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Kansas vs Baylor Prediction, Odds and Picks for Week 8

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Oct 21, 2022 · 7:00 AM PDT

Kansas vs Baylor Prediction, Odds and Picks for Week 8
Oct 1, 2022; Waco, Texas, USA; Baylor Bears quarterback Blake Shapen (12) rolls out to pass against the Oklahoma State Cowboys during the second half at McLane Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Baylor Bears are 10-point favorites over the Kansas Jayhawks in their college football game scheduled for Saturday, October 22
  • Baylor has won 12 in a row straight up over Kansas
  • The Jayhawks (0-10 SU) have never won a game at Baylor

The Kansas Jayhawks (5-2, 6-0-1 ATS) have lost 12 in a row to the Baylor Bears (3-3, 3-3 ATS). Their last win over the Bets was in 2007. In 10 tries, they’ve never won a game at Baylor.

There might not be a better chance to bring an end to both of these droughts than right now. Kansas is 5-3 straight up and 6-0-1 against the spread traveling to Baylor to face the Bears this weekend. It’s the best team the Jayhawks have fielded in many years.

And yet, oddsmakers still aren’t liking their chances. The 3-3 Bears are 10-point home favorites to continue their dominance of Kansas.

Kansas vs Baylor Odds

Team Spread Total Moneyline
Kansas Jayhawks +10 (-110) O 58 (-110) +278
Baylor Bears -10 (-110) U 58 (-110) -355

Odds as of October 20 at Caesars Sportsbook. See the available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code here.



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Baylor are 9-1 SU in the past 10 home games. The Bears are 6-0 ATS in the last six home games against Kansas.

The kickoff for this game at McLane Stadium is set for 12:00 pm ET on Saturday, October 22. The weather forecast is predicting cloudy skies, 23 mph wind and a temperature of 86 degrees. The broadcast of the game can be seen on ESPN and streamed on the Watch ESPN app.

Kansas vs Baylor Betting Trends

At moneyline odds of -355, the Bears are offering an implied probability of victory of 78.02% in the CFB odds. A successful $10 wager on Baylor would return a payout of just $12.90.

In terms of NCAA public betting trends, the public is going with Baylor on the moneyline. The Bears are getting the backing of 51% of handle and 70% of bets in moneyline wagering. The public spread splits, though, are all Kansas. On the spread, 63% of handle and 71% of bets are going with the Jayhawks. When it comes to the total of 58 points, there’s 75% of the bets and 68% of the handle supporting the over.

In NCAA future book wagering, Baylor is the +2500 fifth betting choice to win the Big 12 title. Kansas is right behind the Bears as the +4000 sixth pick in this betting market.

Bears Playing QB Or Not QB?

Entering this game, both schools are uncertain whether their QB1 will be starting the game under center.

Baylor quarterback Blake Shapen left last week’s 43-40 loss to West Virginia with a head injury. He was hurt in a helmet-to-helmet collision that led to a targeting penalty against the Mountaineers.

Shapen returned to practice this week, but his status for the game is unknown. He’s been enjoying a huge October.

Shapen threw for 326 yards against West Virginia. Earlier in the month at Oklahoma State on Oct. 1, he passed for a career-high 345 yards.

If Shapen can’t go, it certainly changes the complexion of the Baylor offense. Backup Kyron Drones, who relieved Shapen last week, would be making his first NCAA start if he gets the nod on Saturday.

Jayhawks Also Hurting Under Center

For Kansas, QB1 Jalon Daniels returned to practice in mid-week on a limited basis. He’s nursing a right shoulder injury.

Daniels sat out last week’s loss to the Oklahoma Sooners. Speculation is not to expect him back until the Jayhawks play Oklahoma State on Nov. 5. Next week is a bye week for Kansas.

In his place, Jason Bean would be getting the start. Bean does have previous starting experience and in fact was at the helm last season when Baylor hammered Kansas 45-7.

Certainly, Kansas will again be relying heavily on RB Devin Neal. He’s carried the ball 76 times for 521 yards. That’s an average of 72.1 yards per game and 6.6 yards per carry. Neal has accounted for five touchdowns.

Kansas vs Baylor Prediction

Both of these teams are coming into this game riding two-game losing skids. It’s homecoming week of what’s been a disappointing campaign for Baylor. The Bears were ranked #10 in the preseason polls.

After a 5-0 start, the Jayhawks don’t want to let this special season get away from them. A victory on Saturday wouldn’t just make history, it would make Kansas bowl eligible for the first time in 13 years.

Pick: Kansas +10 (-110).

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