Central Michigan vs Toledo Predictions, Odds & Lines – CFB Week 12

• We’ve made our Central Michigan vs Toledo prediction for Tuesday night MACtion
• The latest MAC odds favor the Rockets by 14.5 points at home
• Read below for Central Michigan vs Toledo prediction, pick and betting odds

The Central Michigan Chippewas (3-6, 1-4 MAC) head to the Glass Bowl to battle the Toledo Rockets (6-3, 3-2 MAC) in some classic Tuesday night MACtion on November 12, 2024. Kickoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPNU.

This mid-week matchup has big implications, especially for the struggling Chippewas, who need to run the table to keep their bowl hopes alive. Toledo comes in as a hefty 14.5-point favorite, with oddsmakers setting the over/under at 51.5 points.

Here is a look at our Central Michigan vs Toledo prediction for Tuesday night MACtion.

Central Michigan vs Toledo Prediction

The Chippewas’ offense has been stuck in neutral lately, largely due to a brutal string of injuries under center. With starter Joe Labas shelved for the year, they’ve been forced to rotate between Tyler Jefferson and Jadyn Glasser at quarterback, neither of whom has found much rhythm.

In their latest setback against Bowling Green, Glasser showed a few sparks by going 5-for-7 for 57 yards and scrambling for a touchdown. Jefferson, meanwhile, had a rough outing, connecting on just one of his six throws.

The Rockets’ offense is a different story altogether. Junior QB Tucker Gleason has been slinging it around the yard, racking up 1,896 yards and 18 touchdowns this season. His go-to target Jerjuan Newton has been a nightmare for opposing secondaries, hauling in 49 balls for 783 yards and 10 scores.

Fresh off a gutsy 29-28 comeback win over Eastern Michigan, where Gleason matched his season-best with three TD passes, Toledo’s offense looks to be hitting its stride.

A three-TD quarter. A 12-point comeback. A 𝗠𝗔𝗖 𝗢𝗙𝗙𝗘𝗡𝗦𝗜𝗩𝗘 𝗣𝗟𝗔𝗬𝗘𝗥 𝗢𝗙 𝗧𝗛𝗘 𝗪𝗘𝗘𝗞 for Tucker Gleason! 🏅

Gleason takes the award for the second time this season!

📰 https://t.co/IkgPIq78g3#TeamToledo | @TuckGleason pic.twitter.com/oZ3jyoM51Z

— Toledo Football (@ToledoFB) November 8, 2024

The Rockets’ defense deserves some love, too. They’re giving up just 20.7 points per game and rank 31st nationally in yards per play allowed. Given CMU’s recent offensive woes – they’ve mustered just 20 points total in their last two games – points could be hard to come by for the visitors.

Prediction: While 14.5 points is a chunky spread for a MAC game, Toledo should have enough firepower to cover. Look for the Rockets to pull away in the second half for a comfortable 31-10 win.

• Pick: Toledo (-14.5) 

CMU vs Toledo Odds

The Rockets are laying 14.5 points at home, with the moneyline sitting at Toledo -667 and Central Michigan +463. The total is perched at 51.5 points, with the odds giving Toledo about an 87% chance to win outright.

The betting line has been pushed up by CMU’s quarterback carousel and their recent offensive struggles. History isn’t on the Chippewas’ side either – they’ve failed to cover in 11 of their last 14 against Toledo, and these teams have stayed under the total in their last five meetings.

Toledo’s stock is trending up after winning three of their last four, including a near-upset of SEC foe Mississippi State. Their balanced attack and stingy defense (top 40 in several key metrics) make them a solid bet to cover the number.

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Odds as of November 12, at ESPN Bet. Check out our ESPN Bet review or browse other recommended US betting sites for MACtion.

Central Michigan vs Toledo Head to Head

Toledo has dominated the head-to-head series against Central Michigan in recent years, winning eight of the last ten meetings. The Rockets have also been successful against the spread, covering in seven of those ten games.

In the last ten meetings, Toledo has outscored Central Michigan by an average of 34.3 to 18.8 points per game. The Rockets have also covered the spread in four of the last five matchups, with the lone exception being Central Michigan’s upset victory in 2021.

The under has hit in eight of the last ten meetings, suggesting that this matchup tends to be a lower-scoring affair. However, with Toledo’s offense firing on all cylinders and Central Michigan’s defense struggling, the over/under of 51.5 points seems spot on in this year’s contest.