- The Baltimore Ravens clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers on Wednesday (Dec. 2nd, 3:40 pm EST)
- Diontae Johnson is averaging 12.5 targets in games he’s started and finished this season
- Read below for analysis and our favorite prop bets for this game
The Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers will finally meet on Wednesday (Dec. 2, 3:40 pm EST) to wrap up Week 12. This contest was supposed to take place nearly a week ago on Thanksgiving, but a plethora of positive COVID tests keeps pushing it back.
The game has now been postponed three separate times, but the NFL seems adamant on it being played no matter how many stars will be forced to sit out. Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrew, Matthew Judon and James Conner among others, have all tested positive for the coronavirus, but the show must go on.
One player who will play and is in line for yet another big workload is Steelers wideout Diontae Johnson. The second year player has been a target monster this season and is the subject of our first prop bet.
Ravens vs Steelers Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TD|
|Robert Griffin (BAL)||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||170.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||0.5 (Ov -182 | Un +145)|
|Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)||25.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||270.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||1.5 (Ov -167 | Un +133)|
|Running Backs||Attempts||Rush Yards||Rush + Receiving Yards|
|Gus Edwards (BAL)||N/A||39.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||N/A|
|Benny Snell Jr. (PIT)||15.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||57.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||68.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Anthony McFarland Jr. (PIT)||N/A||21.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||28.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Wide Receivers + Tight Ends||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Marquise Brown (BAL)||3.5 (Ov +125 | Un -157)||38.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Miles Boykin (BAL)||N/A||10.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||9.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Devin Duvernay (BAL)||2.5 (Ov +130 | Un -165)||22.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||13.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Chase Claypool (PIT)||4.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||49.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT)||5.5 (Ov +115 | Un -143)||52.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||18.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Diontae Johnson (PIT)||5.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||56.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||20.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
|Eric Ebron (PIT)||3.5 (Ov -106 | Un -118)||34.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)||16.5 (Ov -112 | Un -112)|
Odds taken Dec. 1st at DraftKings.
Prop #1: Diontae Johnson Over 56.5 Receiving Yards, Over 5.5 Receptions
Johnson has started and finished six games in 2020. In those contests, these are his target counts: 16, 11, 10, 15, 13, 10. He’s fresh off a 12 catch, 111 yard game, and has eclipsed 76 receiving yards in all but one game he’s finished this year.
Diontae Johnson’s route running 😳 pic.twitter.com/izhPjbFMsJ
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) November 22, 2020
Baltimore’s pass defense is strong, but certainly not impenetrable. Last week Corey Davis and AJ Brown combined for 175 receiving yards against them, while Juju Smith-Schuster went for 7 catches and 67 yards in their first meeting.
The Steelers are 10-point favorites which would normally suggest a run heavy game script, but Pittsburgh has been throwing at an extremely high clip lately regardless of the score. Over the past three weeks, the Steelers are throwing on 67.8% of their plays, despite facing bottom feeders Jacksonville, Dallas and Cincinnati over that stretch.
Now with Conner out of the mix due to COVID, Pittsburgh could give Benny Snell more work, or they could keep doing what’s been working, which is feeding their elite receiver corps, led by Johnson.
Pick: Diontae Johnson Over 56.5 receiving yards (-112), 1 unit, Over 5.5 receptions (-112), 1 unit
Prop #2: Robert Griffin Over 28.5 Rushing Yards
With Lamar Jackson out, Robert Griffin returns to our lives for one afternoon only. The former second overall pick has started just one game since 2016, and it just happened to be against the Steelers.
We get these QBs starting games this week… 2020 is crazy… Mike Glennon, Tayson Hill, Nick Mullins, Robert Griffin III, Mitchell Trubisky, Kendall Hinton, Brandon Allen
— Scott Fish (@ScottFish24) November 29, 2020
In that outing, he ran eight times for 50 yards, and has cleared at least 31 rushing yards in each of his past six starts. RG3’s dual threat abilities propelled him to stardom as a rookie, and the Ravens will likely try to implement the same type of game plan as if Jackson were under center. Lamar has rushed for 65 and 70 yards in two career starts against Pittsburgh, and I like Griffin’s chances of having a big day on the ground as well.
Pick: Robert Griffin Over 28.5 rushing yards (-112), 1 unit
Ravens vs Steelers Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score Anytime TD||Odds to Score 2 TD|
|Benny Snell Jr. (PIT)||+120||+600|
|Chase Claypool (PIT)||+120||+600|
|Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT)||+150||+800|
|Diontae Johnson (PIT)||+150||+800|
|Eric Ebron (PIT)||+200||+1100|
|Marquise Brown (BAL)||+200||+1100|
|Devin Duvernay (BAL)||+250||+1900|
|James Washington (PIT)||+350||+2900|
|Miles Boykin (BAL)||+400||+3400|
|Anthony McFarland Jr. (PIT)||+500||+3900|
|Ray-Ray McCloud (PIT)||+700||+4900|
Prop #3: Claypool Hits Pay Dirt
Diontae Johnson may be the target and yardage monster in the Steelers’ offense, but rookie Chase Claypool is the touchdown scorer. The Notre Dame product leads the team with 10 total scores, two of which have come on the ground.
— Pittsburgh Steelers (@steelers) November 22, 2020
When Pittsburgh gets down near the goal line they have a variety of different plays specifically for Claypool, and the fact that he’s a threat to score on the ground and in through the air makes hims the preferred touchdown choice.
Pick: Chase Claypool to score anytime TD (+120), 1 unit, to score 2 TD (+600), 0.25 units
Let's have fun and keep it civil.