Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos Player Props and Best Bets
By David Rooney in NFL Football
Published:
- The Baltimore Ravens travel to Denver to play the Broncos at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday, October 3rd
- Denver is undefeated so far this season, while Baltimore defeated Detroit last week thanks to a record-breaking field goal by Justin Tucker to win the game and advance to 2-1
- See player props and best bets below
The Denver Broncos (3-0) host the Baltimore Ravens (2-1) tomorrow as part of Week 4 action. Kickoff is at 4:25 pm, and the temperature is expected to reach highs in the mid-70s during the day.
Baltimore travels to Denver this week having escaped Detroit with a last-second win courtesy of a record-breaking 66-yard field goal by Justin Tucker to win the game as time expired. Denver, meanwhile, obliterated the winless New York Jets by a final score of 26-0 in a confidence-building game heading into their first real test of the season.
The Ravens are favored, and have a talented offense. That being said, their talent lies primarily with Jackson, their electrifying dual-threat quarterback, and running backs Ty’Son Williams, Latavius Murray and DeVonta Freeman. While they do have two household names at receiver in Sammy Watkins and Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown, their receiving corps is their weak spot offensively. This is not helpful given that Jackson is often considered more prolific with his legs than his arm.
Further complicating matters is the fact that Denver has been elite against the pass so far this year, allowing just 162.3 yards per game. That’s good for a top-three ranking across the NFL. Although this top-tier ranking has been attained against less-than-stellar competition, they must be considered elite until somebody proves they aren’t.
And I don’t think Baltimore is the team to do it this week.
Ravens vs Broncos Week 4 Passing Props
| Quarterback | Completions | Passing Yards | TD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson, BAL | Over 16.5 (-130), Under 16.5 (-105) | Over 194.5 (-115), Under 194.5 (-115) | Over 1.5 (+165), Under 1.5 (-115) |
| Teddy Bridgewater, DEN | Over 21.5 (-135), Under 21.5 (+105) | Over 244.5 (-115), Under 244.5 (-115) | Over 1.5 (-110), Under 1.5 (-120) |
| Player | Rushing Attempts | Rushing Yards | Rushing + Receiving Yards |
| Lamar Jackson, BAL | Over 10.5 (+100), Under 10.5 (-125) | Over 63.5 (-115), Under 63.5 (-115) | Over 267.5 (-115), Under 267.5 (-115) * |
| Latavius Murray, BAL | Over 8.5 (-130), Under 8.5 (-105) | Over 32.5 (-110), Under 32.5 (-120) | Over 38.5 (-115), Under 38.5 (-115) |
| Ty’Son Williams, BAL | Over 8.5 (-105), Under 8.5 (-125) | Over 36.5 (-115), Under 36.5 (-115) | Over 47.5 (-110), Under 47.5 (-120) |
| Melvin Gordon III, DEN | Over 10.5 (-140), Under 10.5 (+105) | Over 41.5 (-110), Under 41.5 (-120) | Over 55.5 (-115), Under 55.5 (-115) |
| Javonte Williams, DEN | Over 12.5 (-120), Under 12.5 (-110) | Over 46.5 (-110), Under 46.5 (-120) | Over 62.5 (-110), Under 62.5 (-120) |
Odds as of October 2nd at DraftKings
* Indicates Pass + Rush Yards
Teddy Bridgewater vs Baltimore’s Secondary
Teddy Bridgewater has gone over his total in two of Denver’s three games this season, throwing for 264 yards in Week 1 and 328 yards in Week 2. Last week, Bridgewater only threw for 235 yards. However, this was on just 25 attempts, as Denver obliterated the Jets by a final score of 26-0, and was leading 20-0 going into the fourth quarter.
Teddy Bridgewater has been an absolute STUD for the Broncos.
▪️3-0 record (tied for best in NFL)
▪️76.8 comp pct (best in NFL)
▪️116.4 QB rating (5th best in NFL)
▪️0 INT (fewest in NFL) pic.twitter.com/9y4LJ6w8hu— NFL on CBS 🏈 (@NFLonCBS) September 27, 2021
This week is the perfect opportunity for Bridgewater to go over 250 yards, with Baltimore coming into this game with the 30th-ranked secondary in terms of passing yards allowed per game (314.7 passing ypg allowed). Also, with this game being essentially a pick’em, expect Bridgewater to easily pass the 25 pass attempts he recorded in last week’s blowout.
Rooney’s Pick: Teddy Bridgewater Over 244.5 Passing Yards (-115) 0.5 units
Lamar Carrying the Ravens
Lamar Jackson has rushed for 86, 107 and 58 yards in each of his first three games this season.
Context is also important here: His lowest rushing output, 58 yards, came on just 7 carries, which was good for nearly 8.3 yards per carry. If Jackson had just three more carries for an even 10, he would have likely had close to an 80-yard day. (For what it’s worth, DraftKings has set his over/under on total carries this week at 10.5).
Here is every Lamar Jackson rushing touchdown in the NFL in two minutes.
Electric ⚡ pic.twitter.com/gpyK0PFhLR
— James Simpson (@JS_Football) September 26, 2021
Against a Denver defense that has so far been top-tier against the pass, Baltimore is going to have to find a way to move the ball and put up points if they want to win this game, and I can see Lamar putting the team on his back and picking up the yardage himself with his legs.
I really like both of these plays today. That being said, if you were only going to play one, Jackson’s rushing yards prop is the one that I would go with.
Rooney’s Prop Play of the Day: Lamar Jackson Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115) 1 unit
Sports Writer
David graduated from Quinnipiac University with his Bachelor’s Degree in Journalism. A baseball, football and basketball fan, David has covered everything from local sports to Quinnipiac’s D-I teams. David also enjoys tracking his own wager predictions and modifying formulas to handicap games.
