A.I. Picks for Conference Championships – Best Bets for Rams vs Seahawks, Patriots vs Broncos
By Sascha Paruk in NFL News
Published:
- Our A.I. model has made its picks for both the AFC and NFC Championship Games
- This week’s A.I. NFL picks like both road teams to cover the spread, plus a pair of unders
- See our A.I. model’s top picks for Rams/Seahawks and Patriots/Broncos
The 2026 AFC and NFC Championship Games are scheduled for Sunday, January 25. In the NFC, the #1 Seattle Seahawks will meet the #4 Los Angeles Rams in an all-NFC West tilt at 630 pm ET at Lumen Field. Earlier in the day, the #2 New England Patriots will visit the #1 Denver Broncos, who are forced to start Jarrett Stidham under center due to Bo Nix’s season-ending ankle injury last week.
I have used our internal A.I. model to generate ATS and O/U picks for both the AFC and NFC Championship Games. Under the table, find the A.I.’s explanation for the picks, plus one-click options to tail each bet.
A.I. Picks for AFC & NFC Championship Games
Our A.I. model likes the Patriots to cover a sizable spread against the shorthanded Broncos, and the Rams to keep it close (again) against the division-rival Seahawks. (The two regular-season games between the Rams and Seahawks were decided by three points cumulatively.)
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Patriots vs Broncos A.I. Picks
A.I. explanation: “The model backs the road underdog in this divisional championship game, emphasizing the Rams’ superior offensive efficiency metrics despite their postseason struggles covering spreads. The Rams primary weakness manifests on third down, where they have only converted at a low 27.6% rate in the postseason – a critical deficiency that becomes magnified in playoff scenarios where every possession matters. However, they face an opposing offense that managed just 281 total yards against a shorthanded San Francisco defense last week.
The under selection capitalizes on both teams’ opportunistic defensive play, with each squad posting +3 turnover differentials entering this contest. The Rams’ third-down inefficiencies frequently result in stalled drives that consume clock without producing points, while an opposing defense has limited opponents to scoring on merely an 18.18% low percentage of their possessions. Given the market’s heavy action on a sluggish Rams start and an opposing team’s low-volume passing attack averaging 106 yards, scoring opportunities should remain limited in this defensive-minded championship clash
Rams vs Seahawks A.I. Picks
A.I. explanation: “The Patriots deploy a elite defensive unit that allowing just 9.5 PPG in the playoffs, while holding opponents to a meager 29.63% on third-down attempts – championship-caliber numbers that have carried them through the postseason gauntlet.
New England’s offensive limitations are glaring, converting only 28.0% of third downs and managing a concerning 25.0% red zone conversion rate, but those numbers were significantly better in the regular season and are due for positive regression. That’s all the more true with the probability of short fields thanks to an anemic Denver offense piloted by career backup Jarrett Stidham.
Denver’s defense was great during the regular season but exploited by Buffalo last week, allowing 30 and surrendering a staggering 66.67% third-down conversion rate.”
Managing Editor
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.