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Famous Idaho Potato Bowl Picks & Odds: Bobcats Favored by 8 Over Wolf Pack

Ryan Bolta

by Ryan Bolta in College Football

Updated Apr 2, 2020 · 4:07 PM PDT

Rufus the Ohio Bobcats mascot
Ohio gained bowl eligibility in their final game of the regular season but enter the Idaho Potato Bowl as big favorites against Nevada. Photo by Ohisylvania / Wiki Commons
  • Ohio (6-6) and Nevada (7-5) meet in the Idaho Potato Bowl January 3rd
  • The Wolf Pack will be without three starters on defense due to suspension for fighting after their loss to UNLV
  • The Bobcats ranked 20th in points scored per game and could take advantage of a depleted Nevada defense that ranked 78th this season

The Idaho Potato Bowl between Ohio and Nevada is the most confident bowl prediction I’ll make – this isn’t one of those previews where I’ll make the case for both teams before settling on a pick at the end. I’m siding with the Bobcats to cover and cover comfortably and here’s why.

Idaho Potato Bowl Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Ohio Bobcats -8 (-110) -300 Over 58.5 (-115)
Nevada Wolf Pack +8 (-110) +250 Under 58.5 (-105)

Odds taken Dec. 30th

Ohio Offense Will Cause Nevada Problems

The Ohio vs Nevada odds show this game could be a one-possession game but I think it’ll be much more one-sided. The Ohio offense was very efficient this year scoring 34.7 points per game which ranked tied for 20th in college football. Much like the other top offenses they have success running and throwing the ball. They average 226.8 passing yards per game and 216.5 rushing yards per game. Their rush attack ranks 22nd thanks in large part due to the dynamic duo of quarterback Nathan Rourke and running back O’Shaan Allison.

Rourke had 2,676 passing yards but was even more impressive rushing the ball. He had 780 yards and 12 touchdowns rushing and Allison added 823 yards and six touchdowns on only 129 carries. The pair should be able to run all day on the Wolf Pack, who ranked 78th in defensive efficiency.

Suspensions Should Cost Wolf Pack

At the end of their season-ending loss to UNLV the Wolf Pack got into a brawl and it will cost the team big time in this game. Defensive back Austin Arnold, defensive back Daniel Brown and defensive tackle Hausia Sekona have all been suspended for this game and linebacker Gabriel Sewell will miss the first half. That’s a group of defensive starters Nevada couldn’t afford to lose. The unit wasn’t efficient before the suspensions and the losses will cause a third of the players on the field to be role players which will give the potent Ohio offense an even bigger advantage.

Consider Ohio -8 & Over 58.5 Parlay

The Bobcats will score at will in this football game and it opens the option of a parlay with the “Over” if you’re feeling aggressive. If you’ve done well in the bowl season and have some profit to risk, that is an intriguing play here. Nevada’s only hope would be keeping Ohio’s offense off the field for long stretches but they can’t even do that. The Wolf Pack have had a 100+ yard rusher only three times this season and only once since October 12th.

The college football season is almost in the rearview mirror – consider this one of your last great chances to pick on a program that’s happy to be invited to bowl game and nothing more.

Pick: Ohio State -8 & Over 58.5

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