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NC State vs South Carolina Odds, Picks & Player Props for Final Four

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Updated Apr 5, 2024 · 10:05 AM PDT

South Carolina Gamecocks forward Ashlyn Watkins celebrating a bucket
Mar 31, 2024; Albany, NY, USA; South Carolina Gamecocks forward Ashlyn Watkins (2) reacts to a called foul on the court against the Oregon State Beavers during the second half in the finals of the Albany Regional of the 2024 NCAA Tournament at MVP Arena. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The undefeated #1 South Carolina Gamecocks are two wins away from a perfect season
  • The Gamecocks are double-digit favorites over the #3 NC State Wolfpack in the Final Four on Friday, April 5
  • Below, find the NC State vs South Carolina odds, player props, and picks

Looking to become the first undefeated national champion since 2016 UConn, the #1 South Carolina Gamecocks (36-0) are two wins away from a perfect season. After dispatching #3 Oregon State in the Elite Eight (70-58) in Regional 1 in Albany, the Gamecocks meet the #3 NC State Wolfpack (31-6), who cruised through a very challenging Regional 4 in Portland.

Despite NC State’s strong showing in the tournament so far, South Carolina is listed as a double-digit favorite. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 pm ET at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio.

NC State vs South Carolina Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
NC State Wolfpack +11.5 (-108) +625 O 139.5 (-110)
South Carolina Gamecocks -11.5 (-112) -950 U 139.5 (-110)

The Gamecocks are 11.5-point chalk in Friday’s Final Four odds and -950 on the moneyline. The Wolfpack come back at +625 to hand the Gamecocks their first loss of the season.



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Gamecocks Get Through Regional 1 Unscathed

After a pair of lopsided victories in the first and second rounds (91-39 vs #16 Presbyterian, and 88-41 vs #8 North Carolina), South Carolina was tested in its last two games.  The #4 Indiana Hoosiers nearly came all the way back from a 17-point halftime deficit against the Gamecocks, ultimately falling 79-75 as 17.5-point underdogs.

In the Elite Eight, South Carolina led #3 Oregon State by just four at the break before a big third quarter led the Gamecocks to a 70-58 win as 15.5-point favorites.

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Four different players have led the deeply talented Gamecocks in scoring during their four tournament games. Freshman phenom MiLaysia Fulwiley had 20 against UNC; senior center Kamilla Cardoso had 22 against Indiana; and freshman guard Tessa Johnson had 15 against Oregon State, one short of her career-best.

Cardoso leads the team in scoring this season at just 14.1 PPG. Nine different SC players are averaging at least 6.2 PPG.

South Carolina finished the year with the best point differential in the nation, and it wasn’t close. The Gamecocks have a 29.6 average margin of victory (85.6 PPG, 56.0 PAPG).

Wolfpack Survive Gruelling Road to Final Four

NC State had to reach the Final Four the hard way. After breezing past #14 Chattanooga (64-45) in round one, the Wolfpack earned a 79-72 win over #6 Tennessee as 4.5-point chalk. In the Sweet 16, NC State took down #2 Stanford (77-67) as 4.5-point underdogs, coming back from 10 down at halftime.

For their efforts, the Wolfpack were rewarded with an Elite Eight matchup against Regional 4 #1 Texas. But NC State led nearly from the jump against the Longhorns and used a 43-31 first half to hang on for a 76-66 victory.

YouTube video

Junior guard Aziaha James (16.7 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 3.0 APG) has been nothing short of sensational for NC State throughout the NCAA Tournament. The 5’9 Virginia native has led the Wolfpack in scoring in all four games, averaging 24.3 PPG. On the season, five different NC State players are averaging in double-figures.

NC State was as high as #3 in the polls after starting the season 14-0, including victories over #2 UConn, #3 Colorado, and #22 Florida State. They sputtered down the stretch, though, going just 13-6 from Jan. 7 until the start of the NCAA Tournament.

They currently have a +13.5 point differential, which is only 37th in DI.

NC State vs South Carolina Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aziaha James (NCST) 18.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) OFF OFF OFF
Kamilla Cardoso (SC) 15.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 9.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) OFF OFF
Madison Hayes (NCST) 6.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 6.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) OFF OFF
MiLaysia Fulwiley (SC) 10.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) OFF OFF OFF
Mimi Collins (NCST) 8.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -135) OFF OFF
Raven Johnson (SC) 7.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 5.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110) 4.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) OFF
River Baldwin (NCST) 11.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) 6.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) OFF OFF
Saniya Rivers (NCST) 12.5 (Ov +125 | Un -150) 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) 2.5 (Ov -135 | Un +110) OFF
Te-Hina Paopao (SC) 10.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) OFF OFF 2.5 (Ov +125 | Un -150)

NC State vs South Carolina props from DraftKings Sportsbook on April 4, 2024. 

NC State vs South Carolina Prediction

South Carolina’s 36-0 performance to date leaves little doubt about the overall might of this team. But they looked, perhaps not “beatable”, but at the very least human, during the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight. The odds for Friday’s game suggest NC State will scarcely be competitive, and though I haven’t seen a ton of film, I don’t think that’s how it’s going to play out.

NC State’s 14-0 run to start the season included taking down a few excellent teams, and the Wolfpack have clearly regained that form in the NCAA Tournament. At +650, NC State only has a 13.3% implied win probability. I’d put their chances closer to 20% and will sprinkle a little on the Wolfpack moneyline, along with James going over her point total of 18.5.

NC State vs South Carolina picks:

  • NC State moneyline (+650)
  • James over 18.5 points (-120)
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