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UConn vs Iowa Predictions, Player Props & Odds for Final Four

Sascha Paruk

by Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Updated Apr 5, 2024 · 7:42 AM PDT

Iowa Hawkeyes players celebrating a basket
Iowa Hawkeyes guard Caitlin Clark (22) and Iowa Hawkeyes guard Sydney Affolter (3) hype up Iowa Hawkeyes forward Hannah Stuelke (45) after a basket during the Elite 8 round of the NCAA Women's Basketball Tournament between Iowa and LSU at MVP Arena, Monday, April 1, 2024 in Albany, N.Y.
  • Caitlin Clark and the #1 Iowa Hawkeyes take on Paige Bueckers and the #3 UConn Huskies in the 2024 Final Four on April 5
  •  The winner will advance to the national championship game to face either South Carolina or NC State
  • See the UConn vs Iowa odds, predictions, and player props for Friday’s game in Cleveland, OH

After taking down LSU in the Elite Eight, the #1 Iowa Hawkeyes (33-4) are two wins away from a national championship, a quest they fell one win short of last season. Awaiting Caitlin Clark and company in the Final Four is Paige Bueckers and the #3 UConn Huskies (33-5), who carry a 13-game win streak into Friday’s Final Four game in Cleveland, Ohio.

Tipoff at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse is scheduled for 9:30 pm ET and the Hawkeyes are listed as slight favorites in the UConn vs Iowa odds.

UConn vs Iowa Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
UConn Huskies +2.5 (-110) +124 O 162.5 (-110)
Iowa Hawkeyes -2.5  (-110) -148 U 162.5 (-110)

Iowa is listed as a 2.5-point betting favorite over the Huskies and -138 to win on the moneyline. UConn is a +124 underdog to stretch its win streak to 14 games. The game total is sitting at 162.5.

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Odds as of April 5. Claim one of the top betting promo codes to wager on UConn vs Iowa on Monday night.

Hawkeyes Finally Overcome LSU in Elite Eight

After a dominant 89-68 win over #5 Colorado in the Sweet 16, Iowa was matched up with #3 LSU in the quarterfinals, the team that beat the Hawkeyes in last year’s title game. Clark (32.0 PPG, 9.0 APG, 7.3 RPG), the nation’s leading scorer for the third time in her four seasons at Iowa, had one of the best games of her storied career; the 6’0 guard dropped 41 points on LSU, going 9-of-20 from beyond the arc, along with 12 assists, seven rebounds, two steals, and a block.

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Senior guard Kate Martin added 21 points, six rebounds, and two steals while junior guard Sydney Affolter had 16 points and five boards as Iowa shot 46.4% from the field and 41.9% from three.

The Hawkeye defense was impeccable against Angels Reese and the Bayou Bengals. Reese finished with 17 points on an inefficient 7-of-21 from the floor. As a team, LSU was limited to just 38.6% from the field. Only a 54-36 edge on the glass allowed LSU to keep the game close.

UConn Takes Down Watkins, USC

While the #3 Huskies were the worse seed heading into their Elite Eight matchup with #1 USC, oddsmakers favored UConn. Geno Auriemma’s team was a 3.5-point favorite over the Trojans, and looked the part. After playing to a 33-33 stalemate in the first half, UConn distanced USC in the second to emerge with an 80-73 victory.

Bueckers (22.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 3.9 APG) had a team-high 28 points, 10 rebounds, and six assists, while Aaliyah Edwards (17.6 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 2.0 APG) added 24 points and six boards in the victory. While Juju Watkins scored a game-high 29 for the Trojans, she was just 9-of-25 from the field and USC, as a team, was held to 32.9% from the floor.

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UConn got a favorable draw in the Sweet 16, taking down #7 Duke after the Blue Devils upset #2 Ohio State in the second round.

Junior guard Bueckers has led the Huskies in scoring in all four games during the tournament and is averaging exactly 28.0 PPG during March Madness. Indeed, Bueckers has led UConn in scoring in each of last 11 games. Overall, the Huskies are 20-2 when Bueckers has a team-high in points, and 13-3 when she doesn’t.

The Huskies went 18-0 in Big East play this season, with their five losses coming against: NC State (92-81 away), UCLA (78-67 neutral), Texas (80-68 neutral), Notre Dame (82-67 home), and South Carolina (83-65 away).

UConn vs Iowa Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aaliyah Edwards (UConn) 18.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 9.5 (Ov -110 | Un -110) OFF OFF
Ashlynn Shade (UConn) 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -125) OFF OFF OFF
Caitlin Clark (Iowa) 33.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) 7.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov +110 | Un -135)
Hannah Stuelke (Iowa) 11.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 6.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) OFF OFF
Kate Martin (Iowa) 13.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 8.5 (Ov +110 | Un -130) OFF OFF
Nika Muhl (UConn) 5.5 (Ov -105 | Un -115) OFF 2.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) OFF
Paige Bueckers (UConn) 26.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) 7.5 (Ov -115 | Un -105) 2.5 (Ov -120 | Un -100) OFF
Sydney Affollter (Iowa) 12.5 (Ov -150 | Un +125) 6.5 (Ov -125 | Un +105) OFF OFF

UConn vs Iowa player props from DraftKings. Claim the best DraftKings sign up promo here. 

The UConn vs Iowa player props listed the two stars head-and-shoulders above their teammates. Clark has a massive point total of 33.5, while Bueckers is at 26.5. UConn’s Edwards, a 6’3 senior forward, has the highest rebound total at 9.5.

UConn vs Iowa Prediction

UConn has suffered one more L than Iowa this season, but the Huskies also played a significantly tougher non-conference schedule before dominating a mediocre Big East. The Huskies enter the Final Four with the second-best point differential in the nation (+23.1), trailing only undefeated South Carolina (+29.6). Their defense is allowing just 56.8 points per game, compared to the run-and-gun Hawkeyes at 71.5 PPG.

I can’t bet against the Hawkeyes in this spot, though. Clark will undoubtedly be the most-talented scorer UConn has faced all season, and she has shown a penchant for coming up huge in huge games. In addition to her 41 points against LSU on Monday, she also dropped 41 in last year’s Elite Eight win over Louisville (97-83) and another 41 in the Final Four against South Carolina (77-73).

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Clark’s supporting cast isn’t as talented as Bueckers, but the Hawkeyes are well-coached and play to their strength. If 6’2 sophomore forward Hannah Stuelke can stay out of foul trouble, she should be able to keep Edwards in check on the glass.

UConn vs Iowa pick: Iowa -2.5 (-110)

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