Upcoming Match-ups

NC State vs Virginia Odds, Lines, and Spread

Daniel Coyle

by Daniel Coyle in College Basketball

Feb 23, 2021 · 6:05 PM PST

Jericole Hellems dribbling past defender
North Carolina State's Jericole Hellems (4) brings the ball past Syracuse's Kadary Richmond (3) during the first half of an NCAA college basketball game, Tuesday, Feb. 9, 2021 in Raleigh, N.C. (Ethan Hyman/The News & Observer via AP, Pool)
  • The Virginia Cavaliers look to reclaim top spot in the ACC when they host the surging NC State Wolfpack 
  • Cavaliers are undefeated on home court, but face a Wolfpack squad that has won three straight on the road
  • We’ve got you covered with all the odds and trends ahead of Wednesday’s ACC matchup 

The Virginia Cavaliers look to avoid losing three in a row for the first time this season when they return home to take on the NC State Wolfpack on Wednesday as lofty 11.5-point favorites.

The Cavaliers came up short in both dates on their recent two-game road trip, dumping them from their perch atop the ACC standings. The Wolfpack are coming off a dominating 80-62 road win over Wake Forest, and are now undefeated SU and ATS in three straight away contests.

Here’s a look at all the odds and trends ahead of this ACC conference matchup, set for 7pm Eastern on Wednesday night at John Paul Jones Arena.

North Carolina State vs Virginia Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
North Carolina State Wolfpack +11.5 (-110) N/A O 129 (-110)
Virginia Cavaliers -11.5 (-110) N/A U 129 (-110)

*Odds taken at FanDuel on 02/23/2021.

Cavs Look to Stop the Bleeding

The Cavaliers failed to overcome their long track record of losing in Durham with this weekend’s uninspired 66-65 loss to Duke. With the loss, Virginia fell to 2-3 in its past five road contests, and tumbled eight spots to No. 15 in the AP Top 25 rankings. The Cavaliers remain a force at home, earning the win in 15 straight since late January of last year.

However, they have been an inconsistent bet on home hardwood this season, failing to cover in consecutive games while going 5-4 ATS. Things look no better when the Cavaliers have been pegged as double-digit home chalk, winning outright in each of their past seven, but covering just three times over their past 12.

Slow Starts Costly

Slow starts also remain a concern for the Cavaliers. The Blue Devils did an effective job at containing Virginia early on in Saturday’s contest. Duke limited Cavaliers shooters to just three points over a lengthy seven-minute stretch in the first half, sending Virginia to the locker room trailing at half time for the third time in its past four outings.

However, Virginia fans searching for something to cheer about need look no further than senior big men Jay Huff and Sam Hauser. Huff is coming off a team-high 20-point performance, and adding 12 rebounds to record his second double-double in three games. Hauser struggled to rack up points in last week’s crushing 81-60 loss to No. 16 Florida State. But he rebounded well in Durham, piling up 19 points and eight rebounds, and has averaged over 20 points per game in his past four home appearances.

Wolfpack Honing Road Warrior Rep

While the Cavaliers set their sights on reclaiming the top of the conference standings, the Wolfpack vie for a third straight victory as road underdogs. NC State faced little resistance in this past weekend’s 80-62 rout of the Demon Deacons as a 1-point underdog.

The Wolfpack have rediscovered their offensive touch in recent road contests, averaging 78.3 points per game during their current 3-0 run on the road. Indeed, high scoring has become commonplace when NC State hits the road, with the OVER prevailing in each of the team’s past 10 away contests, and 13 of 14 since January 2020.

Team Effort Paying Dividends

With leading scorer Devon Daniels gone for the season with a knee injury, the Wolfpack’s supporting cast has stepped up. Four players contributed double-digit point totals in the team’s recent road wins over Wake Forest and Pittsburgh. Forwards Jericole Hellems and DJ Funderburk have led the attack, with the duo combining to score 29 points per game over the past two contests.

The Wolfpack have struggled in recent season against Virginia, earning just four wins in 21 meetings since February 2006. However, with a strong team effort producing steady results, particularly on the road, and the Cavaliers in a tailspin, look for NC State to keep it close in Wednesday’s matchup.

The Picks: Wolfpack +11.5 (-110); OVER 129 (-110)

Author Image

Let's have fun and keep it civil.