San Francisco 49ers Open as 4-Point Favorites vs Packers in Week 3 NFL Odds
- The San Francisco 49ers (2-0) opened as 4-point favorites over the Green Bay Packers (1-1) on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 (Sept. 26th, 8:20 pm ET)
- San Francisco edged out Philadelphia in Week 2, while Green Bay blew out Detroit
- Read below for analysis on which way the line will move ahead of kickoff
It’s a rematch of the 2019 NFC Championship Game on Sunday Night Football in Week 3 (Sept. 26th, 8:20 pm ET). The 2-0 San Francisco 49ers host the 1-1 Green Bay Packers at Levi’s Stadium, in their first home game of the 2021 season.
The venue has been a house of horrors for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers recently, as they’ve lost back-to-back games there by a combined score of 74-28.
Packers vs 49ers Opening Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | +100 | +4 (-110) | O 48.5 (-110) |
| San Francisco 49ers | -200 | -4 (-110) | U 48.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Sept. 20th at DraftKings.
The 49ers opened up as 4-point favorites, in a game that features a total of 48.5. San Francisco earned a hard fought 17-11 victory over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2, while Green Bay rebounded from its most embarassing loss in the Rodgers era, by blowing out Detroit 35-17 on Monday Night Football.
Winning Ugly
In Week 1, San Fran won by racking up 41 points in Detroit. In Week 2 however, it was the defense that propelled them to victory. They allowed just two scoring drives to Jalen Hurts and company, blocking a 46-yard field in the first half, and then forcing a turnover on downs inside their own 5-yard line on the very next series.
Defense pulling out all the stops 😤🛑
📺 #SFvsPHI on FOX pic.twitter.com/c5jy0Qqsmo
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) September 19, 2021
The Niners stingy defense limited Hurts to 12 completions and 190 passing yards on 23 attempts, a week after surrendering 338 yards to Jared Goff. San Fran brought down Hurts twice, hurried him on 18 drop backs, and held Philly running backs to 3.63 yards per carry.
Offensively, the 49ers didn’t produce many splash plays, but Jimmy Garoppolo took care of the football, and even flashed some rushing upside. The 29-year-old threw for 189 yards and a score, while picking up another 20 yards on the ground and a rushing TD.
Jimmy Garoppolo on beating #Eagles 17-11: “They’re defense makes you earn it. Their front is as good as it gets.” pic.twitter.com/8iB9zpEVPW
— Rob Maaddi (@RobMaaddi) September 19, 2021
On the injury front, a week after starter Raheem Mostert was lost for the season, his replacement Elijah Mitchell left the game briefly with a stinger but was able to return. His fellow backfield mates weren’t so lucky though. Second round pick Trey Sermon exited the game with a concussion, while fellow RB JaMychal Hasty left with an ankle injury, and fullback Kyle Juszczyk suffered a lower body injury.
Green Bay Bounces Back
Packer fans were understandably nervous during the first half of Monday’s win over the Lions, as their defense looked just as vulnerable as it did in Week 1. They surrendered 17 points on just four defensive series, and the team trailed by three at halftime.
Fortunately, Detroit’s defense had no answer for the Packers’ offense and especially Aaron Jones all night, and Green Bay blew the doors open in the second half. Rodgers tossed four touchdowns, three of which went to Jones, and the running back ran in his fourth score of the game to seal the victory.
Aaron Jones got tired of catching TDs, so he just ran one in.
— Matt Schneidman (@mattschneidman) September 21, 2021
Joe Barry’s defensive unit tightened up in third and fourth quarters keeping the Lions off the scoreboard, while racking up a pair of turnovers.
Expect Packers Money to Push Line
Packer bettors saw everything they needed to see from Rodgers against the Lions, and the defense played just well enough to give Green Bay supporters a false sense of security. Recency bias will likely dictate the betting action this week, so don’t be surprised if this game closes around San Fran -3.
Packers-49ers. Home opener. Sunday night football.
Big game that’ll tell us a little somethin’ about both teams. Can’t wait! #49ers
— Bonta Hill (@BontaHill) September 21, 2021
A field goal is probably where the line should have opened at from the jump, as the teams are two of the stronger NFC clubs and boasted similar preseason Super Bowl odds.
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
