the Mountain West conference has you covered. The Boise State Broncos (14-3, 10-2 MWC) clash with the Nevada Wolfpack (13-7, 8-5 MWC) at 4 pm EST, in the second game of a back-to-back series.

The Wolfpack took game one at the Lawlor Events Center on Friday night, upsetting their conference rival 74-72 as a 4-point underdog.

Boise State vs Nevada Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Boise State Broncos -4.5 (-102) -190 Over 144.5 (-108)
Nevada Wolf Pack +4.5 (-120) +160 Under 144.5 (-112)

Odds taken Feb. 6th at FanDuel.

Despite the upset victory, the Broncos opened up as a 4.5-point favorite in the rematch. The loss was just their second in Mountain West play this season, and third overall in 17 games.

Nevada meanwhile, has now won three straight overall, and five in a row on their home court.

Wolf Pack Firing On All Cylinders

The victory improved the Wolf Pack to 8-2 at home this season, and 8-5 against conference foes. Grant Sherfield was the catalyst of the Nevada offense, pouring in 20 points and dishing out a season-high 14 assists.

With the game tied at 72 in the dying seconds, Sherfield hit a turn around fadeaway from the right elbow, putting the Wolf Pack up for good. The Sophomore guard has now scored at least 20 points in 10 of 20 games this season, and has racked up double-doubles in two of his last three outings.

Desmond Cambridge Jr. and reserve Kwame Hymes added 21 and 17 points respectively, helping Nevada shoot a blistering 52.6% against the number one scoring defense in the Mountain West.

Defensively, they limited the nation’s 24th ranked offense to 47.3% from the floor, forced 13 turnovers, and held them below 73 points for just the second time in their last 10 games.

Broncos Fade Down the Stretch

Boise State appeared to have the game under control three quarters of the way through the second half, but managed only 7 points over the final 5 minutes and 45 seconds. After starting conference play 9-0, they’ve now dropped two of three and sit just a game ahead of Utah State atop the Mountain West standings.

Derrick Alston Jr. led the way for the Broncos offensively with 23 points and 5 assists, while a pair of Canadians, Emmanuel Akot and Abu Kigab chipped in 19 and 15 points respectively. Known for its balanced scoring, Boise State was uncharacteristically a three-man show on Friday. Aside from Alston Jr, Akot and Kigab, no other Bronco eclipsed 6 points, and the rest of the team combined to shoot 5-for-18 from the floor, and 0-for-5 from beyond the arc.

After allowing only one opponent to reach 70 points in their first 12 games, they’ve surrendered at least 70 points in four of their last five, including three straight.

If It Ain’t Broke Don’t Fix It

We were on Nevada on Friday night as a 4-point ‘dog and I see no reason not to back them at home once again on Sunday. They’re now 14-5 ATS for the season, 10-3 ATS in Mountain West play and 7-2 ATS at home.

They improved to a perfect 4-0 against the number as an underdog and have beaten Boise State in nine of their last 10 matchups, including five straight at home.

Pick: Nevada +4.5 (-120)

 

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