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San Diego State vs Creighton Picks, Player Props & Same-Game Parlay

Chris Amberley

by Chris Amberley in College Basketball

Updated Mar 25, 2023 · 8:23 PM PDT

Matt Bradley high fives teammates
Mar 24, 2023; Louisville, KY, USA; San Diego State Aztecs guard Matt Bradley (20) celebrates with teammates at the bench during the second half of the NCAA tournament round of sixteen against the Alabama Crimson Tide at KFC YUM! Center. Mandatory Credit: Jordan Prather-USA TODAY Sports
  • Same-game parlay picks are live for the San Diego State vs Creighton Elite Eight matchup on Sunday at the NCAA Tournament
  •  The Aztecs have held opponents to 57.6 points through three March Madness games
  • Don’t miss our San Diego State vs Creighton same-game parlay picks below

Raise your hand if you had either San Diego State or Creighton advancing to the Final Four this year. I have to assume that there aren’t too many hands in the air, but nevertheless the winner of the Aztecs vs Bluejays tilt on Sunday will be one of the last four teams standing at March Madness.

The action tips off at 2:20 pm ET in Louisville, KY and we’ve put together a same-game parlay to make the action even more enjoyable to sweat.

San Diego State vs Creighton Same-Game Parlay Picks

Pick Odds
Ryan Nembhard Under 11.5 Points +100
Under 134.5 -120
Matt Bradley 12+ Points and Assists -275
Same-Game Parlay Odds +350

Our San Diego State vs Creighton same-game parlay features only three legs, but pays out +350 odds if it hits. The SGP starts with a fade of Creighton’s Ryan Nembhard, who faces a tough matchup versus the Aztecs suffocating defense.



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Odds as of March 25 at DraftKings Sportsbook. See full list of March Madness betting promos

SGP Pick #1:  Ryan Nembhard Under 11.5 Points

Through three games, San Diego State is allowing only 57.6 points. That’s despite facing (and beating) Alabama, who ranked fourth this season in scoring. No wonder SDSU keeps advancing in the March Madness bracket.

The Aztecs are tenacious in their own end especially versus enemy guards. They’re fresh off holding the Crimson Tide’s starting backcourt to a 33.3% field goal percentage, which doesn’t bode well for Nembhard.

The Canadian balled out in the second round with a 30 point effort versus Baylor, but that’s the lone time in his last four contests he’s exceeded 10 points.

Nembhard’s production is heavily tied to his outside shooting which plays right into SDSU’s strengths. The Aztecs have limited enemy shooters to the 20th lowest effective field goal percentage this season, while only two teams in the country surrender a lower three-point shooting percentage.

SGP Pick #2: Game Total Under 134.5

San Diego State’s impressive defense was been thwarting opponents all season, which has led to plenty of low scoring games. Each of their last eight regular season and conference tournament games fell under the total, as have all three of their NCAA Tournament contests.

Sunday’s total currently sits at 134.5, a number that only one of their past seven outings have exceeded. Just one of their past seven opponents have cleared 61 points, while five of those teams have failed to reach 60 points.

San Diego State vs Creighton Head-to-Head

San Diego State Aztecs
Creighton Bluejays
30-6 Record 24-12
71.2 Points per Game 77.0
63.3 Points Against per Game 68.7
49.9% Effective FG% 54.6%
46.4% Opponent Effective FG% 47.3%
At the other end of the floor, SDSU is not exactly an offensive juggernaut. They rank 70th in adjusted offensive efficiency per KenPom, and have cleared 70 points themselves only twice over their last eight games. They have some quality, veteran pieces like Matt Bradley – more on him later, but in large part this is not an offensive team to fear.

Creighton on the other hand, can get white hot at times. The Bluejays are the nation’s 24th best shooting team, averaging 77 points per contest. They’ve cleared 84 points in back-to-back games, but they’ve yet to tangle with a program as committed as the Aztecs in their own end.

Creighton’s last two meetings came against Princeton and Baylor, who both rank outside the top-95 in adjusted defensive efficiency. The lone teams they’ve faced this season with defenses comparable to San Diego State are UConn and Texas, and the Bluejays averaged only 61 points in three meetings versus those two schools.

SGP Pick #3: Matt Bradley 12+ Points and Assists

Back to Bradley now, who represents the final leg of our SGP. The senior guard is in the midst of a down season, but he’s still the team’s top scorer and one of their three leading distributors.

Bradley is coming a horrific shooting performance versus Alabama, but let’s not forget the Crimson Tide rank number one in opponent effective field goal percentage. Expect a much more favorable matchup for Bradley on Sunday, as the Bluejays are far less efficient on defense than they are on offense.

Creighton ranks outside the top-120 in scoring defense and opponent three-point field goal percentage. They’re also one of the worst teams in the nation at forcing turnovers, ranking 350th out of 363 programs.

Bradley averages over 12 points per contest this season, and having the extra cushion from his assists total makes this an easy bet to target.


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