Bengals vs Browns Picks, Player Props & Betting Lines

• The Cincinnati Bengals are heavy road favorites against the Cleveland Browns in Week 1
• The trends favor the Bengals, who have won three in a row SU and ATS against Cleveland and are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite
• See the Bengals vs Browns picks, player props to target, and latest betting lines

Plagued by slow starts the last three seasons, the Cincinnati Bengals (9-8, 6-3 away, 10-7 ATS) look for their first Week 1 win since 2021 when they visit the Cleveland Browns (3-14, 2-6 home, 4-13 ATS) at Huntington Bank Field at 1:00 pm ET on Sunday, Sep. 7. FOX will carry the broadcast.

The Bengals have started 0-2 (or worse) in each of the last three seasons but enter 2025 on a three-game win streak against their in-state AFC North rivals. The current NFL odds heavily favor the Bengals shrugging off their recent Week 1 struggles.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Betting Lines

The Bengals are 5.5-point road favorites and -250 on the moneyline. The Browns come back as +210 home underdogs. Removing the juice, the Bengals are given a 68.9% implied win probability, leaving the Browns with just 31.1%. The game total is sitting at 47.5 with the over juiced at -120.

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CIN vs CLE Odds Movement

The betting line for this AFC North clash has seen notable movement, particularly on the total. The spread opened with the Bengals favored by 6 points and has since settled at -5.5, a slight half-point move due to late money on the home underdog in the NFL public betting splits. The moneyline has also shifted, with the Bengals moving from -233 to -250.

The most significant adjustment has been on the game total, which opened at a modest 44.5 and has been bet up a full three points to 47.5. However, this movement runs contrary to strong historical trends in this series, where the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings. This creates a classic “public-vs-trends” dilemma for bettors.

The Bengals have been a covering machine in this spot, going 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite. Conversely, the Browns have struggled mightily as underdogs, failing to cover in their last six games when getting points.

Burrow vs Flacco: Quarterback Mismatch

Joe Burrow is back to lead the Cincinnati Bengals’ after a spectacular 2024 campaign in which he orchestrated the league’s most productive passing offense, averaging 272.9 yards per game with a stellar 108.5 passer rating. He completed 70.6% of his passes for 4,640 yards and a league-leading 43 touchdowns against just nine interceptions.

For the Cleveland Browns, veteran Joe Flacco takes the helm. In seven games with the Colts last season, Flacco posted a 65.3% completion rate, throwing for 1,761 yards with 12 touchdowns and seven interceptions, showing flashes of his former self but also a propensity for turnovers. He played five games for the Browns the year prior, amassing a solid 13 touchdown passes, but also tossing eight picks with a subpar 60.5% completion percentage. Flacco turned 40 last January.

The key for Cincinnati will be keeping Burrow clean in the pocket against a Myles Garrett-led Cleveland pass rush. The Bengals allowed a concerning 48 sacks last season.

Two new faces grace the Bengal O-line this season: rookie third-round pick Dylan Fairchild will start at right guard while undrafted journeyman Lucas Patrick will start at left guard after playing 11 games for the Saints last season.

Myles Garrett is a game-wrecker who can single-handedly disrupt an opponent’s offensive plan. The Bengals’ offensive line has been a work in progress, and their ability to contain Garrett will be a defining matchup. On the other side, the Browns’ offensive line surrendered a staggering 66 sacks last season. Trey Hendrickson and the Bengals’ pass rush will be looking to capitalize on that weakness and force Flacco into mistakes.

CIN Bengals vs CLE Browns Player Props

NFL player props represent the consensus across sportsbooks on September 7. Actual prices will vary from book to book.

Joe Burrow’s passing yards prop of 268.5 is very attainable, considering he averaged 272.9 yards per game last season and faces a defense that struggles to create turnovers.

For Ja’Marr Chase, the 84.5 receiving yards line is a number he cleared in each of the first six games last season, and 10 of 17 total.

On the Browns’ side, Joe Flacco’s interception prop at 0.5 with heavy juice on the over (-182) is telling; he threw seven picks in seven games last year, and eight in just five games in 2023.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns Picks & Prediction

The trends for this matchup are about as one-sided as they come. The Bengals are not only the superior team on paper, but they have also dominated this rivalry recently, covering the spread in their last three meetings and outscoring Cleveland 48-20 in two games last year.

Cincy’s high-powered passing attack presents a nightmare matchup for a Cleveland team that finished last season on a six-game losing streak and failed to cover the spread in any of those contests. (Only Tennessee’s 2-15 ATS record was worse than Cleveland’s 4-13 ATS mark.) The Browns’ offense was anemic, and while Joe Flacco provides a veteran presence, he also brings a high risk of turnovers against Al Golden’s complex defensive schemes.

Cleveland’s only path to keeping this close is through its defense, specifically by Myles Garrett disrupting the Bengals’ offensive line. However, the Browns’ struggles against the spread are alarming, particularly at home and as an underdog. They are 0-6 ATS in their last six games as an underdog and have lost their last six games outright in that situation.

Meanwhile, the Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six as road favorites. The weather could slightly suppress scoring, but it’s not severe enough to neutralize Cincinnati’s aerial advantage.

Picks & Predictions:

• ATS: Cincinnati Bengals -5.5 (-110)
• Over/Under: Under 47.5 (+100)
• Player Prop: Ja’Marr Chase over 84.5 receiving yards (-113)