NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 12: Expert Picks for TD Props

• Anytime touchdown props have been posted for every NFL Week 12 game
• The Giants rank 32nd in EPA/rush allowed and have surrendered 15 rushing TD
• See my expert NFL touchdown bets for Week 12

On any given NFL Week, there are roughly between 60-70 touchdowns scored. That’s a lot of opportunity to cash anytime TD tickets, and I’ve narrowed down my seven favorite TD props for the Week 12 slate, while trying to be price sensitive.

As usual, my list starts with a running back facing the dreadful Giants, as New York’s defense has been a punching bag for enemy RB’s all season long.

Best NFL TD Scorer Picks (Week 12)

The “best odds” in the table are as of 12:00 pm ET, on November 22. Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Week 12 game.

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David Montgomery Anytime TD (-105)

On Sunday, it’s the Lions’ turn to beat up on the Giants’ run defense. Few offenses are better equipped to do so than Detroit, as they can deploy both Jahmyr Gibbs and David Montgomery to run the ball down the Giants’ throats.

Gibbs is the safer bet to score this week, but he’s also priced more than two times shorter than Montgomery. Dan Campbell is talking up more carries for Montgomery, and there should be no shortage of high-value touches versus New York.

NY Giants Rush Defense Stats

The Giants rank last in EPA/rush allowed and rushing defense success rate. Only the Bills have given up more rushing TDs than New York, while the Giants rank last in success rate against outside runs.

That just happens to be the Lions’ bread and butter. Detroit projects for 4+ touchdowns on Sunday, and I wouldn’t be surprised if both Gibbs and Montgomery found the box at least once.

Emanuel Wilson Anytime TD (-105)

Before it’s all said and done, Emanuel Wilson might wind up being the best bet of the slate. He’s expected to take on the bulk of the Packers’ carries vs the Vikings if Josh Jacobs is out, and it doesn’t look like Green Bay’s top RB is going to suit up.

Wilson will face a Minnesota defense that ranks 19th in EPA/rush. Thanks to Jacobs, the Packers rank 12th in rushing TD, and Matt LaFleur isn’t the type of coach to abandon the run regardless of personnel. Green Bay runs at the league’s ninth-highest rate, and I expect another run-heavy approach on Sunday with Wilson leading the charge.

Trey McBride Anytime TD (-105 )

Since Jacoby Brissett took over QB 1 duties in Arizona, Trey McBride has gone bonkers. He’s scored in five straight games, averaging 8.4 catches and 89 receiving yards in those contests.

McBride draws a very favorable matchup on Sunday versus the Jaguars, and nothing we’ve seen from him so far suggests he won’t capitalize. Jacksonville has allowed the second-most touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, and the sixth-most catches.

Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD (+100)

The Giants’ defense may be our favorite to pick on, but the Bengals are a close second. This week they draw the Patriots, just in time for Rhamondre Stevenson to come back from injury. Before he got hurt, Stevenson had scored three times in three games, and had out-carried TreVeyon Henderson 17 to 9 inside the red zone.

Henderson has earned more work, but this is still Stevenson’s backfield in close and in short-yardage situations. He should feast versus a Bengals defense that ranks last in EPA/play and 31st in EPA/rush.

Zach Charbonnet Anytime TD (+110 )

Kenneth Walker popped up on the injury report Friday, putting his status for Sunday versus the Titans in doubt. That would open up the door for a Zach Charbonnet ceiling performance, but he can still have plenty of success if Walker does suit up.

Charbonnet leads the Seahawks in red zone carries and rushing TD. Tennessee has allowed the second-most rushing TD in the NFL, and ranks 20th in EPA/rush.

Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+150 )

The game of the day on Sunday is the Colts vs Chiefs showdown. Both teams are legit Super Bowl 60 odds contenders, despite KC’s .500 record. The Chiefs cannot afford another loss, and I expect a big bounce back from Patrick Mahomes.

The two-time MVP is commanding the second-best offense in terms of EPA/play, and Travis Kelce is a big reason for the success. Kelce leads the Chiefs in basically every receiving category, including touchdowns.

He used to torment Lou Anarumo when the DC was calling plays in Cincy, and should find plenty of success against his new Colts defense, which has allowed the sixth-most production to opposing tight ends.