San Diego State vs Creighton Picks, Player Props & Same-Game Parlay
- Same-game parlay picks are live for the San Diego State vs Creighton Elite Eight matchup on Sunday at the NCAA Tournament
- The Aztecs have held opponents to 57.6 points through three March Madness games
- Don’t miss our San Diego State vs Creighton same-game parlay picks below
Raise your hand if you had either San Diego State or Creighton advancing to the Final Four this year. I have to assume that there aren’t too many hands in the air, but nevertheless the winner of the Aztecs vs Bluejays tilt on Sunday will be one of the last four teams standing at March Madness.
The action tips off at 2:20 pm ET in Louisville, KY and we’ve put together a same-game parlay to make the action even more enjoyable to sweat.
San Diego State vs Creighton Same-Game Parlay Picks
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ryan Nembhard Under 11.5 Points | +100 |
| Under 134.5 | -120 |
| Matt Bradley 12+ Points and Assists | -275 |
| Same-Game Parlay Odds | +350 |
Our San Diego State vs Creighton same-game parlay features only three legs, but pays out +350 odds if it hits. The SGP starts with a fade of Creighton’s Ryan Nembhard, who faces a tough matchup versus the Aztecs suffocating defense.
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Odds as of March 25 at DraftKings Sportsbook. See full list of March Madness betting promos.
SGP Pick #1: Ryan Nembhard Under 11.5 Points
Through three games, San Diego State is allowing only 57.6 points. That’s despite facing (and beating) Alabama, who ranked fourth this season in scoring. No wonder SDSU keeps advancing in the March Madness bracket.
The Aztecs are tenacious in their own end especially versus enemy guards. They’re fresh off holding the Crimson Tide’s starting backcourt to a 33.3% field goal percentage, which doesn’t bode well for Nembhard.
SAN DIEGO STATE UPSETS NO. 1 OVERALL SEED ALABAMA 🤯
The Aztecs are heading to the Elite Eight for the first time in program history ‼️ pic.twitter.com/tiePuX9AdO
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) March 25, 2023
The Canadian balled out in the second round with a 30 point effort versus Baylor, but that’s the lone time in his last four contests he’s exceeded 10 points.
Nembhard’s production is heavily tied to his outside shooting which plays right into SDSU’s strengths. The Aztecs have limited enemy shooters to the 20th lowest effective field goal percentage this season, while only two teams in the country surrender a lower three-point shooting percentage.
SGP Pick #2: Game Total Under 134.5
San Diego State’s impressive defense was been thwarting opponents all season, which has led to plenty of low scoring games. Each of their last eight regular season and conference tournament games fell under the total, as have all three of their NCAA Tournament contests.
Sunday’s total currently sits at 134.5, a number that only one of their past seven outings have exceeded. Just one of their past seven opponents have cleared 61 points, while five of those teams have failed to reach 60 points.
San Diego State vs Creighton Head-to-Head
| 30-6 | Record | 24-12 |
| 71.2 | Points per Game | 77.0 |
| 63.3 | Points Against per Game | 68.7 |
| 49.9% | Effective FG% | 54.6% |
| 46.4% | Opponent Effective FG% | 47.3% |
Creighton on the other hand, can get white hot at times. The Bluejays are the nation’s 24th best shooting team, averaging 77 points per contest. They’ve cleared 84 points in back-to-back games, but they’ve yet to tangle with a program as committed as the Aztecs in their own end.
Creighton’s last two meetings came against Princeton and Baylor, who both rank outside the top-95 in adjusted defensive efficiency. The lone teams they’ve faced this season with defenses comparable to San Diego State are UConn and Texas, and the Bluejays averaged only 61 points in three meetings versus those two schools.
SGP Pick #3: Matt Bradley 12+ Points and Assists
Back to Bradley now, who represents the final leg of our SGP. The senior guard is in the midst of a down season, but he’s still the team’s top scorer and one of their three leading distributors.
With six points last night, Matt Bradley became the fifth player since the start of the 1996-97 season to record at least 1,000 points for two different programs (1,289 at California and 1,002 at San Diego State).
— Jon Schaeffer (@jonschaeffer) March 25, 2023
Bradley is coming a horrific shooting performance versus Alabama, but let’s not forget the Crimson Tide rank number one in opponent effective field goal percentage. Expect a much more favorable matchup for Bradley on Sunday, as the Bluejays are far less efficient on defense than they are on offense.
Creighton ranks outside the top-120 in scoring defense and opponent three-point field goal percentage. They’re also one of the worst teams in the nation at forcing turnovers, ranking 350th out of 363 programs.
Bradley averages over 12 points per contest this season, and having the extra cushion from his assists total makes this an easy bet to target.
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As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
