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Joe Burrow (-2500) Heavy Heisman Favorite After Week 14; Does Justin Fields Stand a Chance?

LSU QB Joe Burrow takes a snap
Joe Burrow's Heisman odds are as short as -2500 entering the SEC Title game. Photo by Tammy Anthony Baker [CC License].
  • Joe Burrow is a prohibitively short Heisman favorite after Week 14
  • Burrow has to face Georgia’s elite defense in the SEC Title game before votes are cast
  • Does Ohio State’s Justin Fields stand a chance of taking home the trophy?

Joe Burrow is the heavy Heisman favorite entering conference-championship weekend after delivering another great performance in his final game at Tiger Stadium.

Burrow currently has -2500 Heisman odds entering the SEC Title game, while Ohio State’s Justin Fields has the next-best odds at +1200. Heisman ballots have to be submitted on Monday, Dec. 9th, before the playoffs begin.

Is Burrow a lock for the trophy or does Fields stand a chance?

2019 Heisman Trophy Odds

Player Odds
Joe Burrow (QB, LSU) -2500
Justin Fields (QB, Ohio State) +1200
Chase Young (DE, Ohio State) +2000
Jalen Hurts (QB, Oklahoma) +2500

Odds taken Dec. 4

Burrow’s Final Game at Tiger Stadium

Joe Burrow strengthened his Heisman Trophy resume with another excellent showing in his final game in Death Valley on Saturday. The LSU QB threw for 352 yards and three touchdowns to lead LSU to a 50-17 victory over Texas A&M.

Burrow’s incredible play this year has helped LSU to its first unbeaten regular season since 2011.

Burrow has put up incredible numbers and it would take a disastrous outing in the SEC Title game for him to lose the Heisman. The senior pivot has set the single-season school record for both passing yards (4,366) and touchdowns (44), in addition to leading all college QB’s with a 78.3 completion percentage.

Burrow also broke the SEC record for passing yards and just needs one more TD to break the SEC record for touchdown passes set by Missouri’s Drew Lock in 2017. While Burrow has all but locked up the Heisman, one final test remains.

Burrow To Face Elite Georgia Defense

There is one final game that will have an impact on Joe Burrow’s Heisman chances. LSU is set to face Georgia in the SEC Title game on Saturday. The Tigers will be challenged by a Bulldogs defense that is ranked fourth nationally and hasn’t given up more than 20 points to any team this season.

Considering Burrow has met every challenge he’s been faced with this season, there’s no reason to start doubting him now. The LSU QB has turned in his best performances against the top competition this year, delivering against elite Florida and Auburn defenses.

Burrow has completed 79.9 percent of his passes against AP Top 25 teams and seems to shine in the biggest games. He’s outdueled Texas’ Sam Ehlinger and Alabama’s Tua Tagovailoa among other talented QBs. There’s no reason to doubt his ability to go toe-to-toe with Jake Fromm and Georgia on Saturday.

Does Justin Fields Stand a Chance?

Despite Ohio State QB Justin Fields turning in a heroic effort against Michigan on Saturday, Fields actually saw his Heisman odds drop from +750 to +1200. Fields went 14 of 25 for 302 yards and four touchdowns to help the Buckeyes defeat the Wolverines, yet again.

The sophomore quarterback said he aggravated a strained ligament before the game, but wanted to show his toughness by playing through it. Fields had a “Heisman moment” after he injured his leg in the third quarter and went to the medical tent. The Buckeyes QB, sporting a bulky knee brace, threw a 30-yard TD pass on his first play back just minutes later.

Fields has been lethally accurate this season, throwing 37 touchdown passes with only one interception. He’s also been a force on the ground with 10 rushing TDs. While he’s been a solid dual-threat, his 2,654 passing yards don’t come anywhere close to the 4,000-plus yards Burrow has put up.

Ohio State also has several valuable players that have helped the team go unbeaten this season. J.K.Dobbins has been one of the top rushers, while Chase Young has been one of the league’s best defensive players. No player in the Heisman conversation has had the type of individual impact on their team like Burrow has had for LSU.

Heisman Analysis After Week 14

Justin Field’s Heisman odds dropping after a strong effort against Michigan tells you what oddsmakers think of Joe Burrow. The LSU QB has been incredible every week and even a great effort from Fields or Jalen Hurts in their respective title games won’t be enough to overtake Burrow for the trophy.

It would take a performance for the ages and Burrow stumbling against Georgia for someone to unseat the LSU QB. Everything Burrow has done this season points to him delivering another big outing against the Bulldogs.

The best value for Burrow was much earlier in the season. He’s all but a lock to win the trophy at this point, and oddsmakers have set the odds accordingly.

Pick: Joe Burrow (-2500)

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