Baltimore Ravens vs New York Jets Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 1
- The Ravens are a 6.5-point road favorite over the Jets on Sunday, September 11th at 1pm ET at MetLife Stadium, in East Rutherford, NJ
- Joe Flacco will start at QB for New York against his former team, due to Zach Wilson’s knee injury
- Read below for the Ravens vs Jets odds, analysis and a betting prediction
The Ravens and Jets Week 1 matchup is now officially the Joe Flacco Bowl. Flacco, the last QB to lead Baltimore to a Super Bowl will start on Sunday versus his former team, while New York’s franchise quarterback Zach Wilson nurses a knee injury. Read below for Ravens vs Jets odds and analysis.
Big things are expected out of the Ravens after a disappointing, injury plagued 2021 season, and oddsmakers have made them a healthy favorite in this contest.
Kickoff is scheduled for 1pm ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, with CBS providing the broadcast nationwide. The forecast is currently calling for sunny, 80 degree temperatures and just 6 mph winds.
Ravens vs Jets Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -6.5 (-114) | -340 | O 44 (-113) |
| New York Jets | +6.5 (-107) | +240 | U 44 (-108) |
Odds as of September 9th at Barstool Sportsbook.
Baltimore opened up as 6.5 point favorites, and that’s where the spread currently stands, but maybe not for long. 86% of the against the spread tickets and 86% of the ATS money is backing the Ravens, which means it’s only a matter of time before this line gets to -7.
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The total meanwhile, sits at 44 which is down half a point from where it opened. The betting splits are currently even on the over and the under, suggesting we shouldn’t see further movement.
Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis
All the talk around Ravens camp this week is about Lamar Jackson’s contract status. The 2019 NFL MVP and Flacco’s former back-up, set a deadline of Friday to get a deal done but no progress was made. He’ll now play out the final year of his deal at a $23 million price tag.
Baltimore wants to run the ball first and foremost, and may need to lean heavier on Jackson than usual on Sunday for that. Staring RB J.K. Dobbins is on the doubtful side of questionable, and the top running back behind him is journeyman Mike Davis.
Lamar Jackson carrying the Ravens offensepic.twitter.com/qLSvpwq3uS
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) September 5, 2022
Considering Jackson has 12 career 100-yard rushing games on his NFL resume, the Ravens rushing game should be just fine.
From a receiver standpoint, former number one Marquise Brown was traded to Arizona in the offseason, paving the way for another big Mark Andrews season. Andrews led all tight ends in receiving yards in 2021 with 1,361, and should be line for a big day against an average Jets defense.
On the other side of the ball, the Ravens ranked first against the run in 2021, but last against the pass. They’ve tried to solve that problem by firing their defensive co-ordinator, drafting safety Kyle Hamilton in the first round, and trading for safety Marcus Williams from New Orleans.
The Ravens secondary is the best in the world. Argue with ya mammy.
Here’s a hype video that I honestly put a lot of work into. Retweets would mean the world to me if you enjoy this.
Hope y’all like it #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/gsvxqaUwhQ
— 👽 (@outstndnbrandon) June 1, 2022
Add in the return of healthy corners Marlon Humphrey and Marcus Peters and you’re looking at Pro Football Focus’ top graded secondary heading into the season.
New York Jets Betting Analysis
Back to Flacco now, who’ll be looking for his first victory in six spot starts since leaving Baltimore in 2018. The 37-year-old could be in for a long afternoon, as his offensive line is banged up and he’s going to be forced to rely on several first and second-year players.
New York is currently on their third left tackle after injuries to Mehkhi Becton and Duane Brown in the offseason. The o-line was supposed to be a strength this season, but that’s no longer looking like the case.
This Sunday Joe Flacco will face his former team and former backup QB, Lamar Jackson, for the first time. pic.twitter.com/uqEVLWDwrV
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 8, 2022
From a skill position standpoint, the Jets have a lot of promise, but many of their players are raw. Running back Michael Carter and wideout Elijah Moore are unproven sophomores, while RB Breece Hall and receiver Garrett Wilson failed to live up to the hype in their first training camps.
Defensively, New York grades out in the middle of the pack per PFF on the d-line and in the secondary. The biggest name to watch on that side of the ball will be 2022 fourth-overall pick Sauce Gardner, who should see a lot of the Ravens Rashod Bateman.
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Ravens vs Jets Pick
These two teams have faced off just three times in the last decade, most recently in a 2019 Baltimore victory. The Ravens have held New York to an average of only 12.8 points over their last seven meetings, while Flacco led the Jets to just 17 points in his lone 2021 start.
Dating back to 2020, Flacco’s five starts with New York have produced an average of only 16.4 points. Given his shaky offensive line, his unproved skill position corps, and the improved Ravens defense, under 18.5 points for the Jets is a strong wager.
Pick: New York Jets Under 18.5 Points (-109); 1 unit
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.
