- The Seattle Redhawks and Washington Huskies square off Wednesday night (11:00 pm ET) at Alaska Airlines Arena
- UW is a big favorite despite bringing a dismal 0-3 record into the game
- Sascha’s picks record for the season: 2-1-0 (+0.76 units)
Wednesday evening, the Seattle Redhawks (3-3, 1-2 away) travel a short distance to face intracity rival Washington (0-3, 0-0 home) at Alaska Airlines Arena (11:00 pm ET).
The Huskies, who have lost each of their first three games by at least 14 points, are heavily favored to pick up their first win of the season.
Seattle Redhawks vs Washington Huskies Odds
|Team||Moneyline||Point Spread||Over/Under Total|
|Seattle Redhawks||+610||+11.5 (-108)||Over 135.5 (-112)|
|Washington Huskies||-900||-11.5 (-112)||Under 135.5 (-108)|
Odds as of Dec. 9th at FanDuel.
Seattle and Washington have played every season since 2009. The Redhawks have yet to win a game (0-12).
Coming off a 14-15 season last year, the Redhawks started strong, winning their first three. Included in the trio of Ws were double-digit wins over Portland (84-72) and Air Force (63-45), two games they entered as small underdogs.
They have dropped their last three, however, first losing a neutral-site game to Cal State Northridge (76-65) as a small favorite, then getting blasted by UCLA(78-52), and finally losing a true road game to Long Beach State on Sunday (80-75).
While they finished last season rated 214th at KenPom, they entered this year rated 320th due to significant roster turnover; leading scorer Terrell Brown (20.7 PPG) transferred to Arizona and second-leading scorer Morgan Means (12.6 PPG) graduated.
With sophomore Darrion Trammell (18.8 PPG, 5.7 APG) and junior Riley Grigsby (18.2 PPG, 4.2 RPG) leading the way, Seattle’s early-season performance has boosted the team to 283rd.
Despite an undersized lineup (no starters over 6’8), the Redhawks’ best attribute is defensive rebounding. They are limiting opponents to a 21.7% offensive rebounding rate, 39th out of 357 DI teams. It’s a small sample size, but it bodes well against a Washington team that is currently 225th in offensive rebounding percentage and 295th at the defensive end.
The winless Huskies have been a complete debacle so far, especially on offense. After getting routed by #2 Baylor (86-52) in their neutral-court opener, Washington was blown out by 166th-ranked UC Riverside (57-42) also on a neutral.
Their first conference game of the season was no better, losing by 14 to Pac-12 rival Utah in Salt Lake City (76-62).
The zone defense Mike Hopkins brought from Syracuse has been respectable, sitting 64th overall in defensive efficiency. But opponents have done a decent job of finding soft spots and shooting over it. Washington’s defensive three-point percentage is a dismal 36.1% (202nd in the nation), which is nearly double their own woeful 3P% of 18.2%.
Kentucky transfer Quade Green has been the only semi-bright spot. The senior point guard is averaging 13.7 points, 3.3 assists, and 4.0 rebounds per game. No other Husky is averaging more than 7.0 PPG.
The projection at KenPom predicts a 14-point Washington victory, but much of the data factoring into that comes from last year. Laying 11.5 points with a Washington team is disarray is too much to stomach.
The Seattle first-half moneyline is an enticing +370, which carries an implied probability of just 21.3%. In what should be a relatively slow-paced game, I’ll take the better shooting team to outpace the more athletic power-conference team for 20 minutes.
Pick: Seattle 1H moneyline (+370)
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