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Mexico Cure Bowl – Miami (OH) vs App State Odds & Predictions

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in College Football

Updated Dec 15, 2023 · 9:46 AM PST

MAC Champion Miami (Ohio) RedHawks are 5.5-point underdogs to the Appalachian State Mountaineers in the Avocados For Mexico Cure Bowl.
Dec 2, 2023; Detroit, MI, USA; Miami (OH) Redhawks players celebrate on the field after defeating the Toledo Rockets to win the MAC Championship at Ford Field. Mandatory Credit: Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports
  • It’s the Appalachian State Mountaineers who are 5.5-point favorites over the Miami RedHawks in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl on Saturday, December 16
  • The RedHawks are 10-3 ATS this season, tied for third-best in the nation
  • Appalachian State is 4-1 ATS over the past five games

There’s a first in store for everyone as the Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (11-2, 10-3 ATS) square off with the Appalachian State Mountaineers (8-5, 6-6-1 ATS) in the Avocados From Mexico Cure Bowl. This will be the inaugural meeting between these two schools on the football field.

Appalachian State finished third overall in the Sun Belt Conference, losing 49-23 to Troy in the conference title game. The Mountaineers are 5-1 straight up in their last six games.

Meanwhile, Miami was the first-place finisher in the MAC West Division. The RedHawks were 23-14 winners over the Toledo Rockets in the MAC Championship Game, avenging a 21-17 regular-season loss to the Rockets. Miami’s other loss was a 38-3 setback to their namesakes the Miami (Fla) Hurricanes.

It’s the Mountaineers who are set by oddsmakers as the 5.5-point favorites in the Miami vs App State odds. The RedHawks are 10-3 against the spread this season. That’s tied for the third-best mark in the nation.

Taking a deeper look into the Miami (Ohio) vs Appalachian State odds, we’ll offer you our prediction for this NCAA football bowl game.

Miami (Ohio) vs App State Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Miami (Ohio) RedHawks +170 +5.5 (-110) Over 47.5 (-115)
Appalachian State Mountaineers -210 -5.5 (-110) Under 47.5 (-105)

In the Miami (Ohio) vs Appalachian State odds, the Mountaineers are -210 moneyline favorites, giving them a 67.74% implied win probability. The total is set at 47.5 points. That’s the highest total through Miami’s last nine games.


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The Mountaineers are 6-1 straight up all-time in bowl games. Appalachian State is 3-0 SU when facing a MAC school in a bowl game. The RedHawks are 8-6 SU in their bowl game history. They are 3-1 SU in their last four bowl appearances. Miami is also 3-1 SU in previous bowl game appearances in Orlando.

Kickoff for this game at FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday, December 16 is set for 3:30 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by ABC.

RedHawks vs Mountaineers Betting Trends

In the college football public betting splits, Appalachian State has certainly turned around the school’s season in the eyes of college football bettors. After opening the season 2-5-1 ATS, the Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS over the past five games. Appalachian State also is 5-1 SU through the last six games.

The RedHawks have covered in four of the past five games and 10 of the past 12 games. In road games and neutral-site games they are a combined 6-2 ATS.

The Mountaineers opened the season 3-0 on the total. They are 2-0 to the over in their last two games. In between those stretches, though, Appalachian State hit the under six times in eight games.

Miami (Ohio) has gone under in four successive games. The RedHawks went over in five of their first nine games.

Mountaineers Climb Built On Offense

Appalachian State is an offensive juggernaut. The Mountaineers rank tied for 19th in the country in scoring offense, putting up 34.8 points per game. Quarterback Joey Aguilar has already set a school record with 3,546 passing yards. He’s tied for third in the nation with 33 touchdown passes.

The Mountaineers defense has also been stepping up down the stretch. Over the last four regular-season games they allowed 15.3 points per game while picking off eight passes.

RedHawks Do It With Defense

Aguilar will be facing one of his toughest tests of the season in this game. Miami (Ohio) allows just 197.2 passing yards per game. The RedHawks rank #7 in the NCAA in scoring defense, allowing a paltry 16.2 points per game. They’ve permitted fewer than 20 points in five straight and seven of their last nine games.

Offensively, the run game powers the Miami attack. RB Rashad Amos has gained 895 yards on the ground. He’s run for 13 TDs. Amos could be a factor in this game. Appalachian State is the 110th run defense in the NCAA, allowing 1781 yards per game.

Cade McDonald is ninth in the nation in punt returns, gaining 12.7 yards per runback.

Miami (Ohio) vs App State Prediction

Prior to their loss to Troy, Appalachian State won four games in a row all at the expense of bowl-bound schools. The Mountaineers are a bowl game powerhouse. They were the first school in FBS history to win each of their first six bowl appearances.

Miami (Ohio) vs Appalachian State Pick: Appalachian State Mountaineers -5.5 (-110)



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