Bears vs Packers Picks, Predictions, Player Props & Closing Odds (Week 14)

• The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers meet in a massive NFC North game in Week 14
• The winner will hold the top seed in the NFC with four games to go
• See the Bears vs Packers picks, predictions, player props, and closing odds

A historic rivalry is renewed with vigor in Week 14 as the NFC North-leading Chicago Bears (9-3, away, ATS, O/U) travel to face the Green Bay Packers (8-3-1, home, ATS, O/U) at legendary Lambeau Field at 4:25 pm ET.

This NFC North showdown carries massive playoff implications, with Chicago clinging to a slim divisional lead (and top spot in the conference) while the Packers can claim the division lead with a win.

This clash pits Chicago’s opportunistic, high-scoring offense against Green Bay’s methodical, hyper-efficient attack. My comprehensive betting analysis dissects the odds, injury situations, statistical mismatches, and public betting trends to identify best Bears vs Packers picks for Week 14.

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Bears vs Packers Best Bets & Picks

CHI vs GB ATS Pick: Bears +6.5 (-105) at DraftKings

The betting market has shown significant movement in Green Bay’s favor, with the spread ballooning from -5.5 to -6.5, creating even more value on the road underdog. Chicago’s elite turnover-generating defense and explosive offensive capabilities are the perfect recipe for covering a large spread in a divisional rivalry known for close contests.

The Bears possess the NFL’s most dominant turnover differential at +17, fueled by a secondary that has hauled in 17 interceptions (1.4 per game). This ball-hawking ability directly counters a Packers offense that, while careful with possessions, will face its toughest turnover challenge of the season.

Chicago’s offense out-produces Green Bay in scoring (26.1 vs 24.2 PPG) and total yardage (374.2 vs 340.6 YPG), providing multiple paths to keep pace in a high-stakes environment.

Green Bay’s strengths lie in situational efficiency, converting 49.3% of third downs and scoring touchdowns on 67.4% of red-zone trips. However, Chicago’s ground-and-pound rushing attack (153.8 YPG) controls time-of-possession (31:56 TOP, 6th in NFL) and should limit Green Bay’s opportunities to showcase this efficiency.

CHI vs GB O/U Pick: Under 44.5 (-115) at DraftKings

The total’s drop from 46.5 to 44.5 has been motivated by several salient factors. Both teams are managing significant receiver injuries that could limit big-play potential. Chicago’s ball-hawking secondary (17 interceptions) suggests a field-position battle rather than a shootout, while both defenses have shown recent defensive dominance – the Packers held their last opponent to points, while the Bears’ opportunistic style creates short fields that lead to methodical scoring drives.

Best CHI vs GB Player Prop: Love Over 1.5 Pass TDs (-127) at DraftKings

This selection capitalizes on Green Bay’s elite red zone execution. The Packers convert 67.4% of red zone trips into touchdowns, one of the league’s premier marks. Love serves as the trigger man for this efficient attack, and even against Chicago’s turnover-hungry defense, the Packers’ scheme and execution inside the 20-yard line remain reliable. At Lambeau Field, expect the methodical Packers to finish multiple drives with Love finding paydirt through the air.

Player Props for Bears vs Packers

Sharp money has targeted Caleb Williams’ completion prop, driving the over from +100 to -133. Jordan Love’s completions market moved in the opposite direction, with the over drifting from -105 to +110.

With respect to the rushing props, the most dramatic line movement involves Josh Jacobs’ yardage. The over plummeted from -118 to +110, with the under now heavily favored at -149.

For receivers, Romeo Doubs has seen significant market skepticism, with his receptions over shifting from -115 to +120.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Odds

The Packers have emerged as significant home favorites with the spread expanding from its opening -3.5 to the current -6.5. This movement reflects heavy betting action favoring Green Bay, while the moneyline has shifted dramatically from -179 to -303. The total has moved in the opposite direction, dropping from 46.5 to 44 points, suggesting expectations for a defensive battle.

Based on current moneyline odds, Green Bay carries an implied win probability of 75.2%. After removing the sportsbook’s vig, After removing the sportsbook’s vig, the Packers’ implied win probability stands at 75.2%, while After removing the sportsbook’s vig, the Packers’ implied win probability stands at 75.2%, while Chicago’s fair win probability calculates to 29.4%., while After removing the sportsbook’s vig, the Packers’ implied win probability stands at 75.2%, while Chicago’s fair win probability calculates to 29.4%.

Odds commentary as of 12:03 pm ET. The lines in the table, above, will update automatically with the best-available price for each betting market if the NFL odds move before kickoff.