Upcoming Match-ups

SMU vs Houston Odds and Picks

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Jan 30, 2021 · 2:47 PM PST

Tramon Mark Houston Cougars
Houston guard Tramon Mark (12) shoots over Tulane forward Tylan Pope (3) during the second half of an NCAA college basketball game in New Orleans, Thursday, Jan. 28, 2021. Houston won 83-60. (AP Photo/Tyler Kaufman)
  • #6 Houston is a 10-point home favorite over SMU on Sunday (Jan. 31st, 1 pm EST)
  • The Cougars have won seven straight and beat the Mustangs by 14 in their first meeting
  • See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction

This Sunday will be the first since Labour Day weekend without NFL games to sweat. But never fear, college hoops has you covered with an AAC matchup between SMU and #6 Houston starting at 1 pm EST. The Cougars (14-1, 9-1 AAC) have won seven straight, while the Mustangs (9-3, 5-3 AAC) salvaged a split in their home and home series with Memphis last time out.

SMU vs #6 Houston Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
SMU Mustangs +10 (-110) OFF Over 139 (-110)
Houston Cougars -10 (-110) OFF Under 139 (-110)

Odds taken Jan. 30th.

Houston opened up as a 10-point favorite, in a game that features a total of 139. The Cougars are fresh off a 23-point win over Tulane in their last contest, dominating the Green Wave despite missing leading scorer Quentin Grimes due to a sprained ankle.

Cougars on the Prowl

Seldom used Cameron Tyson led the way versus Tulane, pouring in a career-high 31, including nine 3-balls. Tramon Mark chipped in 16 points, while Justin Gorham grabbed 15 boards. Houston dominated from start to finish, and had already built a 20-point lead before the game was even 10 minutes old.

According to head coach Kelvin Sampson, Grimes will “for sure” be back for the matchup against SMU, as the Cougars chase their eighth straight victory. The Junior guard averages 17.6 points per game and is one of only two Houston players who averages double digit points per outing.

Offense certainly isn’t the Cougars calling card, but they still manage a respectable 74.4 points per game and a 49.1% effective shooting percentage.

Defense and rebounding is the key to their game, as they’re holding opponents to just 56.5 points per game, the lowest mark in all of college basketball. Only two programs yield a lower field goal percentage to enemy shooters, and Houston ranks sixth in the country in total rebounding.

Mustangs Sneak Past Memphis

SMU meanwhile, picked up a two-point win in their last game against Memphis, despite getting just 6 points from leading scorer Kendric Davis. The 5-foot-11 Junior was 2-of-13 from the floor, but teammates Feron Hunt (17 points) and Emmanuel Bandoumel (15 points) picked up the slack.

The Mustangs rank first among AAC teams in points per game and field goal percentage, while only two conference foes average a higher percentage from beyond the arc and more assists per outing.

They’ve done a nice job defensively in conference play, holding enemy shooters to 41.5% from the field, but have struggled on the glass. They rank eighth out of 10 AAC teams in total rebounding, and were abused in that department in their lone meeting with Houston this season.

Houston Eyes an Encore Performance

The Cougars out rebounded SMU 45-32 earlier this month, and grabbed a whopping 18 offensive boards. That domination on the offensive glass led to 15 Houston points, which was the difference in a 74-60 victory.

The Cougars easily covered as a 2-point road favorite, and have gone on to beat the spread in all but one of their six games since. Houston is 11-5 ATS this season, and 8-2 ATS versus conference opponents. They’ve beaten the number in six of nine home games, and have held every opponent below 68 points and all but five under 60 points.

SMU on the other hand, is 5-6-1 ATS, and 2-5-1 ATS against AAC opposition. I like the Cougars chances to continue their impressive ATS run, especially since Grimes will be back on the floor.

Pick: Houston Cougars -10 (-110)

Author Image