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Louisiana vs Houston Odds, Spread and Prediction for Independence Bowl

Nick Holz

by Nick Holz in College Football

Updated Dec 20, 2022 · 9:04 AM PST

Houston Cougars quarterback Clayton Tune runs with the ball
Nov 26, 2022; Houston, Texas, USA; Houston Cougars quarterback Clayton Tune (3) runs with the ball during the third quarter against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane at TDECU Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports
  • Louisiana meets Houston in the 2022 Independence Bowl on Friday
  • The over has hit in 10 of 12 Houston Cougars games this season
  • Check out all the odds for the Independence Bowl and our best bets for Louisiana vs Houston below

The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns and Houston Cougars square off in the Independence Bowl this week at Independence Stadium. Spice up your Friday afternoon with some Louisiana vs Houston action.

Louisiana (6-6) enter bowl season after a 41-13 beatdown of Texas State.

While Houston (7-5) lost to Tulsa 37-30 on November 16th.

This year’s Independence Bowl kicks off on Friday, December 23rd at 3pm ET from Independence Stadium. Until then check out all the Independence Bowl odds in our table, and our best bets for Louisiana vs Houston below.

Louisiana vs Houston Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Louisiana +7 +200 Over 57 (-110)
Houston -7 -250 Under 57 (-110)

Odds as of December 20th at BetMGM. Claim the BetMGM bonus code for bowl season. 

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Houston enters the Independence Bowl as heavy 7-point favorites. While the total for Louisiana vs Houston sit at 56.5. Currently, bettors are all over Houston as 88% of bets ATS are on the Cougars to cover.

Louisiana Betting Trends

The Ragin’ Cajuns march into the Independence Bowl on the heels of a blowout victory. However, Louisiana has won just 4 of its past 8 contests.

Ragin’ Cajuns quarterback Ben Woolridge is out for the season with a lower-body injury. Thus, Chandler Fields will lead this squad into the Independence Bowl. The sophomore pivot has tossed for 954 yards and 10 touchdowns so far this season.

Having said that, Louisiana likes to dictate the pace of games with a strong rushing attack. The Ragin’ Cajuns ground game ranks 76th in the nation, averaging 142 yards per contest.

At the same time, the Louisiana defense has been surprisingly resilient this season. The Ragin’ Cajuns rank 38 in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 22 points per game. Moreover, Louisiana’s defense have generated 15 turnovers on the year. To have a chance of pulling off an upset in the Independence Bowl, Louisiana must win the turnover battle.

The betting trends hardly favor Louisiana in this one as the Ragin’ Cajuns are 0-5 ATS after a straight up win of more than 20 points. Additionally, Louisiana is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

Houston Betting Trends

The Houston Cougars have won five of their past 7 games, but failed to come out on top against Tulsa in week 13. Losing as 13-point home favorites is not something Houston fans or bettors are accustomed to.

Thankfully, Houston can always fall back on its elite offense. Over the past three games, the Cougars have racked up 502 yards of total offense, and an astonishing 7.4 yards per play. Behind the arm of Clayton Tune, the Cougars have put up over 320 passing yards per game on the year. Tune has thrown for 3,845 yards and 37 touchdowns while leading this offense to new heights.

Houston’s offense ranks 21st in the nation in total offense, while putting up 37.2 points per contest. The Ragin’ Cajuns will have their hands full attempting to slow down this high-octane Cougars attack.

The Cougars are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games played against the Sun Belt conference. Meanwhile, the over is 6-1 in Houston’s last 7 games overall.

Louisiana vs Houston Prediction

This year’s Independence Bowl will be decided by how well the Louisiana defense can hold up against Houston’s high-flying offense. While the Ragin’ Cajuns are a hard-nosed football team, their offense lacks the firepower to keep up with the Cougars. Look for Houston to bolt out to an early lead and easily cover the spread.

Independence Bowl Pick: Houston -7 (-110)

 

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