A.I. Player Prop Picks for Divisional Round –

• Our A.I. model has identified its top player prop to bet for all eight teams in the Divisional Round
• The A.I.’s is exclusively targeting overs, including Puka Nacua’s receiving yards
• See the top Divisional Round player props to bet from our internal A.I. model

The NFL Divisional Round delivers elite talent in do-or-die situations where championship dreams hang in the balance. This weekend’s slate features marquee quarterbacks like Buffalo Bills’ Josh Allen looking to bounce the Denver Broncos for the second straight season. The San Francisco 49ers’ dual-threat weapon Christian McCaffrey headlines the loaded NFC, while the Los Angeles Rams’ explosive passing attack anchored by Puka Nacua faces a Chicago Bears defense in what projects as a high-scoring affair.

Identifying value in these high-stakes matchups requires dissecting performance trends against playoff-caliber competition. The analysis ahead examines every divisional matchup through the lens of advanced metrics and historical playoff performance, targeting the best player prop for each franchise.

Top NFL Divisional Round Player Props to Bet

The A.I. has identified one player prop it likes for each team. It specified three as its top bets for the week, though: Nacua receiving yards, Walker rushing yards, and McCaffrey rushing+receiving yards.

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

James Cook (BUF): Rushing Yards Over 76.5 (-112 at DraftKings)

A.I. reasoning: “Buffalo’s ground game coordinator emphasizes early-down efficiency to control playoff tempo, positioning Cook for significant carry volume. Denver’s altitude advantage traditionally impacts visiting teams’ cardiovascular endurance, making ground control essential for sustained drives. Cook’s explosive run percentage and yards-per-carry metrics against stacked boxes demonstrate his ability to create chunk gains when defenses expect pass-heavy attacks.”

Courtland Sutton (DEN): Receiving Yards Over 54.5 (-114 at FanDuel)

A.I. reasoning: “Denver’s vertical passing concepts target Sutton’s contested catch ability against Buffalo’s aggressive coverage schemes. The Broncos’ air-raid philosophy demands consistent intermediate production from their alpha receiver to sustain drives against elite competition. Sutton’s target share in elimination scenarios and his quarterback’s trust level in crucial downs create multiple opportunities for yardage accumulation.”

Los Angeles Rams vs Chicago Bears

D’Andre Swift (CHI): Rushing Yards Over 52.5 (-118 at BetMGM)

A.I. reasoning: “Chicago’s offensive coordinator implements gap-scheme rushing concepts specifically designed for Swift’s vision and acceleration through defensive fronts. Los Angeles allows significant rushing yards in playoff atmospheres, particularly against backs who excel in outside zone concepts. Swift’s broken tackle rate and second-level speed create the foundation for exceeding this conservative rushing total.”

Puka Nacua (LAR): Receiving Yards Over 98.5 (-113 at BetRivers)

A.I. reasoning: “The Rams’ target share leader enters a projected shootout where Matthew Stafford’s passing volume should approach 40 attempts. Nacua’s yards-after-catch ability against Chicago’s vulnerable intermediate coverage creates multiple paths to triple-digit production. With his reception total set at 7.5, the mathematical foundation supports significant yardage accumulation.

Nacua functions as Stafford’s primary read in crucial down-and-distance situations, ensuring consistent target volume regardless of game flow. Chicago’s secondary struggles against slot receivers with yards-after-catch ability, creating schematic advantages for Los Angeles’ passing attack. The mathematical probability favors Nacua reaching triple digits given his average target depth and catch rate in high-volume games.”

Houston Texans vs New England Patriots

CJ Stroud (HOU): Passing Yards Over 202.5 (-114 at BetRivers)

A.I. reasoning: “This artificially deflated line undervalues Stroud’s arm talent against sophisticated coverage schemes. New England’s defensive coordinator employs complex post-snap rotations that actually benefit quarterbacks with advanced pre-snap recognition skills. Stroud’s completion percentage under pressure and pocket presence metrics suggest he possesses the technical foundation to dissect elite secondaries through precision rather than volume.”

Stefon Diggs (NE): Receiving Yards Over 46.5 (-114 at BetRivers)

A.I. reasoning: “New England’s offensive system maximizes Diggs’ route-running precision against Houston’s zone coverage concepts. The Patriots’ slot formation packages create natural matchup advantages for veteran receivers who understand leverage and timing concepts. Diggs’ target share in crucial situations and his quarterback’s trust level in contested coverage create mathematical support for modest yardage accumulation.”

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Christian McCaffrey (SF): Rushing + Receiving Yards 120+ (+135 at DraftKings)

A.I. reasoning: “San Francisco’s offensive coordinator designs specific personnel packages to isolate McCaffrey against Seattle’s linebacker corps in both rushing and receiving situations. His usage rate in divisional matchups historically exceeds regular season averages, particularly in elimination scenarios where conservative play-calling disappears. McCaffrey’s yards-per-touch efficiency and red zone involvement create multiple pathways to exceed this combined total.”

Kenneth Walker III (SEA): Rushing Yards Over 54.5 (-115 at BetMGM)

A.I. reasoning: “Seattle’s ground game coordinator emphasizes outside zone concepts that maximize Walker’s lateral agility and vision against San Francisco’s aggressive front seven. The Seahawks’ home-field advantage at Lumen Field historically benefits their rushing attack through crowd noise disrupting defensive communication. Walker’s explosive run percentage and his offensive line’s push in crucial situations provide the foundation for exceeding this modest rushing benchmark.”

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