Bears vs Lions Same-Game Parlay for Thanksgiving Day
By Sascha Paruk in NFL Football
Published:
- The Chicago Bears meet the Detroit Lions in the early game on Thanksgiving Day
- The Bears have lost five in a row while the Lions have won an NFL-best nine straight games
- See a three-leg Bears vs Lions same-game parlay for Thanksgiving
The flailing Chicago Bears (4-7 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) and surging Detroit Lions (10-1, 9-2 ATS) meet in the early game on Thanksgiving Day with kickoff slated for 12:30 pm ET at Ford Field in Detroit. The Bears vs Lions odds favor Detroit by as many as 10.5 points in what’s expected to be a landslide tenth-straight victory for the Super Bowl-favorite Lions. In order to maintain interest in what could be a blowout, let’s craft a Bears vs Lions same-game parlay, just to be sure the first game of the day doesn’t get turned off.
Bears vs Lions Same-Game Parlay
Pick | Odds |
---|---|
Game Total Over 40.5 Points | -310 |
Jared Goff Over 199.5 Passing Yards | -470 |
Amon-Ra St Brown Over 39.5 Receiving Yards | -245 |
CHI vs DET SGP Odds | +104 |
Altogether, the three very-achievable legs of this parlay come out to +104 odds.
Bears vs Lions SGP Pick #1: Game Total Over 40.5 Points
The first leg of today’s CHI/DET SGP is over the alt-total 40.5 points, which is eight points lower than the standard total of 48.5. The Lions, on their own, are averaging an NFL-best 32.7 PPG. The Bears do have a solid defense, but will get to feast on a subpar Chicago defense today. The Bears have a solid defense, but so did the Vikings (31-29 Lions win) and the Texans (26-24 Lions win).
Jared Goff and company can hang points on literally anyone this season, and on the fast track at Ford Field, there will be more than enough points scored today to get us over this alt-total. The Lions are putting up 37.6 points per game on their home turn, including two 50-burgers against Tennessee and Jacksonville, plus a 42-29 rout of Seattle.
CHI vs DET Same-Game Parlay Pick #2: Jared Goff 199.5 Passing Yards
Somewhat correlated with our alt-total pick is Jared Goff to go over his alt-passing yardage number of 199.5. Goff has had a few quiet games this season, largely when the Lions haven’t needed him to sling it around. He somehow only threw for 85 yards in Detroit’s 52-14 win over Tennessee. But he’s still averaging 262.6 YPG at home, and the Bears are allowing 209.3 passing yards per game on average.
Unless there are multiple defensive scores by the Lions and they have no use for Goff’s arm, he’ll get over this number with ease.
For what it’s worth, my colleague Eric Rosales included Goff over 1.5 TDs as one of his best Bears vs Lions player props to target today.
Bears vs Lions SGP Pick #3: Amon-Ra St Brown Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
The last leg of today’s Bears/Lions same-game parlay is Detroit WR1 to go over the modest total of 39.5 yards. St Brown is eighth in the NFL this season with 747 yards in 11 games (67.9 YPG) and he’s gone over 40 yards in eight of 11 contests, including four straight and five of his last six.
The real reason to feel very confident in this bet is the number of targets the USC product gets. With 85 targets on the year, St Brown has nearly double that of any other player on the team, despite Detroit’s embarrassment of offensive riches. Second is Jameson Williams at just 48.
With Goff over 199.5 already on the ticket, it makes an abundance of sense to add his top target going over another very modest total.
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Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.